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NFL · 2026 Week 5

Week 5 RB Rankings

Half PPR, 1QB · 99 players projected · updated October 8, 2026

See how our Week 4 rankings performed

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 5 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

How often a strong start lasts

Since 1999, 62% of RBs inside the top 12 through Week 4 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 325 RB-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.

What stands out this week

99 RBs ranked for Week 5. Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 20.5 projected points.

Tier breaks

2.0 projected points separate RB1 Jahmyr Gibbs from RB2 Bijan Robinson.

2.1 projected points separate RB2 Bijan Robinson from RB3 Jonathan Taylor.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

  • Emanuel WilsonRB20Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 24% · Top 24: 50% +29 vs. RB49
  • Braelon AllenRB23Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 21% · Top 24: 45% +27 vs. RB50
  • Will ShipleyRB38Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 27% +26 vs. RB64

Behind

  • Omarion HamptonRB22Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 21% · Top 24: 47% -11 vs. RB11
  • Jeremiyah LoveRB17Sportsbooks pricing him below our baseline and our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 7% · Top 12: 28% · Top 24: 52% -5 vs. RB12
  • James CookRB9Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 13% · Top 12: 44% · Top 24: 70% -4 vs. RB5

Movement

Risers

Fallers

Positional movement since the final Week 4 board, among players inside RB36 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.

