GB · Bye 11
Josh Jacobs
LMD RB34 rest of season · 115.6 projected Full PPR points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 115.6 points this season, RB34. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 13% of simulated seasons. That is 8.8 a game over 13 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Up 2 since the Oct. 1 board.
Rest of season
RB34
107th by projected points
Projected
115.6
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 13% at RB
Movement
↑ 2
RB36 on Oct. 1, RB34 now
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Josh Jacobs, Jaylen Wright, And More Fantasy Football Buy-Low Trade Candidates Before Week 4
bundle.app ·
-
With a struggling offensive line and without No. 1 running back Josh Jacobs, Packers’ ground game has ground to a halt
channel3000.com ·
-
Packers Receive Huge Josh Jacobs Update Amid New Development
yardbarker.com ·
-
Packers news: NFL requests Josh Jacobs video with suspension pending
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Green Bay Packers: Josh Jacobs gets dire update from NFL insider after league’s request
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Josh Jacobs by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ MIN | 4.9 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB34, and for the rest of the season LMD still has him there.
Preseason market: RB34 · ADP 93.9
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB34 Even
Level with his RB34 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB34 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 115.6 points this season, RB34. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 13% of simulated seasons. That is 8.8 a game over 13 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Up 2 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
8.8 / game
Over 13 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 13%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Josh Jacobs #45 in 1QB and #55 in Superflex, RB17 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#45
RB17 · tier 14 · of 297
Superflex
#55
RB17 · tier 11 · of 303
- Last season 219.1 pts 14.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 89% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 19.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
2.12
pick 24.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
2.12
half of simulations take him by pick 24
Draft range
2.02 - 3.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 2.12 in 53% of simulations
Pick 24 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 3.01, where he is available in 48% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 2.12 53% · 3.01 48% · 4.12 <1% · 5.01 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.07 and 3.05.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 2.10 | 63% |
| 2.11 | 58% |
| 2.12 | 53% |
| 3.01 | 48% |
| 3.02 | 43% |
| 3.03 | 38% |
| 3.04 | 33% |
| 3.05 | 29% |
| 3.06 | 25% |
| 3.07 | 21% |
| 3.08 | 18% |
| 3.09 | 15% |
| 3.10 | 12% |
| 3.11 | 10% |
| 3.12 | 8% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 2% | 198 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.03 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.04 | 3% | 273 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.05 | 3% | 307 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.06 | 4% | 373 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.08 | 5% | 467 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09 | 5% | 532 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 5% | 495 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 5% | 482 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 5% | 509 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 5% | 496 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 4% | 423 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 4% | 380 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 3% | 324 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 3% | 253 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 2% | 231 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Josh Jacobs was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 5%
- Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 5%
- Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI 5%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 4%
Usually taken just after
- Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 5%
- Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI 5%
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 4%
- Josh Allen QB · BUF 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Josh Jacobs was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.