NFL · 2026 Week 1

2026 Week 1 Half PPR QB Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published September 9, 2026, 18:40 UTC · first kickoff September 10, 2026, 00:20 UTC

Half PPR, 1QB · 104 players projected · updated September 9, 2026

Week 1 starts from preseason projections and draft position, with current availability and market signals layered in.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 1 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3: how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12: how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24: how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

What stood out in Week 1

104 QBs ranked for Week 1. Josh Allen leads at 21.2 projected points.

Tier break

2.1 projected points separate QB32 Tua Tagovailoa from QB33 Adrian Martinez.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

Geno SmithQB31Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 32% +36 vs. QB67
Malik WillisQB20Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 26% · Top 24: 51% +4 vs. QB24

Behind

Patrick MahomesQB19Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 8% · Top 12: 27% · Top 24: 47% -4 vs. QB15

2026 Week 1 Half PPR QB Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
#	Pos	Player	Pos rank	Proj	Outcome profile	Top 3	Top 12	Top 24
1	QB	Josh AllenBUF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 22%. Top 3: 24%Top 12: 58%Top 24: 78%	QB1	21.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 22%.	24%	58%	78%
2	QB	Lamar JacksonBAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 23% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 23%. Top 3: 23%Top 12: 56%Top 24: 77%	QB2	20.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 23% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 23%.	23%	56%	77%
3	QB	Jalen HurtsPHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 26%. Top 3: 19%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 74%	QB3	19.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 26%.	19%	52%	74%
4	QB	Drake MayeNE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 26%. Top 3: 18%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 74%	QB4	18.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 26%.	18%	52%	74%
5	QB	Jayden DanielsWAS Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 29%. Top 3: 16%Top 12: 48%Top 24: 71%	QB5	18.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 29%.	16%	48%	71%
6	QB	Joe BurrowCIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 30%. Top 3: 16%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 70%	QB6	18.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 30%.	16%	47%	70%
7	QB	Jaxson DartNYG Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 33%. Top 3: 13%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 67%	QB7	16.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 33%.	13%	44%	67%
8	QB	Dak PrescottDAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 34%. Top 3: 14%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 66%	QB8	16.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 34%.	14%	43%	66%
9	QB	Justin HerbertLAC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 35%. Top 3: 12%Top 12: 41%Top 24: 65%	QB9	16.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 35%.	12%	41%	65%
10	QB	Caleb WilliamsCHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 38%. Top 3: 11%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 62%	QB10	15.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 38%.	11%	38%	62%
11	QB	Matthew StaffordLAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 37%. Top 3: 11%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 63%	QB11	15.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 37%.	11%	38%	63%
12	QB	Trevor LawrenceJAX Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 40%. Top 3: 9%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 60%	QB12	14.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 40%.	9%	35%	60%
13	QB	Kyler MurrayMIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 43%. Top 3: 8%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 57%	QB13	14.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 43%.	8%	33%	57%
14	QB	Brock PurdySF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 44%. Top 3: 8%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 56%	QB14	14.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 44%.	8%	32%	56%
15	QB	Bo NixDEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 48%. Top 3: 8%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 52%	QB15	13.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 48%.	8%	30%	52%
16	QB	Baker MayfieldTB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 46%. Top 3: 7%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 54%	QB16	13.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 46%.	7%	29%	54%
17	QB	Jared GoffDET Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 47%. Top 3: 6%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 54%	QB17	13.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 47%.	6%	29%	54%
18	QB	Tyler ShoughNO Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 48%. Top 3: 6%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 52%	QB18	13.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 48%.	6%	27%	52%
19	QB	Patrick MahomesKCQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 53%. Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 47%	QB19	13.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 53%.	8%	27%	47%
20	QB	Malik WillisMIA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 49%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 51%	QB20	12.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 49%.	5%	26%	51%
21	QB	Daniel JonesIND Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 51%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 49%	QB21	12.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 51%.	5%	26%	49%
22	QB	Jordan LoveGB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 51%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 49%	QB22	12.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 51%.	5%	25%	49%
23	QB	Sam DarnoldSEA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 48%	QB23	12.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%.	5%	25%	48%
24	QB	C.J. StroudHOU Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 48%	QB24	12.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%.	5%	24%	48%
25	QB	Bryce YoungCAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 53%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 47%	QB25	12.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 53%.	5%	24%	47%
26	QB	Aaron RodgersPIT Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 59%. Top 3: 4%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 41%	QB26	11.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 59%.	4%	20%	41%
27	QB	Jacoby BrissettARI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 59%. Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 41%	QB27	11.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 59%.	3%	19%	41%
28	QB	Kirk CousinsLV Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 60%. Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 40%	QB28	10.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 60%.	3%	19%	40%
29	QB	Cam WardTEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 61%. Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 39%	QB29	10.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 61%.	3%	17%	39%
30	QB	Deshaun WatsonCLE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 68%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 32%	QB30	9.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 68%.	2%	12%	32%
31	QB	Geno SmithNYJ Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 68%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 32%	QB31	9.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 68%.	2%	13%	32%
32	QB	Tua TagovailoaATL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 71%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 29%	QB32	9.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 71%.	1%	11%	29%
33	QB	Adrian MartinezSF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 81%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 19%	QB33	7.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 81%.	1%	6%	19%
34	QB	Max BrosmerMIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16%	QB34	6.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%.	0%	5%	16%
35	QB	Stetson BennettLAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14%	QB35	6.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%.	1%	4%	14%
36	QB	Kedon SlovisARI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%	QB36	6.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%.	0%	4%	13%
37	QB	Mason RudolphPIT Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%	QB37	5.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%.	0%	4%	13%
38	QB	Zach WilsonNO Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%	QB38	5.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	3%	12%
39	QB	Joe Milton IIIDAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 13%	QB39	5.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%.	0%	3%	13%
40	QB	Will LevisTEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%	QB40	5.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	4%	12%