Week 5 RB Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 RB Jahmyr GibbsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 29% of the time, 4th to 12th 38%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 13%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB7 at the median, RB3 - RB16 in the middle half, and RB1 - RB27 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 29%Top 12: 66%Top 24: 87%
 RB1— 20.5
2 RB Bijan RobinsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 23% of the time, 4th to 12th 39%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 16%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB9 at the median, RB4 - RB19 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB30 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 23%Top 12: 62%Top 24: 84%
 RB2— 18.5
3 RB Jonathan TaylorIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 23%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB12 at the median, RB5 - RB23 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB35 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 18%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 77%
 RB3↑ 1 16.4
4 RB Derrick HenryBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 25%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB12 at the median, RB5 - RB25 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 17%Top 12: 51%Top 24: 75%
 RB4↓ 1 16.1
5 RB Christian McCaffreySF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 27%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB26 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 73%
 RB5↑ 1 15.1
6 RB Kyren WilliamsLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 29%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 71%
 RB6↑ 11 14.8
7 RB Ashton JeantyLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 29%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 71%
 RB7↑ 1 14.6
8 RB Chase BrownCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 29%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 71%
 RB8↑ 1 14.4
9 RB James CookBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 30%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB38 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 70%
 RB9↓ 2 14.4
10 RB Javonte WilliamsDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 30%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 70%
 RB10↑ 6 14.3
11 RB Aaron JonesMINQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 63%
 RB11↑ 3 13.7
12 RB Jaylen WarrenPITQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB42 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 64%
 RB12↓ 1 13.6
13 RB Quinshon JudkinsCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 38%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB18 at the median, RB9 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 34%Top 24: 62%
 RB13↑ 8 12.6
14 RB D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB9 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 58%
 RB14↓ 4 12.6
15 RB Bhayshul TutenJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 43%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB11 - RB35 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB44 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 57%
 RB15↑ 5 11.6
16 RB Cam SkatteboNYGQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB10 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 53%
 RB16↓ 3 11.5
17 RB Jeremiyah LoveARIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB11 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 52%
 RB17↓ 5 11.2
18 RB Bucky IrvingTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB38 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 51%
 RB18— 10.8
19 RB Rhamondre StevensonNEQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 51%
 RB19↑ 8 10.8
20 RB Emanuel WilsonSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 50%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB13 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 50%
 RB20↑ 21 10.3
21 RB Tony PollardTENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB14 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 45%
 RB21↑ 3 9.9
22 RB Omarion HamptonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB14 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 47%
 RB22— 9.7
23 RB Braelon AllenNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB15 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 45%
 RB23↑ 5 9.6
24 RB TreVeyon HendersonNEQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB31 at the median, RB15 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 42%
 RB24↑ 5 9.5
25 RB David MontgomeryHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB29 at the median, RB16 - RB42 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 43%
 RB25↓ 2 9.2
26 RB Ollie Gordon IIMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB31 at the median, RB17 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 40%
 RB26↑ 11 8.7
27 RB Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB17 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB56 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 39%
 RB27↓ 2 8.7
28 RB Alvin KamaraNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB17 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 38%
 RB28↓ 2 8.6
29 RB RJ HarveyDENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB17 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 38%
 RB29↑ 3 8.6
30 RB J.K. DobbinsDENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB18 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 37%
 RB30— 8.3
31 RB Brian RobinsonATLQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB19 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 33%
 RB31↑ 9 7.6
32 RB MarShawn LloydGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB21 - RB47 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB56 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 32%
 RB32↑ 11 7.5
33 RB Rachaad WhiteWASQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB21 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 31%
 RB33↑ 2 7.4
34 RB Rico DowdlePITQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB22 - RB54 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28%
 RB34NEW 7.1
35 RB Blake CorumLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB22 - RB49 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 28%
 RB35↓ 1 6.9
36 RB Keaton MitchellLACQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB23 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 26%
 RB36↑ 17 6.9
37 RB Tyler AllgeierARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB23 - RB50 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 27%
 RB37↑ 5 6.8
38 RB Will ShipleyPHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB23 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 27%
 RB38↑ 28 6.8
39 RB Woody MarksHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB41 at the median, RB24 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB14 - RB61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 26%
 RB39↓ 3 6.4
40 RB Kenny GainwellTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB42 at the median, RB26 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB15 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 23%
 RB40↓ 2 6.1
41 RB Kaleb JohnsonGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB47 at the median, RB33 - RB58 in the middle half, and RB19 - RB68 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 17%
 RB41↑ 9 5.1
42 RB Mike Washington Jr.LV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB49 at the median, RB35 - RB60 in the middle half, and RB21 - RB69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 15%
 RB42↑ 16 4.8
43 RB George HolaniSEAQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB50 at the median, RB34 - RB63 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 16%
 RB43↑ 14 4.8
44 RB Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB51 at the median, RB34 - RB62 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 16%
 RB44↑ 8 4.7
45 RB Kendre MillerNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB51 at the median, RB35 - RB65 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 15%
 RB45↓ 6 4.7
46 RB Tyjae SpearsTENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB50 at the median, RB35 - RB62 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14%
 RB46— 4.7
47 RB Najee HarrisNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB52 at the median, RB38 - RB64 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%
 RB47↑ 1 4.4
48 RB Jaylen WrightMIAQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB54 at the median, RB37 - RB68 in the middle half, and RB21 - RB81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14%
 RB48↑ 12 4.4
49 RB Kaelon BlackSFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB54 at the median, RB39 - RB67 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 13%
 RB49↓ 2 4.2
50 RB Samaje PerineCINQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB55 at the median, RB41 - RB68 in the middle half, and RB23 - RB81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 11%
 RB50↑ 5 4.0
51 RB Raheim SandersCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB54 at the median, RB43 - RB65 in the middle half, and RB27 - RB75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 8%
 RB51↑ 5 3.8
