CAR · Bye 5
Bryce Young
Bryce Young comes off the board at 15.09 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.09.
12-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
15.09
pick 176.6 overall, on average
Median pick
15.09
half of simulations take him by pick 177
Draft range
15.05 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,335 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.09 in 94% of simulations
Pick 177 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.07 and 15.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.07 | 98% |
| 15.08 | 96% |
| 15.09 | 94% |
| 15.10 | 93% |
| 15.11 | 91% |
| 15.12 | 89% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 15 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 40 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | <1% | 91 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 1% | 140 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 177 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 177 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 176 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 211 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1335 simulations in which Bryce Young was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Malik Willis QB · MIA 3%
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
Usually taken just after
- Chris Rodriguez RB · JAX 2%
- Los Angeles Chargers DST · LAC 2%
- C.J. Stroud QB · HOU 2%
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Bryce Young was selected in 1335 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.