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TB · Bye 10

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield comes off the board at 12.04 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 11.12.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

12.04

pick 136.1 overall, on average

Median pick

11.12

half of simulations take him by pick 132

Draft range

10.07 - 15.02

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,104 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 11.12 in 56% of simulations

Pick 132 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 12.01, where he is available in 54% of simulations.

Slot 12's remaining turns: 11.12 56% · 12.01 54% · 13.12 26% · 14.01 26% · 15.12 10%

The middle half of simulations take him between 11.02 and 12.11.

Baker Mayfield still on the board
PickAvailable
11.10 60%
11.11 58%
11.12 56%
12.01 54%
12.02 52%
12.03 50%
12.04 48%
12.05 46%
12.06 44%
12.07 41%
12.08 39%
12.09 37%
12.10 35%
12.11 33%
12.12 30%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Baker Mayfield was selected at each pick, 10.07-10.09 through 15.01-15.02. He goes earlier than this window in 8%, later in 8%, undrafted in 9%.
Draft position distribution for Baker Mayfield
PickShare of simulationsCount
10.07-10.096%600 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.126%563 of 10000 simulations
11.01-11.036%629 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.067%686 of 10000 simulations
11.07-11.097%661 of 10000 simulations
11.10-11.126%620 of 10000 simulations
12.01-12.036%625 of 10000 simulations
12.04-12.066%635 of 10000 simulations
12.07-12.097%689 of 10000 simulations
12.10-12.126%609 of 10000 simulations
13.01-13.03<1%59 of 10000 simulations
13.04-13.06<1%76 of 10000 simulations
13.07-13.09<1%61 of 10000 simulations
13.10-13.12<1%74 of 10000 simulations
14.01-14.031%133 of 10000 simulations
14.04-14.062%156 of 10000 simulations
14.07-14.092%172 of 10000 simulations
14.10-14.122%202 of 10000 simulations
15.01-15.022%192 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9104 simulations in which Baker Mayfield was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Baker Mayfield was selected in 9104 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.1
Generated
August 20, 2026
Player dataset
sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline
rank

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