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NFL · 2026 Week 1

Week 1 QB Rankings

Full PPR, 1QB · 103 players projected · updated August 27, 2026

Built without every input: no current-season statistics were available; projections rest on the preseason prior; no earlier market snapshot, so no movement is shown.

Week 1 QB Rankings -- projected fantasy points, likely range and market coverage. Generated by our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj Likely range Top 12 Market Move
1 QB Josh AllenBUF QB1 22.0 7.7 - 40.5 61% none 0
2 QB Lamar JacksonBAL QB2 21.1 7.2 - 39.8 57% none 0
3 QB Jalen HurtsPHI QB3 19.5 6.4 - 36.4 53% none +1
4 QB Jayden DanielsWAS QB4 18.8 6.4 - 34.4 52% none +1
5 QB Drake MayeNE QB5 18.4 6.6 - 32.9 52% broad -2
6 QB Joe BurrowCIN QB6 18.0 5.7 - 33.2 49% none 0
7 QB Jaxson DartNYG QB7 17.6 5.5 - 32.6 47% none 0
8 QB Matthew StaffordLAR QB8 16.5 5.7 - 29.5 44% thin 0
9 QB Dak PrescottDAL QB9 16.1 4.9 - 30.4 41% none 0
10 QB Bo NixDEN QB10 15.1 4.6 - 27.7 37% none 0
11 QB Justin HerbertLAC QB11 14.6 4.5 - 27.5 35% none 0
12 QB Caleb WilliamsCHI QB12 14.6 4.4 - 27.1 36% none 0
13 QB Trevor LawrenceJAX QB13 14.6 4.4 - 27.2 36% none 0
14 QB Brock PurdySF QB14 14.3 4.9 - 25.9 35% broad 0
15 QB Patrick MahomesKC QB15 13.0 3.2 - 25.6 29% none 0
16 QB Kyler MurrayMIN QB16 12.8 3.9 - 23.9 28% none 0
17 QB Baker MayfieldTB QB17 12.6 3.8 - 23.8 27% none 0
18 QB Jared GoffDET QB18 12.5 3.9 - 23.7 27% none 0
19 QB Sam DarnoldSEA QB19 12.4 4.2 - 22.6 26% broad +4
20 QB Tyler ShoughNO QB20 11.5 3.5 - 22.0 22% none -1
21 QB C.J. StroudHOU QB21 11.5 3.4 - 21.7 23% none -1
22 QB Jordan LoveGB QB22 11.5 3.4 - 21.9 23% none -1
23 QB Daniel JonesIND QB23 11.5 3.4 - 21.9 23% none -1
24 QB Malik WillisMIA QB24 10.9 3.3 - 21.1 20% none 0
25 QB Aaron RodgersPIT QB25 10.4 2.9 - 19.8 18% none 0
26 QB Bryce YoungCAR QB26 10.3 2.9 - 20.0 19% none 0
27 QB Cam WardTEN QB27 10.0 2.9 - 19.5 17% none 0
28 QB Kirk CousinsLV QB28 9.3 2.5 - 18.1 15% none 0
29 QB Geno SmithNYJ QB29 8.4 2.1 - 17.5 13% none 0
30 QB Jacoby BrissettARI QB30 8.2 2.5 - 16.0 11% none 0
31 QB Deshaun WatsonCLE QB31 8.2 2.4 - 15.8 10% none 0
32 QB Tua TagovailoaATL QB32 7.4 2.2 - 14.9 8% none 0
33 QB Joe Milton IIIDAL QB33 7.0 1.9 - 14.0 7% none 0
34 QB Carson BeckARI QB34 6.6 1.5 - 14.3 7% none 0
35 QB Zach WilsonNO QB35 6.2 1.6 - 12.5 5% none 0
36 QB Stetson BennettLAR QB36 6.2 1.7 - 12.6 5% none 0
37 QB Jalen MilroeSEA QB37 5.9 1.6 - 12.1 4% none 0
38 QB Anthony RichardsonIND QB38 5.9 1.6 - 12.2 5% none 0
39 QB Carson WentzMIN QB39 5.9 1.5 - 12.2 4% none 0
40 QB Andy DaltonPHI QB40 5.9 1.5 - 12.2 5% none 0
41 QB Taylen GreenCLE QB41 5.7 1.5 - 11.8 3% none 0
42 QB Fernando MendozaLV QB42 5.7 1.5 - 11.9 4% none 0
43 QB Will LevisTEN QB43 5.7 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
44 QB Chris OladokunKC QB44 5.7 1.5 - 11.8 4% none 0
45 QB Bailey ZappeNYJ QB45 5.7 1.5 - 11.6 4% none 0
46 QB Athan KaliakmanisWAS QB46 5.7 1.5 - 11.9 4% none 0
47 QB Dillon GabrielCLE QB47 5.7 1.5 - 11.5 4% none 0
48 QB Brandon AllenNYG QB48 5.7 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
49 QB Brady CookNYJ QB49 5.7 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
50 QB Kedon SlovisARI QB50 5.7 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
51 QB Easton StickIND QB51 5.6 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
52 QB Max BrosmerMIN QB52 5.6 1.5 - 11.6 4% none 0
53 QB Mason RudolphPIT QB53 5.6 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
54 QB Josh JohnsonCIN QB54 5.6 1.5 - 11.5 3% none 0
55 QB Hendon HookerTEN QB55 5.6 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
56 QB Cam MillerMIA QB56 5.6 1.5 - 11.6 4% none 0
57 QB Brett RypienHOU QB57 5.6 1.5 - 11.6 4% none 0
