MIA · Bye 6
Ollie Gordon II
LMD RB113 for Week 1 · 2.2 projected Half PPR points · RB114 rest of season
Regular season
Week 1 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 2.2 points this week, ranking him RB113. The middle 80% of simulated weeks falls between 0.6 to 4.7. No market priced him for this period, so the projection is statistical only. He has fallen 3 places since the previous board.
Week 1
RB113
376th by projected points
Rest of season
RB114
314th by projected points
Projected
2.2
week 1, Half PPR
Likely range
0.6 - 4.7
the middle 80% of simulated outcomes
Movement
-3
since the previous board; positive is up
Half PPR scoring · Updated August 31, 2026
These rankings are generated by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings and no consensus of outside rankers is involved. Projected points and ranges are simulated outcomes from that model.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ LV | 2.0 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 37.4 points this season, ranking him RB114. The middle 80% of simulated seasons falls between 25.1 to 50.8. That is 2.2 a game across 17 remaining games. No market priced him for this period, so the projection is statistical only. He has risen 3 places since the previous board.
Per game
2.2 / game
Over 17 remaining game(s)
Top 12 finish
0% of simulated seasons inside the top 12 at the position
Share of simulated RB12-or-better finishes
Market input
none
No market priced this player; the projection is statistical only.
Rankings generated by Let's Mock Draft (rankings-v1.2.0). Built with adp from balldontlie-fantasy-market, player market data via The Odds API, prediction-market prices via Polymarket, projection from balldontlie, status from balldontlie. · 2026 Rest of season board updated August 31, 2026
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
9.06
pick 102.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.06
half of simulations take him by pick 102
Draft range
6.06 - 12.05
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,729 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.06 in 57% of simulations
Pick 102 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 10.07, where he is available in 44% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 9.06 57% · 10.07 44% · 11.06 32% · 12.07 20% · 13.06 16% · 14.07 16% · 15.06 14%
The middle half of simulations take him between 7.08 and 11.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 9.04 | 59% |
| 9.05 | 58% |
| 9.06 | 57% |
| 9.07 | 56% |
| 9.08 | 55% |
| 9.09 | 54% |
| 9.10 | 53% |
| 9.11 | 52% |
| 9.12 | 51% |
| 10.01 | 50% |
| 10.02 | 49% |
| 10.03 | 48% |
| 10.04 | 47% |
| 10.05 | 46% |
| 10.06 | 45% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 6.06-6.08 | 3% | 271 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.09-6.11 | 3% | 311 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.02 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.03-7.05 | 3% | 256 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.08 | 3% | 254 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.09-7.11 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.02 | 3% | 266 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.05 | 3% | 315 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.08 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.11 | 3% | 298 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.02 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.05 | 3% | 307 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.08 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.11 | 3% | 286 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.02 | 3% | 328 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.05 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.08 | 3% | 312 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.11 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.02 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.05 | 3% | 300 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.08 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.11 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.02 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.05 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8729 simulations in which Ollie Gordon II was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kyle Monangai RB · CHI 2%
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 1%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 1%
- Aaron Jones RB · MIN 1%
Usually taken just after
- Kyle Monangai RB · CHI 1%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 1%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 1%
- Kenyon Sadiq TE · NYJ 1%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Ollie Gordon II was selected in 8729 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 3, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 3, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@7406217ff1c1d3dd
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-03)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.