52 RB Ty JohnsonBUFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB59 at the median, RB45 - RB74 in the middle half, and RB27 - RB89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
 RB52↑ 7 3.5
53 RB Justice HillBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB58 at the median, RB46 - RB68 in the middle half, and RB28 - RB78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 RB53↑ 1 3.5
54 RB Devin SingletaryNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB59 at the median, RB46 - RB73 in the middle half, and RB27 - RB84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 8%
 RB54↑ 14 3.4
55 RB Kimani VidalLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB61 at the median, RB48 - RB73 in the middle half, and RB28 - RB84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 RB55↑ 16 3.2
56 RB Tyler GoodsonDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB66 at the median, RB51 - RB79 in the middle half, and RB29 - RB90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
 RB56↑ 7 3.0
57 RB Michael BurtonCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB65 at the median, RB50 - RB79 in the middle half, and RB30 - RB92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
 RB57NEW 3.0
58 RB Sione VakiDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB64 at the median, RB53 - RB75 in the middle half, and RB31 - RB85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
 RB58↑ 7 2.9
59 RB Seth McGowanIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB68 at the median, RB55 - RB80 in the middle half, and RB34 - RB90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB59↑ 33 2.6
60 RB Isaiah DavisNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB72 at the median, RB58 - RB84 in the middle half, and RB31 - RB95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
 RB60↓ 9 2.5
61 RB Emari DemercadoDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB71 at the median, RB57 - RB85 in the middle half, and RB36 - RB96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 5%
 RB61NEW 2.4
62 RB Dameon PiercePHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB74 at the median, RB58 - RB88 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4%
 RB62NEW 2.3
63 RB Lan LarisonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB62 - RB93 in the middle half, and RB34 - RB104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB63↑ 16 2.2
64 RB Amar JohnsonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB79 at the median, RB62 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB42 - RB105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB64↑ 31 2.1
65 RB Frank Gore Jr.BUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB76 at the median, RB60 - RB91 in the middle half, and RB42 - RB102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
 RB65NEW 2.1
66 RB Robert Henry Jr.WAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB81 at the median, RB63 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB36 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB66NEW 2.1
67 RB Tyler BadieDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB74 at the median, RB61 - RB86 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB67↑ 5 2.1
68 RB Carlos WashingtonMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB80 at the median, RB62 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB35 - RB106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB68NEW 2.1
69 RB Dare OgunbowaleLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB82 at the median, RB65 - RB95 in the middle half, and RB36 - RB106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB69↑ 16 2.0
70 RB Evan HullARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB65 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB38 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB70NEW 2.0
71 RB Corey KinerNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB66 - RB90 in the middle half, and RB45 - RB99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB71↑ 7 2.0
72 RB Kalel MullingsTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB65 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB44 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
 RB72↓ 28 1.9
73 RB Eric GrayCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB66 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB73↑ 9 1.9
74 RB Kendall MiltonCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB66 - RB97 in the middle half, and RB45 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
 RB74NEW 1.9
75 RB CJ DonaldsonNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB66 - RB89 in the middle half, and RB52 - RB99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB75↑ 18 1.9
76 RB Jordan JamesSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB82 at the median, RB67 - RB95 in the middle half, and RB47 - RB105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB76NEW 1.9
77 RB Ray DavisBUFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB80 at the median, RB64 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB47 - RB104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB77↓ 2 1.9
78 RB Jarquez HunterMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB66 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB44 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
 RB78NEW 1.9
79 RB Carson SteelePHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB66 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB45 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB79↓ 34 1.9
80 RB Cody SchraderDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB67 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB47 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB80↑ 1 1.8
81 RB Pierre StrongGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB67 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB48 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB81NEW 1.8
82 RB Nicholas SingletonTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB70 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2%
 RB82NEW 1.8
83 RB Alec IngoldLACQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB81 at the median, RB65 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB49 - RB104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB83NEW 1.8
84 RB Phil MafahNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB67 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB47 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2%
 RB84NEW 1.8
85 RB Devin NealNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB67 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB48 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB85↑ 3 1.8
86 RB Craig ReynoldsWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB86 at the median, RB69 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB52 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB86NEW 1.7
87 RB Julius ChestnutTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB70 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB55 - RB103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB87NEW 1.7
88 RB Kene NwangwuNYJQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB87 at the median, RB68 - RB101 in the middle half, and RB48 - RB110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB88↓ 18 1.7
89 RB DeeJay DallasMINQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB82 at the median, RB68 - RB95 in the middle half, and RB51 - RB105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB89↑ 5 1.7
90 RB Kaytron AllenWASQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB72 - RB101 in the middle half, and RB50 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB90↓ 21 1.7
91 RB Ameer AbdullahJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB73 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB59 - RB104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB91↓ 14 1.6
92 RB Roschon JohnsonCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB72 - RB97 in the middle half, and RB58 - RB106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB92NEW 1.6
93 RB Sean TuckerTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB95 at the median, RB77 - RB107 in the middle half, and RB51 - RB114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB93↓ 13 1.5
94 RB Hunter LuepkeDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB90 at the median, RB77 - RB101 in the middle half, and RB64 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB94NEW 1.4
95 RB Bam KnightARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB95 at the median, RB80 - RB106 in the middle half, and RB63 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB95↓ 22 1.3
96 RB Demond ClaiborneMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB94 at the median, RB82 - RB105 in the middle half, and RB66 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB96↑ 1 1.3
97 RB Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB94 at the median, RB81 - RB105 in the middle half, and RB65 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB97NEW 1.2
98 RB Salvon AhmedCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB101 at the median, RB86 - RB111 in the middle half, and RB66 - RB116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB98NEW 1.2
99 RB Jonathan WardBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB100 at the median, RB85 - RB111 in the middle half, and RB66 - RB116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB99NEW 1.2

