WAS · Bye 7
Devin Neal
Devin Neal comes off the board at 15.09 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.10.
14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 22, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ DET | 2.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 2 | @ BAL | 2.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 3 | vs LV | 1.8 | Pending | — |
| Wk 4 | vs ATL | 1.8 | Pending | — |
| Wk 5 | vs MIN | 1.8 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Devin Neal #225 in 1QB and #227 in Superflex, RB61 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#225
RB61 · tier 50 · of 300
Superflex
#227
RB61 · tier 42 · of 307
- Last season 51.5 pts 5.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 53% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 8.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 6% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.09
pick 205.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.10
half of simulations take him by pick 206
Draft range
15.06 - 15.14
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,937 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.10 in 91% of simulations
Pick 206 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.07 and 15.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.08 | 95% |
| 15.09 | 93% |
| 15.10 | 91% |
| 15.11 | 88% |
| 15.12 | 86% |
| 15.13 | 85% |
| 15.14 | 83% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.05 | 1% | 105 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 1% | 130 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 211 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 217 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 206 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 192 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 2% | 190 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.14 | 2% | 202 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1937 simulations in which Devin Neal was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 4%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
- Keaton Mitchell RB · LAC 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Usually taken just after
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Troy Franklin WR · DEN 3%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Devin Neal was selected in 1937 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 22, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@2e429633a807f950
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.