DAL · Bye 14
Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott comes off the board at 9.03 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 9.01.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
9.03
pick 98.8 overall, on average
Median pick
9.01
half of simulations take him by pick 97
Draft range
7.07 - 10.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.01 in 52% of simulations
Pick 97 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 10.12, where he is available in 11% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 9.01 52% · 10.12 11% · 11.01 10% · 12.12 <1% · 13.01 <1% · 14.12 <1% · 15.01 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.02 and 10.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 8.11 | 56% |
| 8.12 | 54% |
| 9.01 | 52% |
| 9.02 | 49% |
| 9.03 | 47% |
| 9.04 | 45% |
| 9.05 | 43% |
| 9.06 | 40% |
| 9.07 | 38% |
| 9.08 | 36% |
| 9.09 | 34% |
| 9.10 | 32% |
| 9.11 | 30% |
| 9.12 | 28% |
| 10.01 | 27% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.07-7.08 | 4% | 382 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.09-7.10 | 4% | 361 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.11-7.12 | 4% | 384 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.02 | 5% | 453 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.04 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.05-8.06 | 4% | 427 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.07-8.08 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.10 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.11-8.12 | 5% | 453 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 456 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 4% | 370 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 4% | 410 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 4% | 350 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 3% | 341 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 2% | 209 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Dak Prescott was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Bo Nix QB · DEN 2%
- Brock Purdy QB · SF 2%
- George Kittle TE · SF 2%
- Dalton Kincaid TE · BUF 2%
Usually taken just after
- Bo Nix QB · DEN 2%
- Chris Godwin WR · TB 2%
- Brock Purdy QB · SF 2%
- George Kittle TE · SF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Dak Prescott was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.