NFL · 2026 Week 8
2026 Week 8 Full PPR FLEX Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published October 29, 2026, 16:59 UTC · first kickoff October 30, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Full PPR, 1QB · 371 players projected · updated October 29, 2026
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 8 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times. The projected fantasy points those simulations produce set the order and the tiers.
This board is priced in Full PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
FLEX combines RB, WR, TE — the positions a flex seat can start — into one ranking. Quarterbacks are not eligible and are not on it.
How the tiers work
Players are grouped into tiers at each position by projected fantasy points. A new tier starts where the projections separate, not after a set number of players, so tiers vary in size and a player who stands apart can be a tier on his own.
The breaks come from the best grouping of each position's projections, the method behind Jenks natural breaks, with gaps judged against how widely weekly scores vary at that position. The rule is the same every week and nobody places players by hand.
Within a tier, players are listed by projected points, but the gaps between them are small. They shouldn't decide a start/sit on their own.
A tier's band is the range of its players' projected points. It isn't a range of outcomes.
A player's 80% range is the middle of his simulated scores: the model puts 10% of outcomes below it and 10% above. Real scores can land outside it.
Players in neighbouring tiers often have overlapping ranges. A higher tier means more projected points, not a guarantee of outscoring everyone below it.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we rank every flex-eligible player against the others and record where each one finishes.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at RB, WR, TE combined
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished among the top 12 RB/WR/TE in 58% of the simulated weeks.
What stood out in Week 8
371 FLEX-eligible players grouped into tiers for Week 8. Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 22.5 projected points.
Tiers break where projected points separate, and the differences inside a tier are small. Each 80% range is the middle 80% of that player's simulated scores; real scores can fall outside it.
| Pos | Player | Pos tier | Proj | Outcome profile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Jahmyr GibbsDETQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 47%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 53% 80% range: 7.3 - 41.6 |
Tier 1 | 22.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 47%. |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 53% 80% range: 8.5 - 39.1 |
Tier 1 | 21.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. |
| WR | Puka NacuaLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 48% 80% range: 7.5 - 38.3 |
Tier 1 | 20.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 52%. |
| RB | Kenneth Walker IIIKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 53%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 47% 80% range: 7.2 - 34.3 |
Tier 2 | 19.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 53%. |
| WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 55%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 45% 80% range: 7.2 - 34.6 |
Tier 2 | 19.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 55%. |
| RB | Bijan RobinsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 56%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 44% 80% range: 7.4 - 33.1 |
Tier 2 | 18.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 56%. |
| WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDETQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 40% 80% range: 5.6 - 35.8 |
Tier 2 | 18.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 60%. |
| WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 61%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 39% 80% range: 5.5 - 34.5 |
Tier 2 | 18.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 61%. |
| TE | Trey McBrideARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 41% 80% range: 6.4 - 33.3 |
Tier 1 | 18.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 59%. |
| WR | Zay FlowersBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 40% 80% range: 6.7 - 32.6 |
Tier 2 | 18.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 60%. |
| WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 65%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 35% 80% range: 6.5 - 29.6 |
Tier 3 | 16.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 65%. |
| RB | James Cook IIIBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 63%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 37% 80% range: 5.9 - 29.9 |
Tier 3 | 16.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 63%. |
| RB | Kyren WilliamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 34% 80% range: 6.2 - 28.3 |
Tier 3 | 16.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. |
| WR | DeVonta SmithPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 68%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 32% 80% range: 4.7 - 31.1 |
Tier 3 | 16.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 68%. |
| TE | Brock BowersLVQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 70%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 30% 80% range: 4.3 - 31.6 |
Tier 2 | 15.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 70%. |
| RB | Javonte WilliamsDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34% 80% range: 5.6 - 27.9 |
Tier 3 | 15.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. |
| RB | D'Andre SwiftCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 33% 80% range: 5.8 - 28.0 |
