NFL · 2026 Week 1

2026 Week 1 Half PPR WR Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published September 9, 2026, 18:40 UTC · first kickoff September 10, 2026, 00:20 UTC

Half PPR, 1QB · 112 players projected · updated September 9, 2026

See how these rankings performed

View current weekly rankings

Week 1 starts from preseason projections and draft position, with current availability and market signals layered in.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 1 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

What stood out in Week 1

112 WRs ranked for Week 1. Puka Nacua leads at 15.9 projected points.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

  • Jayden ReedWR38Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 22% +14 vs. WR52
  • Jalen CokerWR46Sportsbooks pricing him above our baseline +10 vs. WR56
  • Matthew GoldenWR33Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 22% +8 vs. WR41

Behind

  • Courtland SuttonWR45Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 20% -15 vs. WR30
  • Jaylen WaddleWR29Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 12% · Top 24: 25% -7 vs. WR22
  • Christian WatsonWR40Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 23% -7 vs. WR33
2026 Week 1 Half PPR WR Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 WR Puka NacuaLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 22% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 30%.
Top 3: 22%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 70%
WR1 15.9
2 WR Ja'Marr ChaseCINQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 21% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 37%.
Top 3: 21%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 63%
WR2 15.7
3 WR Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 36%.
Top 3: 18%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 64%
WR3 14.6
4 WR Amon-Ra St. BrownDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 37%.
Top 3: 17%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 63%
WR4 14.3
5 WR CeeDee LambDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 42%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 41%Top 24: 59%
WR5 13.1
6 WR Justin JeffersonMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 45%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 55%
WR6 12.4
7 WR Nico CollinsHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 48%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 34%Top 24: 52%
WR7 11.4
8 WR Drake LondonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 48%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 52%
WR8 11.2
9 WR A.J. BrownNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 48%
WR9 10.7
10 WR George PickensDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 48%
WR10 10.6
11 WR DeVonta SmithPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 53%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 47%
WR11 10.4
12 WR Chris OlaveNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 55%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 45%
WR12 10.3
13 WR Tetairoa McMillanCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 56%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 44%
WR13 9.8
14 WR Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 41%
WR14 9.5
15 WR Rashee RiceKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 41%
WR15 9.3
16 WR Garrett WilsonNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 58%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 42%
WR16 9.2
17 WR Emeka EgbukaTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 38%
WR17 8.9
18 WR Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 38%
WR18 8.9
19 WR Davante AdamsLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 38%
WR19 8.8
20 WR Tee HigginsCINQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 65%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 35%
WR20 8.5
21 WR Ladd McConkeyLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 63%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 37%
WR21 8.4
22 WR Luther Burden IIICHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 69%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31%
WR22 7.6
23 WR Rome OdunzeCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 70%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 30%
WR23 7.4
24 WR DJ MooreBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28%
WR24 7.1
25 WR DK MetcalfPITQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 28%
WR25 7.0
26 WR Jameson WilliamsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28%
WR26 6.9
27 WR Terry McLaurinWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27%
WR27 6.9
28 WR Mike EvansSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 74%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 26%
WR28 6.7
29 WR Jaylen WaddleDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25%
WR29 6.4
30 WR Carnell TateTENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 24%
WR30 6.3
31 WR Alec PierceIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24%
WR31 6.2
32 WR Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24%
WR32 6.2
33 WR Matthew GoldenGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22%
WR33 6.0
34 WR Michael WilsonARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
WR34 6.0
35 WR Wan'Dale RobinsonTENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
WR35 5.9
36 WR Jordan AddisonMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
WR36 5.9
37 WR Parker WashingtonJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22%
WR37 5.9
38 WR Jayden ReedGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22%
WR38 5.9
39 WR Quentin JohnstonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23%
WR39 5.9
40 WR Christian WatsonGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23%
WR40 5.9
41 WR Brian Thomas Jr.JAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22%
WR41 5.9
42 WR Michael PittmanPITQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22%
WR42 5.8
43 WR Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21%
WR43 5.7
44 WR Stefon DiggsWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20%
