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NFL · 2026 Week 9

2026 Week 9 RB Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published November 5, 2026, 18:08 UTC · first kickoff November 6, 2026, 01:15 UTC

Half PPR, 1QB · 102 players projected · updated November 5, 2026

View current weekly rankings

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 9 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times. The projected fantasy points those simulations produce set the order and the tiers.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

How the tiers work

Players are grouped into tiers at each position by projected fantasy points. A new tier starts where the projections separate, not after a set number of players, so tiers vary in size and a player who stands apart can be a tier on his own.

The breaks come from the best grouping of each position's projections, the method behind Jenks natural breaks, with gaps judged against how widely weekly scores vary at that position. The rule is the same every week and nobody places players by hand.

Within a tier, players are listed by projected points, but the gaps between them are small. They shouldn't decide a start/sit on their own.

A tier's band is the range of its players' projected points. It isn't a range of outcomes.

A player's 80% range is the middle of his simulated scores: the model puts 10% of outcomes below it and 10% above. Real scores can land outside it.

Players in neighbouring tiers often have overlapping ranges. A higher tier means more projected points, not a guarantee of outscoring everyone below it.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

How often a strong start lasts

Since 1999, 71% of RBs inside the top 12 through Week 8 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 324 RB-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.

What stood out in Week 9

102 RBs in 12 tiers for Week 9. Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 20.9 projected points.

Tiers break where projected points separate, and the differences inside a tier are small. Each 80% range is the middle 80% of that player's simulated scores; real scores can fall outside it.