Simulated finishes

This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.

Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.

Week 5 RB outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.

Projected rank
Median finish
13612243660
  1. RB1 Jahmyr Gibbs
    RB7
    Jahmyr Gibbs is ranked RB1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB7 at the median, RB3 - RB16 in the middle half, and RB1 - RB27 in the middle 80%.
  2. RB2 Bijan Robinson
    RB9
    Bijan Robinson is ranked RB2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB9 at the median, RB4 - RB19 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB30 in the middle 80%.
  3. RB3 Jonathan Taylor
    RB12
    Jonathan Taylor is ranked RB3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB12 at the median, RB5 - RB23 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB35 in the middle 80%.
  4. RB4 Derrick Henry
    RB12
    Derrick Henry is ranked RB4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB12 at the median, RB5 - RB25 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  5. RB5 Christian McCaffrey
    RB14
    Christian McCaffrey is ranked RB5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB26 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  6. RB6 Kyren Williams
    RB14
    Kyren Williams is ranked RB6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  7. RB7 Ashton Jeanty
    RB15
    Ashton Jeanty is ranked RB7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  8. RB8 Chase Brown
    RB15
    Chase Brown is ranked RB8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  9. RB9 James Cook
    RB15
    James Cook is ranked RB9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB38 in the middle 80%.
  10. RB10 Javonte Williams
    RB15
    Javonte Williams is ranked RB10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
  11. RB11 Aaron Jones
    RB17
    Aaron Jones is ranked RB11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
  12. RB12 Jaylen Warren
    RB17
    Jaylen Warren is ranked RB12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB42 in the middle 80%.
  13. RB13 Quinshon Judkins
    RB18
    Quinshon Judkins is ranked RB13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB18 at the median, RB9 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
  14. RB14 D'Andre Swift
    RB20
    D'Andre Swift is ranked RB14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB9 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
  15. RB15 Bhayshul Tuten
    RB21
    Bhayshul Tuten is ranked RB15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB11 - RB35 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB44 in the middle 80%.
  16. RB16 Cam Skattebo
    RB23
    Cam Skattebo is ranked RB16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB10 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  17. RB17 Jeremiyah Love
    RB23
    Jeremiyah Love is ranked RB17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB11 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB49 in the middle 80%.
  18. RB18 Bucky Irving
    RB24
    Bucky Irving is ranked RB18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB38 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB49 in the middle 80%.
  19. RB19 Rhamondre Stevenson
    RB24
    Rhamondre Stevenson is ranked RB19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
  20. RB20 Emanuel Wilson
    RB24
    Emanuel Wilson is ranked RB20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB13 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  21. RB21 Tony Pollard
    RB27
    Tony Pollard is ranked RB21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB14 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
  22. RB22 Omarion Hampton
    RB27
    Omarion Hampton is ranked RB22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB14 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
  23. RB23 Braelon Allen
    RB27
    Braelon Allen is ranked RB23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB15 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB49 in the middle 80%.
  24. RB24 TreVeyon Henderson
    RB31
    TreVeyon Henderson is ranked RB24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB31 at the median, RB15 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Show RB25 - RB36
  1. RB25 David Montgomery
    RB29
    David Montgomery is ranked RB25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB29 at the median, RB16 - RB42 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
  2. RB26 Ollie Gordon II
    RB31
    Ollie Gordon II is ranked RB26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB31 at the median, RB17 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
  3. RB27 Jacory Croskey-Merritt
    RB32
    Jacory Croskey-Merritt is ranked RB27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB17 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB56 in the middle 80%.
  4. RB28 Alvin Kamara
    RB33
    Alvin Kamara is ranked RB28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB17 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  5. RB29 RJ Harvey
    RB32
    RJ Harvey is ranked RB29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB17 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  6. RB30 J.K. Dobbins
    RB33
    J.K. Dobbins is ranked RB30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB18 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  7. RB31 Brian Robinson
    RB37
    Brian Robinson is ranked RB31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB19 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
  8. RB32 MarShawn Lloyd
    RB37
    MarShawn Lloyd is ranked RB32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB21 - RB47 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB56 in the middle 80%.
  9. RB33 Rachaad White
    RB38
    Rachaad White is ranked RB33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB21 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
  10. RB34 Rico Dowdle
    RB40
    Rico Dowdle is ranked RB34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB22 - RB54 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB67 in the middle 80%.
  11. RB35 Blake Corum
    RB38
    Blake Corum is ranked RB35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB22 - RB49 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB58 in the middle 80%.
  12. RB36 Keaton Mitchell
    RB39
    Keaton Mitchell is ranked RB36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB23 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB62 in the middle 80%.

Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.

The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.

How these are made

This board was built from 2026 usage for 74% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, sportsbook props for 68%, an official status for 82%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 8, 2026 18:07 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 4 board generated before that week's first kickoff (October 1, 2026). Model rankings-v1.4.2, board captured 2026-10-08.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props).

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