WR44 5.7
45 WR Courtland SuttonDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20%
WR45 5.5
46 WR Jalen CokerCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19%
WR46 5.5
47 WR Chris Godwin Jr.TB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19%
WR47 5.5
48 WR De'Zhaun StriblingSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 18%
WR48 5.4
49 WR Tre TuckerLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18%
WR49 5.4
50 WR Devaughn VeleNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17%
WR50 5.3
51 WR Khalil ShakirBUFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18%
WR51 5.3
52 WR Rashid ShaheedSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16%
WR52 5.0
53 WR KC ConcepcionCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15%
WR53 4.8
54 WR Josh DownsINDQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14%
WR54 4.7
55 WR Romeo DoubsNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15%
WR55 4.7
56 WR Deebo Samuel Sr.SF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14%
WR56 4.6
57 WR Makai LemonPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15%
WR57 4.5
58 WR Xavier WorthyKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13%
WR58 4.3
59 WR Adonai MitchellNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13%
WR59 4.2
60 WR Dontayvion WicksPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12%
WR60 4.2
61 WR Calvin RidleyTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
WR61 4.2
62 WR Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13%
WR62 4.1
63 WR Malik WashingtonMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
WR63 4.0
64 WR Denzel BostonCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%
WR64 4.0
65 WR Cooper KuppSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%
WR65 4.0
66 WR Jalen NailorLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10%
WR66 3.9
67 WR Kayshon BoutteHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%
WR67 3.9
68 WR Jerry JeudyCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
WR68 3.9
69 WR Rashod BatemanBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%
WR69 3.8
70 WR Caleb DouglasMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9%
WR70 3.8
71 WR Jauan JenningsMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9%
WR71 3.7
72 WR Tre HarrisLACQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%
WR72 3.7
73 WR Jaylin NoelHOUQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10%
WR73 3.5
74 WR Xavier HutchinsonHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8%
WR74 3.4
75 WR Travis HunterJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8%
WR75 3.2
76 WR Keenan AllenIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
WR76 3.2
77 WR Ja'Kobi LaneBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8%
WR77 3.2
78 WR Xavier LegetteCARQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
WR78 3.1
79 WR Germie BernardPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
WR79 3.1
80 WR Malachi FieldsNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6%
WR80 3.0
81 WR Jahan DotsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6%
WR81 3.0
82 WR Jack BechLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR82 2.7
83 WR DeMario DouglasNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR83 2.7
84 WR Isaac TeSlaaDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR84 2.6
85 WR Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR85 2.6
86 WR Jalen TolbertMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR86 2.6
87 WR Kendrick BourneARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR87 2.6
88 WR Ryan FlournoyDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR88 2.5
89 WR Chris BellMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR89 2.5
90 WR Zachariah BranchATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR90 2.4
91 WR Antonio WilliamsWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR91 2.3
92 WR Tyquan ThorntonKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR92 2.3
93 WR Pat BryantDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR93 2.3
94 WR Keon ColemanBUFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
WR94 2.3
95 WR Kalif RaymondCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
WR95 2.3
96 WR Andrei IosivasCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR96 2.2
97 WR Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
WR97 2.2
98 WR Darnell MooneyNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR98 2.2
99 WR Malik BensonLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR99 2.2
100 WR Bryce LanceNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
WR100 2.2
101 WR Ted Hurst IIITB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR101 2.2
102 WR Marvin Mims Jr.DENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR102 2.2
103 WR Mack HollinsNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
WR103 2.1
104 WR Cyrus AllenKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
WR104 2.0
105 WR KaVontae TurpinDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
WR105 2.0
106 WR Kyle WilliamsNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
WR106 1.9
107 WR Treylon BurksWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
WR107 1.9
108 WR Devontez WalkerBALQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
WR108 1.9
109 WR Troy FranklinDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
WR109 1.9
110 WR Dyami BrownWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
WR110 1.8
111 WR Isaiah BondCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2%
WR111 1.8
112 WR Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
WR112 1.8

How these are made

This board was built from draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 64%, sportsbook props for 30%, an official status for 85%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 9, 2026 18:39 UTC. Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-09.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); Polymarket (prediction-market prices); The Odds API (player props).

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