2026 Week 9 RB Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: players grouped into tiers by projected fantasy points, each with his 80% range of simulated scores and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
Pos Player Proj
Tier 1 20.9 projected points
RB Jahmyr GibbsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 28% of the time, 4th to 12th 36%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 17%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB8 at the median, RB3 - RB18 in the middle half, and RB1 - RB32 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 28%Top 12: 63%Top 24: 83%
80% range: 7.8 - 37.2
 20.9
Tier 2 16.7 - 17.9 projected points
RB Kenneth Walker IIIKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 23%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB11 at the median, RB5 - RB23 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 19%Top 12: 53%Top 24: 77%
80% range: 6.5 - 32.3
 17.9
RB Christian McCaffreySFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB5 - RB29 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB44 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 19%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 69%
80% range: 5.1 - 33.2
 17.1
RB Bijan RobinsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 26%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB13 at the median, RB6 - RB25 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 50%Top 24: 74%
80% range: 6.5 - 29.6
 16.7
Tier 3 15.2 - 15.9 projected points
RB James Cook IIIBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 30%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 70%
80% range: 5.7 - 28.9
 15.9
RB D'Andre SwiftCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB16 at the median, RB6 - RB30 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 68%
80% range: 5.4 - 27.8
 15.3
RB Chuba HubbardCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB29 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 69%
80% range: 5.5 - 27.7
 15.2
Tier 4 13.0 - 14.4 projected points
RB Jonathan TaylorIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 35%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB31 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 39%Top 24: 65%
80% range: 5.2 - 25.5
 14.4
RB Kyren WilliamsLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB33 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB44 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 63%
80% range: 5.1 - 25.7
 14.1
RB Javonte WilliamsDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB18 at the median, RB8 - RB34 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 63%
80% range: 4.8 - 25.9
 13.9
RB Bucky IrvingTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB19 at the median, RB9 - RB34 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB45 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 60%
80% range: 5.0 - 24.4
 13.3
RB Chase BrownCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB9 - RB35 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 58%
80% range: 4.8 - 24.1
 13.1
RB Josh JacobsGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB9 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 55%
80% range: 3.7 - 25.6
 13.0
Tier 5 11.6 - 12.6 projected points
RB Ollie Gordon IIMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB10 - RB38 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 55%
80% range: 4.2 - 24.0
 12.6
RB Derrick HenryBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB11 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 55%
80% range: 4.4 - 22.7
 12.4
RB Cam SkatteboNYGQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB10 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB54 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 53%
80% range: 3.5 - 23.8
 12.3
RB Braelon AllenNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB22 at the median, RB11 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 55%
80% range: 4.6 - 21.9
 12.2
RB Quinshon JudkinsCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB22 at the median, RB11 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 54%
80% range: 4.4 - 22.6
 12.2
RB Breece HallNYJQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 50%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB11 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 50%
80% range: 3.2 - 24.3
 12.0
RB Ashton JeantyLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB22 at the median, RB12 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 55%
80% range: 4.8 - 21.8
 12.0
RB Rhamondre StevensonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB12 - RB38 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 53%
80% range: 4.5 - 21.3
 11.7
RB Jonah ColemanDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 50%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 50%
80% range: 3.8 - 22.4
 11.6
Tier 6 10.5 - 11.2 projected points
RB Woody MarksHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB25 at the median, RB13 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 49%
80% range: 4.0 - 21.0
 11.2
RB Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB30 at the median, RB14 - RB50 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 43%
80% range: 2.5 - 21.7
 10.6
RB Saquon BarkleyPHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB29 at the median, RB14 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 44%
80% range: 3.0 - 20.6
 10.5
Tier 7 8.3 - 9.5 projected points
RB Emanuel WilsonSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB31 at the median, RB16 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 41%
80% range: 3.2 - 18.1
 9.5
RB Bhayshul TutenJAXQQuestionable · projection includes a 71% chance of playing
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB13 - RB129 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB129 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 41%
80% range: 0.0 - 22.3
 9.5
RB Tyler AllgeierARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB17 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 38%
80% range: 3.5 - 17.1
 9.3
RB Rachaad WhiteWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB34 at the median, RB18 - RB48 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 36%
80% range: 3.1 - 17.4
 9.1
RB Blake CorumLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB18 - RB47 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 38%
80% range: 3.3 - 17.5
 9.1
RB Jadarian PriceSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB35 at the median, RB18 - RB49 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 35%
80% range: 2.9 - 17.3
 8.9
RB Zach CharbonnetSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB36 at the median, RB18 - RB53 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 35%
80% range: 2.4 - 18.1
 8.8
RB Aaron Jones Sr.MIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB36 at the median, RB20 - RB49 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 33%
