WAS · Bye 7
Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels comes off the board at 5.07 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 5.07.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
5.07
pick 54.8 overall, on average
Median pick
5.07
half of simulations take him by pick 55
Draft range
4.02 - 6.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.07 in 51% of simulations
Pick 55 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 6.06, where he is available in 20% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 5.07 51% · 6.06 20% · 7.07 2% · 8.06 <1% · 9.07 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.10 and 6.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.05 | 57% |
| 5.06 | 54% |
| 5.07 | 51% |
| 5.08 | 48% |
| 5.09 | 44% |
| 5.10 | 42% |
| 5.11 | 38% |
| 5.12 | 35% |
| 6.01 | 33% |
| 6.02 | 30% |
| 6.03 | 27% |
| 6.04 | 25% |
| 6.05 | 22% |
| 6.06 | 20% |
| 6.07 | 17% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.02-4.03 | 3% | 340 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04-4.05 | 4% | 377 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06-4.07 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08-4.09 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.11 | 5% | 482 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12-5.01 | 5% | 532 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02-5.03 | 6% | 630 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04-5.05 | 6% | 593 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06-5.07 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08-5.09 | 6% | 608 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10-5.11 | 6% | 632 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 5% | 519 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 6% | 550 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 5% | 483 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 4% | 444 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 4% | 374 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10 | 2% | 179 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Jayden Daniels was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Caleb Williams QB · CHI 3%
- Tyler Warren TE · IND 3%
- Joe Burrow QB · CIN 3%
- Davante Adams WR · LAR 2%
Usually taken just after
- Caleb Williams QB · CHI 3%
- Tyler Warren TE · IND 3%
- Joe Burrow QB · CIN 2%
- Lamar Jackson QB · BAL 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Jayden Daniels was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.