IND · Bye 13

Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones comes off the board at 12.07 on average in 12-team Half PPR Superflex mock drafts, with a median of 12.02.

12-team Half PPR Superflex · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

12.07

pick 138.9 overall, on average

Median pick

12.02

half of simulations take him by pick 134

Draft range

11.02 - 15.02

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,373 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams

Scoring Half PPR also published: Full PPR

QB format Superflex

Pool Redraft also published: Dynasty

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 12.02 in 54% of simulations

Pick 134 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 11, the same seat picks again at 13.11, where he is available in 25% of simulations.

Slot 11's remaining turns: 12.02 54% · 13.11 25% · 14.02 24% · 15.11 8%

The middle half of simulations take him between 11.07 and 12.11.

Daniel Jones still on the board
Pick	Available
11.12	61%
12.01	57%
12.02	54%
12.03	51%
12.04	49%
12.05	46%
12.06	44%
12.07	41%
12.08	39%
12.09	36%
12.10	34%
12.11	31%
12.12	29%
13.01	27%
13.02	26%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Daniel Jones was selected at each pick, 11.02-11.04 through 15.02. He goes earlier than this window in 7%, later in 9%, undrafted in 6%.

Draft position distribution for Daniel Jones
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
11.02-11.04	10%	954 of 10000 simulations
11.05-11.07	10%	976 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.10	10%	1021 of 10000 simulations
11.11-12.01	10%	952 of 10000 simulations
12.02-12.04	8%	826 of 10000 simulations
12.05-12.07	7%	719 of 10000 simulations
12.08-12.10	8%	754 of 10000 simulations
12.11-13.01	5%	491 of 10000 simulations
13.02-13.04	<1%	49 of 10000 simulations
13.05-13.07	<1%	64 of 10000 simulations
13.08-13.10	<1%	50 of 10000 simulations
13.11-14.01	1%	114 of 10000 simulations
14.02-14.04	2%	173 of 10000 simulations
14.05-14.07	1%	136 of 10000 simulations
14.08-14.10	2%	154 of 10000 simulations
14.11-15.01	3%	266 of 10000 simulations
15.02	1%	107 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9373 simulations in which Daniel Jones was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 2%
Bryce Young QB · CAR 2%
Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
Tyrone Tracy RB · NYG 2%

Usually taken just after

Bryce Young QB · CAR 2%
Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR Superflex drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Daniel Jones was selected in 9373 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

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