80% range: 3.1 - 16.2
 8.5
RB Jordan MasonMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB19 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 33%
80% range: 2.7 - 16.4
 8.5
RB Alvin KamaraNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB20 - RB53 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 31%
80% range: 2.4 - 16.5
 8.3
Tier 8 6.2 - 7.6 projected points
RB Omarion HamptonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB22 - RB53 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 30%
80% range: 2.6 - 14.8
 7.6
RB Kenny GainwellTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB41 at the median, RB23 - RB55 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 27%
80% range: 2.4 - 14.8
 7.4
RB J.K. DobbinsDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB45 at the median, RB25 - RB58 in the middle half, and RB15 - RB68 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 24%
80% range: 2.3 - 13.1
 6.8
RB Mike Washington Jr.LV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB45 at the median, RB26 - RB58 in the middle half, and RB15 - RB67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 23%
80% range: 2.3 - 13.2
 6.7
RB Kendre MillerNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB44 at the median, RB26 - RB57 in the middle half, and RB14 - RB69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 22%
80% range: 2.2 - 13.6
 6.7
RB Kaelon BlackSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB47 at the median, RB27 - RB60 in the middle half, and RB17 - RB70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 21%
80% range: 2.2 - 12.6
 6.3
RB TreVeyon HendersonNEQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB49 at the median, RB28 - RB64 in the middle half, and RB15 - RB77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20%
80% range: 1.7 - 13.0
 6.2
Tier 9 4.8 - 6.0 projected points
RB Kimani VidalLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB48 at the median, RB31 - RB61 in the middle half, and RB18 - RB71 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 18%
80% range: 2.1 - 11.9
 6.0
RB Dylan SampsonCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB47 at the median, RB31 - RB61 in the middle half, and RB17 - RB73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 18%
80% range: 1.9 - 12.2
 6.0
RB Brian Robinson Jr.ATLQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB51 at the median, RB30 - RB68 in the middle half, and RB17 - RB81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 19%
80% range: 1.6 - 12.0
 5.9
RB Devin SingletaryNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB52 at the median, RB34 - RB66 in the middle half, and RB19 - RB78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16%
80% range: 1.7 - 11.3
 5.5
RB MarShawn LloydGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB51 at the median, RB32 - RB64 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 16%
80% range: 1.9 - 11.1
 5.5
RB Emmett JohnsonKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB49 at the median, RB34 - RB61 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 15%
80% range: 2.0 - 11.0
 5.5
RB Jam MillerATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB54 at the median, RB33 - RB72 in the middle half, and RB18 - RB86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16%
80% range: 1.3 - 11.7
 5.4
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB53 at the median, RB32 - RB66 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 16%
80% range: 1.7 - 11.0
 5.4
RB Keaton MitchellLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB51 at the median, RB36 - RB63 in the middle half, and RB21 - RB74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14%
80% range: 1.9 - 10.7
 5.3
RB Justice HillBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB50 at the median, RB37 - RB61 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB71 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 13%
80% range: 2.1 - 10.3
 5.3
RB Bam KnightARIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB55 at the median, RB36 - RB71 in the middle half, and RB20 - RB85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15%
80% range: 1.3 - 11.2
 5.1
RB Samaje PerineCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB57 at the median, RB38 - RB70 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%
80% range: 1.6 - 10.0
 4.8
Tier 10 3.3 - 4.6 projected points
RB Tyler GoodsonDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB58 at the median, RB40 - RB71 in the middle half, and RB23 - RB82 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%
80% range: 1.5 - 9.9
 4.6
RB Ty JohnsonBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB56 at the median, RB42 - RB69 in the middle half, and RB25 - RB80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
80% range: 1.6 - 9.5
 4.5
RB Seth McGowanIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB59 at the median, RB43 - RB72 in the middle half, and RB24 - RB83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
80% range: 1.5 - 9.5
 4.4
RB Elijah MitchellPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB61 at the median, RB43 - RB75 in the middle half, and RB24 - RB89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
80% range: 1.2 - 9.6
 4.3
RB Roschon JohnsonCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB62 at the median, RB45 - RB76 in the middle half, and RB26 - RB87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
80% range: 1.3 - 9.3
 4.1
RB Sione VakiDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB62 at the median, RB46 - RB74 in the middle half, and RB26 - RB85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
80% range: 1.4 - 9.0
 4.0
RB Andrew BeckNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB64 at the median, RB45 - RB79 in the middle half, and RB26 - RB92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9%
80% range: 1.1 - 9.3
 4.0
RB Kyle JuszczykSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB63 at the median, RB47 - RB76 in the middle half, and RB27 - RB87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
80% range: 1.3 - 8.9
 3.9
RB George HolaniSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB63 at the median, RB49 - RB75 in the middle half, and RB29 - RB86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
80% range: 1.4 - 8.5
 3.7
RB Corey KinerNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB69 at the median, RB52 - RB81 in the middle half, and RB28 - RB91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
80% range: 1.1 - 8.5
 3.5
RB Nate CarterKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB70 at the median, RB52 - RB87 in the middle half, and RB30 - RB99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
80% range: 0.9 - 8.1
 3.4
RB Jaylen WrightMIAQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB72 at the median, RB52 - RB86 in the middle half, and RB30 - RB98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6%
80% range: 0.9 - 8.3
 3.4
