JAX · Bye 7
Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence comes off the board at 8.08 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 8.06.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
8.08
pick 91.8 overall, on average
Median pick
8.06
half of simulations take him by pick 90
Draft range
6.11 - 10.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 8.06 in 52% of simulations
Pick 90 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 9.07, where he is available in 25% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 8.06 52% · 9.07 25% · 10.06 11% · 11.07 2% · 12.06 <1% · 13.07 <1% · 14.06 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 7.07 and 9.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 8.04 | 57% |
| 8.05 | 55% |
| 8.06 | 52% |
| 8.07 | 50% |
| 8.08 | 48% |
| 8.09 | 45% |
| 8.10 | 43% |
| 8.11 | 41% |
| 8.12 | 38% |
| 9.01 | 36% |
| 9.02 | 34% |
| 9.03 | 32% |
| 9.04 | 30% |
| 9.05 | 28% |
| 9.06 | 27% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 6.11-6.12 | 4% | 391 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.01-7.02 | 4% | 390 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.03-7.04 | 4% | 377 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.05-7.06 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.07-7.08 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.09-7.10 | 4% | 436 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.11-7.12 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.02 | 4% | 376 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.04 | 5% | 455 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.05-8.06 | 5% | 456 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.07-8.08 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.10 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.11-8.12 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 4% | 414 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 4% | 357 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 3% | 327 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 3% | 327 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 2% | 224 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 2% | 177 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Trevor Lawrence was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Rico Dowdle RB · PIT 2%
- Jaxson Dart QB · NYG 2%
- Michael Wilson WR · ARI 2%
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
- Patrick Mahomes QB · KC 2%
- Bo Nix QB · DEN 2%
- J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Trevor Lawrence was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.