TB · Bye 10
Sean Tucker
LMD RB96 for Week 3 · 2.0 projected Half PPR points
Questionable
In season
Week 3 fantasy ranking
We project 2.0 points this week, RB96. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Down 3 since Week 2.
Week 3
RB96
305th by projected points
Projected
2.0
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at RB
Movement
↓ 3
RB93 in Week 2, RB96 now
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.80 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No recent stats
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Negative-0.51 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Sean Tucker was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ CIN | 2.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 2 | vs CLE | 2.1 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Sean Tucker #231 in 1QB and #233 in Superflex, RB62 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#231
RB62 · tier 51 · of 297
Superflex
#233
RB62 · tier 44 · of 303
- Last season 87.4 pts 5.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 84% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.1 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 2% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.04
pick 200.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 201
Draft range
14.09 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,158 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 82% of simulations
Pick 201 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.01 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 87% |
| 15.04 | 84% |
| 15.05 | 82% |
| 15.06 | 79% |
| 15.07 | 77% |
| 15.08 | 74% |
| 15.09 | 72% |
| 15.10 | 69% |
| 15.11 | 67% |
| 15.12 | 65% |
| 15.13 | 63% |
| 15.14 | 61% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.09 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 71 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 73 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 79 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 81 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | <1% | 92 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 228 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 226 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 232 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 207 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 2% | 219 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4158 simulations in which Sean Tucker was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- Wil Lutz K · DEN 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
Usually taken just after
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Sean Tucker was selected in 4158 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.