RB Austin EkelerWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB68 at the median, RB53 - RB81 in the middle half, and RB31 - RB93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
80% range: 1.1 - 8.0
 3.3
Tier 11 2.2 - 3.2 projected points
RB Evan HullARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB72 at the median, RB54 - RB87 in the middle half, and RB31 - RB101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
80% range: 0.8 - 8.0
 3.2
RB Phil MafahNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB74 at the median, RB56 - RB90 in the middle half, and RB32 - RB103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
80% range: 0.8 - 7.8
 3.1
RB Pierre Strong Jr.GB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB72 at the median, RB57 - RB85 in the middle half, and RB34 - RB97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
80% range: 0.9 - 7.4
 2.9
RB CJ DonaldsonNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB75 at the median, RB59 - RB90 in the middle half, and RB35 - RB101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
80% range: 0.8 - 7.3
 2.8
RB Audric EstiméNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB76 at the median, RB58 - RB91 in the middle half, and RB35 - RB104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
80% range: 0.7 - 7.4
 2.8
RB Isaiah DavisNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB75 at the median, RB61 - RB87 in the middle half, and RB38 - RB97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.9 - 7.0
 2.7
RB Anthony Tyus IIICAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB62 - RB92 in the middle half, and RB34 - RB103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
80% range: 0.8 - 7.4
 2.7
RB Kaleb JohnsonGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB62 - RB91 in the middle half, and RB36 - RB101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.8 - 7.1
 2.6
RB Eric GrayNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB79 at the median, RB60 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB38 - RB106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
80% range: 0.7 - 6.6
 2.6
RB Ray DavisBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB77 at the median, RB62 - RB89 in the middle half, and RB38 - RB99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.9 - 7.0
 2.6
RB DJ HermanMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB61 - RB93 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.7 - 6.8
 2.6
RB Jaleel McLaughlinCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB77 at the median, RB62 - RB89 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.9 - 6.5
 2.6
RB Velus Jones Jr.SEAQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB63 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.6 - 7.0
 2.5
RB Lan LarisonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB80 at the median, RB64 - RB93 in the middle half, and RB40 - RB105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
80% range: 0.7 - 6.2
 2.4
RB Khalil HerbertATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB66 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.6 - 6.8
 2.4
RB Israel AbanikandaDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB65 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.6 - 6.5
 2.4
RB Josh WilliamsTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB86 at the median, RB69 - RB100 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.5 - 6.9
 2.3
RB Zamir WhiteNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB86 at the median, RB67 - RB101 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
80% range: 0.5 - 6.6
 2.3
RB Trevor EtienneCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB69 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
80% range: 0.7 - 4.5
 2.2
Tier 12 1.4 - 2.1 projected points
RB Demond ClaiborneMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB69 - RB97 in the middle half, and RB51 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.7 - 3.9
 2.1
RB AJ DillonCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB70 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB48 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
80% range: 0.6 - 4.2
 2.1
RB Tahj BrooksCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB70 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB42 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.6 - 6.2
 2.1
RB Jarquez HunterNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB69 - RB100 in the middle half, and RB51 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
80% range: 0.5 - 3.9
 2.0
RB Cody SchraderDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB91 at the median, RB75 - RB105 in the middle half, and RB53 - RB114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
80% range: 0.5 - 3.7
 1.8
RB Dare OgunbowaleHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB89 at the median, RB73 - RB102 in the middle half, and RB55 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.5 - 3.4
 1.8
RB Jaret PattersonDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB72 - RB102 in the middle half, and RB56 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.5 - 3.3
 1.8
RB Robert Henry Jr.WAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB95 at the median, RB78 - RB109 in the middle half, and RB57 - RB117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.4 - 3.2
 1.7
RB Jordan JamesSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB91 at the median, RB77 - RB103 in the middle half, and RB58 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.5 - 3.0
 1.7
RB Patrick RicardNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB94 at the median, RB79 - RB106 in the middle half, and RB63 - RB114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.5 - 2.7
 1.6
RB Ameer AbdullahJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB95 at the median, RB82 - RB105 in the middle half, and RB64 - RB113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.5 - 2.6
 1.6
RB Terrell JenningsNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB97 at the median, RB82 - RB110 in the middle half, and RB61 - RB118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.4 - 2.8
 1.5
RB Emari DemercadoHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB100 at the median, RB85 - RB111 in the middle half, and RB61 - RB119 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.4 - 2.8
 1.5
RB Sincere McCormickSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB98 at the median, RB82 - RB111 in the middle half, and RB62 - RB119 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.4 - 2.8
 1.5
RB Craig ReynoldsWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB101 at the median, RB85 - RB112 in the middle half, and RB64 - RB120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.3 - 2.6
 1.4
RB Salvon AhmedCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB101 at the median, RB85 - RB113 in the middle half, and RB67 - RB120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
80% range: 0.3 - 2.3
 1.4

