TEN · Bye 9
Cam Ward
Cam Ward comes off the board at 14.02 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 14.06.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
14.02
pick 158.1 overall, on average
Median pick
14.06
half of simulations take him by pick 162
Draft range
12.06 - 15.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,829 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.06 in 71% of simulations
Pick 162 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 15.07, where he is available in 53% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 14.06 71% · 15.07 53%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.10 and 15.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.04 | 73% |
| 14.05 | 72% |
| 14.06 | 71% |
| 14.07 | 70% |
| 14.08 | 69% |
| 14.09 | 68% |
| 14.10 | 67% |
| 14.11 | 66% |
| 14.12 | 65% |
| 15.01 | 64% |
| 15.02 | 62% |
| 15.03 | 60% |
| 15.04 | 58% |
| 15.05 | 56% |
| 15.06 | 55% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.06-12.07 | 5% | 454 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 5% | 483 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 282 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 58 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 77 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 50 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 44 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 63 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | 1% | 126 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 1% | 147 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 1% | 147 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 2% | 195 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 2% | 204 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 2% | 207 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 3% | 302 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 4% | 399 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 4% | 357 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 4% | 387 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08-15.09 | 4% | 384 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5829 simulations in which Cam Ward was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 2%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 2%
- Tyler Shough QB · NO 2%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 3%
- Deebo Samuel WR · SF 2%
- Fernando Mendoza QB · LV 2%
- Tyler Shough QB · NO 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Cam Ward was selected in 5829 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.