BUF · Bye 7

Ray Davis

Ray Davis comes off the board at 15.07 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.08.

14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

15.07

pick 203.3 overall, on average

Median pick

15.08

half of simulations take him by pick 204

Draft range

15.02 - 15.13

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 2,986 of them

Filters

League format

League size 14 teams

Scoring Half PPR

QB format 1QB

Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.08 in 85% of simulations

Pick 204 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 15.04 and 15.11.

Ray Davis still on the board
Pick	Available
15.06	89%
15.07	87%
15.08	85%
15.09	83%
15.10	81%
15.11	79%
15.12	77%
15.13	74%
15.14	72%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Ray Davis was selected at each pick, 15.02 through 15.13. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 2%, undrafted in 70%.

Draft position distribution for Ray Davis
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
15.02	2%	189 of 10000 simulations
15.03	2%	196 of 10000 simulations
15.04	2%	218 of 10000 simulations
15.05	2%	189 of 10000 simulations
15.06	2%	216 of 10000 simulations
15.07	2%	221 of 10000 simulations
15.08	2%	224 of 10000 simulations
15.09	2%	190 of 10000 simulations
15.10	2%	221 of 10000 simulations
15.11	2%	217 of 10000 simulations
15.12	2%	220 of 10000 simulations
15.13	2%	218 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 2986 simulations in which Ray Davis was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Kayshon Boutte WR · NE 3%
Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%

Usually taken just after

Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Sean Tucker RB · TB 3%
Isiah Pacheco RB · DET 3%
Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Ray Davis was selected in 2986 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

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