Tier 3 | 15.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. |
| RB | Derrick HenryBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 32% 80% range: 5.5 - 28.1 |
Tier 3 | 15.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. |
| WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% 80% range: 5.7 - 28.4 |
Tier 3 | 15.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. |
| RB | Jaylen WarrenPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 70%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 30% 80% range: 6.2 - 27.1 |
Tier 3 | 15.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 70%. |
| RB | Jonathan TaylorIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 32% 80% range: 5.9 - 27.7 |
Tier 3 | 15.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. |
| WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% 80% range: 5.5 - 28.8 |
Tier 3 | 15.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. |
| RB | Ashton JeantyLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 70%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 30% 80% range: 6.2 - 27.1 |
Tier 3 | 15.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 70%. |
| RB | Bucky IrvingTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% 80% range: 5.9 - 27.0 |
Tier 3 | 15.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. |
| WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 28% 80% range: 5.4 - 27.3 |
Tier 4 | 15.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 72%. |
| RB | Breece HallNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 28% 80% range: 3.9 - 28.6 |
Tier 4 | 14.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%. |
| RB | Chuba HubbardCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 28% 80% range: 5.4 - 26.5 |
Tier 4 | 14.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 72%. |
| WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% 80% range: 5.4 - 26.4 |
Tier 4 | 14.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. |
| RB | Chase BrownCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% 80% range: 5.5 - 25.9 |
Tier 4 | 14.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. |
| WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% 80% range: 4.9 - 26.4 |
Tier 4 | 14.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. |
| WR | George PickensDALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 25% 80% range: 4.2 - 26.9 |
Tier 4 | 13.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%. |
| RB | Bhayshul TutenJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25% 80% range: 5.0 - 24.7 |
Tier 4 | 13.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%. |
| RB | Josh JacobsGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 24% 80% range: 4.3 - 26.2 |
Tier 4 | 13.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 76%. |
| RB | Tony PollardTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% 80% range: 5.1 - 24.3 |
Tier 4 | 13.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. |
| WR | A.J. BrownNEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 24% 80% range: 3.5 - 26.4 |
Tier 5 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 77%. |
| WR | Rashee RiceKCQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 23% 80% range: 3.7 - 26.1 |
Tier 5 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 77%. |
| WR | Jalen CokerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% 80% range: 4.6 - 23.8 |
Tier 5 | 12.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%. |
| RB | Braelon AllenNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% 80% range: 4.1 - 24.2 |
Tier 5 | 12.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%. |
| WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% 80% range: 4.9 - 22.6 |
Tier 5 | 12.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20% 80% range: 4.6 - 22.6 |
Tier 5 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. |
| WR | Michael WilsonARIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% 80% range: 3.9 - 24.0 |
Tier 5 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 79%. |
| WR | Emeka EgbukaTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% 80% range: 3.6 - 23.8 |
Tier 5 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%. |
| WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% 80% range: 4.6 - 22.2 |
Tier 5 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| RB | Ollie Gordon IIMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% 80% range: 4.1 - 22.4 |
Tier 5 | 12.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 19% 80% range: 3.3 - 24.1 |
Tier 6 | 11.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| RB | Aaron Jones Sr.MINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% 80% range: 3.8 - 22.6 |
Tier 5 | 11.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| RB | Rhamondre StevensonNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% 80% range: 4.5 - 21.5 |
Tier 5 | 11.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| WR | Carnell TateTENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% 80% range: 3.8 - 22.2 |
Tier 6 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| RB | Jeremiyah LoveARIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% 80% range: 3.4 - 22.4 |
Tier 5 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| RB | Quinshon JudkinsCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% 80% range: 4.3 - 21.6 |
Tier 5 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| TE | Tyler WarrenINDQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% 80% range: 3.1 - 23.0 |
Tier 3 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% 80% range: 4.2 - 21.2 |
Tier 6 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| WR | Stefon DiggsWASQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 17% 80% range: 3.2 - 22.1 |
Tier 6 | 11.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 83%. |