41	QB	Anthony RichardsonIND Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%	QB41	5.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%.	1%	4%	12%
42	QB	Sean CliffordCIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB42	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
43	QB	Josh JohnsonCIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%	QB43	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	3%	12%
44	QB	Jake HaenerNYG Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%	QB44	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	4%	11%
45	QB	Haynes KingCARQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%	QB45	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	1%	4%	12%
46	QB	Brett RypienHOU Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%	QB46	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	3%	12%
47	QB	Bailey ZappeNYJ Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%	QB47	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	3%	12%
48	QB	Aidan O'ConnellLV Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB48	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
49	QB	Brady CookNYJ Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB49	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
50	QB	Andy DaltonPHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%	QB50	5.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	4%	12%
51	QB	Easton StickIND Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB51	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
52	QB	Hendon HookerTEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB52	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
53	QB	Carson BeckARI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB53	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
54	QB	Taylen GreenCLE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%	QB54	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	3%	12%
55	QB	Cam MillerMIA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB55	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
56	QB	Fernando MendozaLV Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%	QB56	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	4%	11%
57	QB	Jack StrandATL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB57	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
58	QB	Athan KaliakmanisWAS Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%	QB58	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.	0%	3%	10%
59	QB	Garrett NussmeierKC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB59	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
60	QB	Jalen MilroeSEA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%	QB60	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	4%	11%
61	QB	Carson WentzMIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB61	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
62	QB	Will HowardPIT Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB62	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
63	QB	Behren MortonNE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%	QB63	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.	0%	3%	12%
64	QB	Joe FagnanoBAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB64	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
65	QB	Shane BuecheleBUF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB65	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
66	QB	Jake BrowningTB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB66	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
67	QB	Nick MullensJAX Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB67	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
68	QB	Kyle TraskCAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB68	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
69	QB	Case KeenumCHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB69	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
70	QB	Kurtis RourkeSF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%	QB70	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.	0%	3%	10%
71	QB	Brandon AllenNYG Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB71	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
72	QB	Sam EhlingerDEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB72	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
73	QB	Cole PaytonPHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%	QB73	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.	0%	3%	11%
74	QB	Shedeur SandersCLE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%	QB74	5.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%.	0%	2%	9%
75	QB	J.J. McCarthyMIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%	QB75	5.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%.	0%	2%	9%
76	QB	Jalon DanielsTB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%	QB76	4.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.	0%	2%	8%
77	QB	Drew AllarPIT Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%	QB77	4.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.	0%	2%	8%
78	QB	Tommy DeVitoNE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%	QB78	4.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%.	0%	2%	7%
79	QB	Kyle AllenBUF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%	QB79	4.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.	0%	2%	7%
80	QB	Joshua DobbsDET Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%	QB80	4.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.	0%	1%	6%
81	QB	Justin FieldsKC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6%	QB81	4.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.	0%	2%	6%
82	QB	Gardner MinshewARI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%	QB82	4.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.	0%	1%	6%
83	QB	Jameis WinstonNYG Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%	QB83	4.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.	0%	1%	6%
84	QB	Tyrod TaylorGB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%	QB84	4.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.	0%	1%	6%
85	QB	Kenny PickettCAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%	QB85	4.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.	0%	1%	6%
86	QB	Sam HowellDAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB86	4.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
87	QB	Ty SimpsonLAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB87	4.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
88	QB	Tyson BagentCHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB88	4.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
89	QB	Joe FlaccoCIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB89	4.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
90	QB	Drew LockSEA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB90	4.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
91	QB	Trey LanceLAC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB91	4.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
92	QB	Tyler HuntleyBAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB92	4.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
93	QB	Cade KlubnikNYJ Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB93	4.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
94	QB	Cooper RushATL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB94	4.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
95	QB	Quinn EwersMIA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB95	4.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
96	QB	Riley LeonardIND Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB96	3.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
97	QB	Jarrett StidhamDEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%	QB97	3.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.	0%	1%	4%
98	QB	Tanner McKeePHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%	QB98	3.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.	0%	1%	4%
99	QB	Kyle McCordGB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%	QB99	3.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.	0%	1%	4%
100	QB	Mac JonesSF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%	QB100	3.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.	0%	1%	4%
101	QB	Marcus MariotaWASQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB101	3.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
102	QB	Spencer RattlerNO Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB102	3.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%
103	QB	Davis MillsHOU Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%	QB103	3.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.	0%	1%	4%
104	QB	Mitchell TrubiskyTENQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%	QB104	3.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.	0%	1%	5%

How these are made

This board was built from draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 64%, sportsbook props for 30%, an official status for 85%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 9, 2026 18:39 UTC. Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-09.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); Polymarket (prediction-market prices); The Odds API (player props).

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