QB

DET · Bye 6

Jared Goff

Jared Goff comes off the board at 11.11 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 11.08.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

11.11

pick 130.8 overall, on average

Median pick

11.08

half of simulations take him by pick 128

Draft range

10.01 - 14.08

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,509 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams, 8 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 11.08 in 53% of simulations

Pick 128 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 12.05, where he is available in 35% of simulations.

Slot 8's remaining turns: 11.08 53% · 12.05 35% · 13.08 18% · 14.05 16% · 15.08 8%

The middle half of simulations take him between 10.09 and 12.08.

Jared Goff still on the board
PickAvailable
11.06 57%
11.07 55%
11.08 53%
11.09 51%
11.10 49%
11.11 47%
11.12 45%
12.01 43%
12.02 41%
12.03 39%
12.04 37%
12.05 35%
12.06 33%
12.07 31%
12.08 29%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Jared Goff was selected at each pick, 10.01-10.03 through 14.07-14.08. He goes earlier than this window in 8%, later in 9%, undrafted in 5%.
Draft position distribution for Jared Goff
PickShare of simulationsCount
10.01-10.036%551 of 10000 simulations
10.04-10.066%561 of 10000 simulations
10.07-10.096%613 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.127%660 of 10000 simulations
11.01-11.037%656 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.067%671 of 10000 simulations
11.07-11.096%585 of 10000 simulations
11.10-11.126%603 of 10000 simulations
12.01-12.036%581 of 10000 simulations
12.04-12.066%629 of 10000 simulations
12.07-12.096%559 of 10000 simulations
12.10-12.125%538 of 10000 simulations
13.01-13.03<1%51 of 10000 simulations
13.04-13.06<1%68 of 10000 simulations
13.07-13.09<1%45 of 10000 simulations
13.10-13.12<1%64 of 10000 simulations
14.01-14.031%119 of 10000 simulations
14.04-14.061%110 of 10000 simulations
14.07-14.08<1%92 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9509 simulations in which Jared Goff was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Jared Goff was selected in 9509 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.1
Generated
August 20, 2026
Player dataset
sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline
rank

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