DEN · Bye 10
Bo Nix
Bo Nix comes off the board at 9.02 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 8.12.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
9.02
pick 97.9 overall, on average
Median pick
8.12
half of simulations take him by pick 96
Draft range
7.05 - 11.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,998 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 8.12 in 51% of simulations
Pick 96 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 9.01, where he is available in 49% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 8.12 51% · 9.01 49% · 10.12 11% · 11.01 10% · 12.12 <1% · 13.01 <1% · 14.12 <1% · 15.01 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.01 and 10.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 8.10 | 56% |
| 8.11 | 53% |
| 8.12 | 51% |
| 9.01 | 49% |
| 9.02 | 46% |
| 9.03 | 44% |
| 9.04 | 42% |
| 9.05 | 40% |
| 9.06 | 38% |
| 9.07 | 36% |
| 9.08 | 34% |
| 9.09 | 32% |
| 9.10 | 31% |
| 9.11 | 29% |
| 9.12 | 27% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.05-7.06 | 3% | 343 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.07-7.08 | 4% | 402 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.09-7.10 | 4% | 402 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.11-7.12 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.02 | 4% | 419 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.04 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.05-8.06 | 4% | 430 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.07-8.08 | 5% | 463 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.10 | 5% | 475 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.11-8.12 | 4% | 443 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 4% | 441 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 4% | 393 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 4% | 400 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 4% | 398 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 4% | 359 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 3% | 316 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 3% | 290 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 3% | 295 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 2% | 212 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01 | <1% | 85 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9998 simulations in which Bo Nix was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Dak Prescott QB · DAL 2%
- Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 2%
- Chris Godwin WR · TB 2%
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
Usually taken just after
- Dak Prescott QB · DAL 2%
- Makai Lemon WR · PHI 2%
- J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN 2%
- Brock Purdy QB · SF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Bo Nix was selected in 9998 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.