Simulated finishes

This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.

Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.

Week 9 RB outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.

Projected rank
Median finish
1361224366090120
  1. Tier 1 Jahmyr Gibbs
    RB8
    Jahmyr Gibbs is in Tier 1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB8 at the median, RB3 - RB18 in the middle half, and RB1 - RB32 in the middle 80%.
  2. Tier 2 Kenneth Walker III
    RB11
    Kenneth Walker III is in Tier 2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB11 at the median, RB5 - RB23 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  3. Tier 2 Christian McCaffrey
    RB14
    Christian McCaffrey is in Tier 2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB5 - RB29 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB44 in the middle 80%.
  4. Tier 2 Bijan Robinson
    RB13
    Bijan Robinson is in Tier 2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB13 at the median, RB6 - RB25 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  5. Tier 3 James Cook III
    RB14
    James Cook III is in Tier 3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
  6. Tier 3 D'Andre Swift
    RB16
    D'Andre Swift is in Tier 3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB16 at the median, RB6 - RB30 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
  7. Tier 3 Chuba Hubbard
    RB15
    Chuba Hubbard is in Tier 3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB7 - RB29 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
  8. Tier 4 Jonathan Taylor
    RB17
    Jonathan Taylor is in Tier 4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB31 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
  9. Tier 4 Kyren Williams
    RB17
    Kyren Williams is in Tier 4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB33 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB44 in the middle 80%.
  10. Tier 4 Javonte Williams
    RB18
    Javonte Williams is in Tier 4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB18 at the median, RB8 - RB34 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
  11. Tier 4 Bucky Irving
    RB19
    Bucky Irving is in Tier 4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB19 at the median, RB9 - RB34 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB45 in the middle 80%.
  12. Tier 4 Chase Brown
    RB20
    Chase Brown is in Tier 4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB9 - RB35 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
  13. Tier 4 Josh Jacobs
    RB21
    Josh Jacobs is in Tier 4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB9 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
  14. Tier 5 Ollie Gordon II
    RB21
    Ollie Gordon II is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB10 - RB38 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
  15. Tier 5 Derrick Henry
    RB21
    Derrick Henry is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB11 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  16. Tier 5 Cam Skattebo
    RB23
    Cam Skattebo is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB10 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB54 in the middle 80%.
  17. Tier 5 Braelon Allen
    RB22
    Braelon Allen is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB22 at the median, RB11 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
  18. Tier 5 Quinshon Judkins
    RB22
    Quinshon Judkins is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB22 at the median, RB11 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  19. Tier 5 Breece Hall
    RB24
    Breece Hall is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB11 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  20. Tier 5 Ashton Jeanty
    RB22
    Ashton Jeanty is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB22 at the median, RB12 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB46 in the middle 80%.
  21. Tier 5 Rhamondre Stevenson
    RB23
    Rhamondre Stevenson is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB12 - RB38 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  22. Tier 5 Jonah Coleman
    RB24
    Jonah Coleman is in Tier 5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
  23. Tier 6 Woody Marks
    RB25
    Woody Marks is in Tier 6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB25 at the median, RB13 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB50 in the middle 80%.
  24. Tier 6 Kyle Monangai
    RB30
    Kyle Monangai is in Tier 6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB30 at the median, RB14 - RB50 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB66 in the middle 80%.
Show RB25 - RB36
  1. Tier 6 Saquon Barkley
    RB29
    Saquon Barkley is in Tier 6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB29 at the median, RB14 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB59 in the middle 80%.
  2. Tier 7 Emanuel Wilson
    RB31
    Emanuel Wilson is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB31 at the median, RB16 - RB46 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  3. Tier 7 Bhayshul Tuten
    RB33
    Bhayshul Tuten is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB13 - RB129 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB129 in the middle 80%.
  4. Tier 7 Tyler Allgeier
    RB32
    Tyler Allgeier is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB17 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
  5. Tier 7 Rachaad White
    RB34
    Rachaad White is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB34 at the median, RB18 - RB48 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB59 in the middle 80%.
  6. Tier 7 Blake Corum
    RB33
    Blake Corum is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB33 at the median, RB18 - RB47 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  7. Tier 7 Jadarian Price
    RB35
    Jadarian Price is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB35 at the median, RB18 - RB49 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB60 in the middle 80%.
  8. Tier 7 Zach Charbonnet
    RB36
    Zach Charbonnet is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB36 at the median, RB18 - RB53 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB66 in the middle 80%.
  9. Tier 7 Aaron Jones Sr.
    RB36
    Aaron Jones Sr. is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB36 at the median, RB20 - RB49 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB59 in the middle 80%.
  10. Tier 7 Jordan Mason
    RB37
    Jordan Mason is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB19 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
  11. Tier 7 Alvin Kamara
    RB38
    Alvin Kamara is in Tier 7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB20 - RB53 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB65 in the middle 80%.
  12. Tier 8 Omarion Hampton
    RB40
    Omarion Hampton is in Tier 8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB22 - RB53 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB64 in the middle 80%.

Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.

The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.

How these are made

This board was built from 2026 usage for 79% of the board, draft position for 99%, an outside projection for 55%, sportsbook props for 68%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured November 5, 2026 18:05 UTC. Model rankings-v1.5.2, board captured 2026-11-05.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props).

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