SEA · Bye 11
Emanuel Wilson
LMD RB34 for Week 4 · 7.0 projected Half PPR points · RB42 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.0 points this week, RB34. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 29% of simulated weeks. Up 12 since Week 3.
Week 4
RB34
126th by projected points
Rest of season
RB42
130th by projected points
Projected
7.0
week 4, Half PPR
Top 12
10%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 29% at RB
Movement
↑ 12
RB46 in Week 3, RB34 now
Should you start Emanuel Wilson in Week 4?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Emanuel Wilson RB34 for Week 4, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 29% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
RB34 vs RB66 +32
LMD has him RB34. The fantasy draft market has him RB66, 32 places lower.
Sportsbooks pricing him above our baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-0.69 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.06 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+0.95 pts
- Betting markets
- Positive+1.67 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Emanuel Wilson is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Emanuel Wilson has averaged -4.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 0.3 | — |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 9.2 | — |
| Wk 3 | @ WAS | 5.4 | 1.4 | -4.0 |
| Wk 4 | vs LAC | 7.0 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 85.6 points this season, RB42. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 7.1 a game over 14 remaining games. Up 13 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
7.1 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Emanuel Wilson #250 in 1QB and #253 in Superflex, RB69 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#250
RB69 · tier 57 · of 297
Superflex
#253
RB69 · tier 50 · of 303
- Last season 87.0 pts 5.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 86% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.05
pick 200.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 202
Draft range
14.10 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,747 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 82% of simulations
Pick 202 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 86% |
| 15.05 | 84% |
| 15.06 | 82% |
| 15.07 | 80% |
| 15.08 | 78% |
| 15.09 | 75% |
| 15.10 | 73% |
| 15.11 | 71% |
| 15.12 | 69% |
| 15.13 | 67% |
| 15.14 | 64% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.10 | <1% | 50 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 60 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 67 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 83 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | <1% | 71 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 226 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 231 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 236 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 196 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 214 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 228 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 200 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 194 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3747 simulations in which Emanuel Wilson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Kansas City Chiefs DST · KC 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Troy Franklin WR · DEN 3%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
- Jalen Nailor WR · LV 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Emanuel Wilson was selected in 3747 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.