HOU · Bye 8

C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud comes off the board at 15.01 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.03.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

15.01

pick 169.2 overall, on average

Median pick

15.03

half of simulations take him by pick 171

Draft range

14.01 - 15.11

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 3,826 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams

Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard

QB format 1QB also published: Superflex

Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.03 in 82% of simulations

Pick 171 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.08 and 15.08.

C.J. Stroud still on the board
Pick	Available
15.01	86%
15.02	84%
15.03	82%
15.04	80%
15.05	78%
15.06	76%
15.07	74%
15.08	72%
15.09	70%
15.10	68%
15.11	66%
15.12	64%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which C.J. Stroud was selected at each pick, 14.01 through 15.11. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 2%, undrafted in 62%.

Draft position distribution for C.J. Stroud
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
14.01	<1%	76 of 10000 simulations
14.02	<1%	76 of 10000 simulations
14.03	<1%	76 of 10000 simulations
14.04	<1%	82 of 10000 simulations
14.05	<1%	56 of 10000 simulations
14.06	<1%	78 of 10000 simulations
14.07	<1%	97 of 10000 simulations
14.08	<1%	94 of 10000 simulations
14.09	<1%	98 of 10000 simulations
14.10	1%	107 of 10000 simulations
14.11	1%	116 of 10000 simulations
14.12	<1%	95 of 10000 simulations
15.01	2%	217 of 10000 simulations
15.02	2%	204 of 10000 simulations
15.03	2%	208 of 10000 simulations
15.04	2%	201 of 10000 simulations
15.05	2%	205 of 10000 simulations
15.06	2%	216 of 10000 simulations
15.07	2%	208 of 10000 simulations
15.08	2%	204 of 10000 simulations
15.09	2%	189 of 10000 simulations
15.10	2%	200 of 10000 simulations
15.11	2%	209 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 3826 simulations in which C.J. Stroud was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 3%
Green Bay Packers DST · GB 3%
Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
Andy Borregales K · NE 3%

Usually taken just after

Andy Borregales K · NE 3%
Jake Bates K · DET 3%
Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
Green Bay Packers DST · GB 2%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

C.J. Stroud was selected in 3826 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

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