58 QB Cooper RushATL QB58 5.6 1.5 - 11.5 4% none 0
59 QB Kyle TraskCAR QB59 5.6 1.5 - 11.5 3% none 0
60 QB Garrett NussmeierKC QB60 5.6 1.5 - 11.6 4% none 0
61 QB Will HowardPIT QB61 5.6 1.5 - 11.8 4% none 0
62 QB Behren MortonNE QB62 5.6 1.5 - 11.5 4% none 0
63 QB Aidan O'ConnellLV QB63 5.6 1.5 - 11.3 3% none 0
64 QB Sam EhlingerDEN QB64 5.6 1.5 - 11.8 4% none 0
65 QB Adrian MartinezSF QB65 5.6 1.5 - 11.6 4% none 0
66 QB Cole PaytonPHI QB66 5.6 1.5 - 11.7 4% none 0
67 QB Sean CliffordCIN QB67 5.5 1.5 - 11.3 3% none 0
68 QB Shane BuecheleBUF QB68 5.5 1.5 - 11.4 4% none 0
69 QB Jake HaenerNYG QB69 5.5 1.5 - 11.1 3% none 0
70 QB Case KeenumCHI QB70 5.5 1.5 - 11.5 3% none 0
71 QB Kurtis RourkeSF QB71 5.5 1.2 - 11.7 4% none 0
72 QB Kyle McCordGB QB72 5.5 1.5 - 11.6 3% none 0
73 QB Shedeur SandersCLE QB73 5.2 1.4 - 11.0 3% none 0
74 QB J.J. McCarthyMIN QB74 5.0 1.3 - 10.3 3% none 0
75 QB Tommy DeVitoNE QB75 4.9 1.3 - 10.4 2% none 0
76 QB Drew AllarPIT QB76 4.9 1.3 - 10.4 2% none 0
77 QB Joshua DobbsDET QB77 4.8 1.3 - 10.1 2% none 0
78 QB Jameis WinstonNYG QB78 4.7 1.3 - 9.9 2% none 0
79 QB Ty SimpsonLAR QB79 4.6 1.2 - 10.0 2% none 0
80 QB Joe FlaccoCIN QB80 4.6 1.2 - 10.0 2% none 0
81 QB Kenny PickettCAR QB81 4.5 1.2 - 9.6 2% none 0
82 QB Justin FieldsKC QB82 4.3 1.1 - 9.2 2% none 0
83 QB Cade KlubnikNYJ QB83 4.3 1.1 - 9.3 2% none 0
84 QB Tanner McKeePHI QB84 4.3 1.1 - 9.2 2% none 0
85 QB Kyle AllenBUF QB85 4.2 1.1 - 9.1 2% none 0
86 QB Drew LockSEA QB86 4.2 1.1 - 9.1 1% none 0
87 QB Tyrod TaylorGB QB87 4.1 1.1 - 9.1 1% none 0
88 QB Tyler HuntleyBAL QB88 4.1 1.0 - 8.9 2% none 0
89 QB Sam HowellDAL QB89 4.1 1.1 - 8.8 1% none 0
90 QB Quinn EwersMIA QB90 4.1 1.1 - 8.9 1% none 0
91 QB Mac JonesSF QB91 4.1 1.1 - 9.1 2% none 0
92 QB Tyson BagentCHI QB92 4.0 1.1 - 8.6 1% none 0
93 QB Jarrett StidhamDEN QB93 4.0 1.0 - 8.4 1% none 0
94 QB Riley LeonardIND QB94 3.9 1.1 - 8.1 1% none 0
95 QB Trey LanceLAC QB95 3.9 1.0 - 8.7 1% none 0
96 QB Jake BrowningTB QB96 3.9 0.9 - 8.6 2% none 0
97 QB Mitchell TrubiskyTEN QB97 3.9 1.0 - 8.5 1% none 0
98 QB Marcus MariotaWAS QB98 3.9 0.8 - 8.7 2% none 0
99 QB Gardner MinshewARI QB99 3.8 1.0 - 8.4 1% none 0
100 QB Nick MullensJAX QB100 3.8 1.0 - 8.0 1% none 0
101 QB Michael Penix Jr.ATL QB101 3.8 0.8 - 8.2 1% none 0
102 QB Spencer RattlerNO QB102 3.8 1.0 - 8.1 1% none 0
103 QB Davis MillsHOU QB103 3.7 1.0 - 8.0 1% none 0

"Likely range" is the middle 80% of 4,000 simulated weeks; "Top 12" is the share of them finishing inside the top 12 at the position. These rankings are generated by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings and no consensus of outside rankers is involved. Projected points and ranges are simulated outcomes from that model.

Where these come from

These rankings are generated by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings and no consensus of outside rankers is involved. Projected points and ranges are simulated outcomes from that model.

Every projection is a fantasy-point distribution built from current-season usage for 0% of the board, a preseason draft-position prior for 100%, sportsbook player markets for 3%, then simulated 4,000 times to produce the mean and the likely range on this page. Ranks are ordered by projected points for Full PPR, 1QB. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured against the board of 2026-08-26.

No analyst rankings are used, bought or scraped, and nothing on this page is edited by hand. Model rankings-v1.2.0, board captured 2026-08-27.

Rankings generated by Let's Mock Draft (rankings-v1.2.0). Built with adp from balldontlie-fantasy-market, player market data via The Odds API, prediction-market prices via Polymarket, projection from balldontlie, status from balldontlie.

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