| TE | Colston LovelandCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% 80% range: 3.8 - 21.5 |
Tier 3 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| WR | KC Concepcion Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% 80% range: 4.4 - 20.4 |
Tier 6 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% 80% range: 3.9 - 21.3 |
Tier 6 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| RB | Saquon BarkleyPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 16% 80% range: 3.2 - 21.8 |
Tier 5 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| TE | Sam LaPortaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% 80% range: 3.7 - 21.0 |
Tier 3 | 11.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% 80% range: 3.9 - 19.9 |
Tier 6 | 10.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| TE | Dallas GoedertPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% 80% range: 3.4 - 20.9 |
Tier 3 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| TE | Tucker KraftGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% 80% range: 3.7 - 20.2 |
Tier 3 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| RB | Emanuel WilsonSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% 80% range: 3.4 - 20.0 |
Tier 6 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| TE | Travis KelceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% 80% range: 3.5 - 19.7 |
Tier 3 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| RB | Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% 80% range: 2.5 - 21.8 |
Tier 6 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| WR | Malik WashingtonMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% 80% range: 3.1 - 20.5 |
Tier 7 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| RB | Rachaad WhiteWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% 80% range: 3.6 - 19.3 |
Tier 6 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% 80% range: 3.8 - 18.1 |
Tier 7 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| WR | Jaylen WaddleDENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% 80% range: 3.2 - 19.7 |
Tier 7 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| TE | T.J. HockensonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% 80% range: 3.3 - 19.2 |
Tier 4 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| WR | Denzel BostonCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% 80% range: 3.8 - 18.1 |
Tier 7 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| RB | Zach CharbonnetSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 14% 80% range: 2.1 - 21.1 |
Tier 6 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| WR | Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% 80% range: 3.1 - 19.7 |
Tier 7 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| TE | Brenton StrangeJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% 80% range: 3.2 - 18.3 |
Tier 4 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| TE | Dalton KincaidBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% 80% range: 2.7 - 19.7 |
Tier 4 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| RB | Jordan MasonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% 80% range: 3.0 - 18.6 |
Tier 6 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| WR | Matthew GoldenGBQQuestionable · projection includes a 71% chance of playing Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% 80% range: 0.0 - 22.0 |
Tier 8 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. |
| WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% 80% range: 3.3 - 17.9 |
Tier 8 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| TE | Hunter HenryNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% 80% range: 3.1 - 18.0 |
Tier 4 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% 80% range: 3.5 - 17.3 |
Tier 8 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12% 80% range: 2.7 - 18.6 |
Tier 8 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| RB | Blake CorumLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.4 - 17.3 |
Tier 6 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.5 - 17.1 |
Tier 8 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| TE | Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% 80% range: 3.1 - 17.9 |
Tier 4 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| RB | Rico DowdlePIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.2 - 17.3 |
Tier 6 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% 80% range: 2.8 - 18.1 |
Tier 8 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.3 - 17.1 |
Tier 8 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 3.4 - 16.7 |
Tier 8 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| TE | Harold Fannin Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% 80% range: 3.0 - 17.6 |
Tier 4 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.4 - 17.0 |
Tier 8 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.3 - 16.6 |
Tier 8 | 9.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.0 - 17.0 |
Tier 8 | 9.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| RB | Omarion HamptonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 3.1 - 16.9 |
Tier 7 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 3.3 - 16.0 |
Tier 8 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| RB | RJ HarveyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 3.3 - 15.7 |
Tier 7 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| TE | Tyler HigbeeLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 2.7 - 16.5 |
Tier 5 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| TE | Mark AndrewsBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 2.8 - 16.3 |
Tier 5 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| WR | Dontayvion WicksPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% 80% range: 2.5 - 16.8 |
Tier 8 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| WR | