Fantasy Football · 2026

Draft Return

Half PPR · 132 drafted players with a qualifying benchmark

Draft Return compares where the draft market took a player with where he ranks at his position now. The preseason side is Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP from 2026-09-09 -- the last aggregate draft market published before the season's first kickoff; it is fixed for the season and is never assembled from more than one day -- and the current side is our own rest-of-season projection.

Both sides are positional ranks in Half PPR, because an ADP is a pick number and a projection board is an ordering of expected points, and the two share no unit. Preseason positional rank - current positional rank; positive means the player has outperformed the position he was drafted at.

Draft Return deltas are ordinal rank differences. They describe one player against one position and may not be summed, averaged or compared across positions without a value curve that converts a rank into a quantity.

Preseason market against the board now

WR Draft Return

Scoring

Where each player ranks at his position on our rest-of-season projection, against where the draft market took him. A forecast, not a result.

Up (17)Held (10)Down (28) The diagonal is a player sitting exactly where the preseason market had him. Above it he is ranked higher than the preseason market; below it, lower. Better ranks are up and to the left on both axes: rank 1 is the top of the chart and the left edge. Every plotted player is named in the table below.

Moved up most vs preseason market

Moved down most vs preseason market

Every drafted WR

WR Draft Return, Rest of season, Half PPR. The diagonal is a player sitting exactly where the preseason market had him. Above it he is ranked higher than the preseason market; below it, lower.
Player Preseason ADP Rest of season Return Move
Puka Nacua WR1 3.6 WR2 -1 Held
Ja'Marr Chase WR2 3.9 WR4 -2 Held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR3 6.0 WR1 +2 Held
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR4 7.6 WR3 +1 Held
CeeDee Lamb WR5 12.1 WR6 -1 Held
Justin Jefferson WR6 12.8 WR9 -3 Down
A.J. Brown WR8 17.3 WR31 -23 Down
George Pickens WR9 20.4 WR21 -12 Down
Nico Collins WR11 21.0 WR11 0 Held
Chris Olave WR12 22.9 WR8 +4 Up
Zay Flowers WR13 24.0 WR25 -12 Down
Malik Nabers WR14 27.8 WR7 +7 Up
Garrett Wilson WR15 28.5 WR20 -5 Down
DeVonta Smith WR16 30.2 WR16 0 Held
Tetairoa McMillan WR17 30.4 WR10 +7 Up
Emeka Egbuka WR18 34.1 WR30 -12 Down
Davante Adams WR19 36.2 WR51 -32 Down
Tee Higgins WR20 36.2 WR5 +15 Up
Jameson Williams WR21 37.2 WR22 -1 Held
Ladd McConkey WR22 39.9 WR39 -17 Down
DJ Moore WR23 45.4 WR32 -9 Down
Terry McLaurin WR24 45.6 WR56 -32 Down
Jaylen Waddle WR25 45.7 WR40 -15 Down
Rome Odunze WR26 48.2 WR42 -16 Down
Luther Burden III WR27 50.5 WR18 +9 Up
Christian Watson WR28 52.4 WR15 +13 Up
Mike Evans WR29 55.9 WR17 +12 Up
Parker Washington WR30 62.1 WR19 +11 Up
Courtland Sutton WR31 62.3 WR58 -27 Down
DK Metcalf WR32 62.4 WR34 -2 Held
Alec Pierce WR33 63.5 WR112 -79 Down
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR34 66.9 WR65 -31 Down
Brian Thomas Jr. WR35 69.9 WR99 -64 Down
Michael Wilson WR36 72.6 WR24 +12 Up
Carnell Tate WR37 76.3 WR27 +10 Up
Chris Godwin Jr. WR38 77.6 WR66 -28 Down
Michael Pittman Jr. WR39 79.7 WR108 -69 Down
Jayden Reed WR40 85.3 WR90 -50 Down
Quentin Johnston WR41 85.8 WR59 -18 Down
Jordan Addison WR42 88.9 WR47 -5 Down
Jakobi Meyers WR43 93.8 WR53 -10 Down
Wan'Dale Robinson WR44 94.9 WR50 -6 Down
Xavier Worthy WR45 95.6 WR46 -1 Held
Matthew Golden WR46 96.2 WR13 +33 Up
Josh Downs WR47 96.9 WR54 -7 Down
Stefon Diggs WR48 98.7 WR28 +20 Up
Romeo Doubs WR49 99.6 WR70 -21 Down
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR51 111.1 WR35 +16 Up
KC Concepcion Jr. WR52 113.5 WR41 +11 Up
Rashid Shaheed WR54 118.3 WR69 -15 Down
Makai Lemon WR55 122.3 WR44 +11 Up
De'Zhaun Stribling WR56 122.8 WR83 -27 Down
Tre Tucker WR58 131.2 WR49 +9 Up
Jalen McMillan WR59 132.6 WR127 -68 Down
Denzel Boston WR60 139.1 WR37 +23 Up

Based on players with a qualifying preseason draft-market benchmark: 132 of the 203 the Fantasy Football Calculator board of 2026-09-09 priced. Everyone else is listed below with the reason rather than shown at zero.

Who is not on the chart
40
The market priced him off too few drafts for the comparison to mean anything.
31
Kickers and team defences are priced by the draft market and ranked by no board we publish.

Sources

Where these numbers come from

Preseason ranks are positional ranks over Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP board of 2026-09-09, counted over that board's own order. A price behind fewer than 25 drafts is not used. Current ranks come from our own board of 2026-11-05 (rankings-v1.5.2).

Preseason positional rank - current positional rank; positive means the player has outperformed the position he was drafted at.

Draft Return deltas are ordinal rank differences. They describe one player against one position and may not be summed, averaged or compared across positions without a value curve that converts a rank into a quantity.

ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator