SEA · Bye 11
Zach Charbonnet
LMD RB52 rest of season · 78.5 projected Full PPR points
Reserve list (PUP-R)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 78.5 points this season, RB52. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 7.8 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (PUP-R), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 3 since the Oct. 1 board.
Rest of season
RB52
166th by projected points
Projected
78.5
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at RB
Movement
↑ 3
RB55 on Oct. 1, RB52 now
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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New setback for Seahawks’ Jadarian Price; Love OK; Zach Charbonnet ‘fantastic’
union-bulletin.com ·
-
RB Jadarian Price did not practice; RB Zach Charbonnet limited in his return
NBC Sports ·
-
Zach Charbonnet returns to practice for Seattle Seahawks
fox13seattle.com ·
-
Seahawks’ Zach Charbonnet will be back from injury soon, posing questions for fantasy managers
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Seahawks open 21-day practice window for RB Zach Charbonnet
Reuters ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Zach Charbonnet by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB47. For the rest of the season LMD has him 5 spots lower, at RB52.
Preseason market: RB47 · ADP 145.8
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB52 −5
LMD has him 5 spots lower than his RB47 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB47 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 78.5 points this season, RB52. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 7.8 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (PUP-R), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 3 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
7.8 / game
Over 9.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Zach Charbonnet #68 in 1QB and #73 in Superflex, RB23 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#68
RB23 · tier 18 · of 297
Superflex
#73
RB23 · tier 14 · of 303
- Last season 171.4 pts 10.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 96% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 11.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 7% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.01
pick 133.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.10
half of simulations take him by pick 130
Draft range
10.06 - 14.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,727 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.10 in 52% of simulations
Pick 130 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 12.03, where he is available in 39% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 11.10 52% · 12.03 39% · 13.10 17% · 14.03 15% · 15.10 4%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.12 and 12.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.08 | 57% |
| 11.09 | 55% |
| 11.10 | 52% |
| 11.11 | 49% |
| 11.12 | 47% |
| 12.01 | 44% |
| 12.02 | 42% |
| 12.03 | 39% |
| 12.04 | 37% |
| 12.05 | 35% |
| 12.06 | 32% |
| 12.07 | 30% |
| 12.08 | 28% |
| 12.09 | 26% |
| 12.10 | 24% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.06-10.08 | 7% | 712 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.11 | 7% | 702 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.02 | 7% | 747 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.05 | 8% | 754 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.08 | 8% | 750 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.11 | 8% | 771 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.02 | 8% | 763 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.05 | 7% | 714 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.08 | 7% | 652 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.11 | 6% | 572 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.02 | 2% | 197 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.03-13.05 | <1% | 60 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.08 | <1% | 58 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.11 | <1% | 77 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.02 | 1% | 109 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.05 | 1% | 130 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.08 | 1% | 149 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9727 simulations in which Zach Charbonnet was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2%
Usually taken just after
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Romeo Doubs WR · NE 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Zach Charbonnet was selected in 9727 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.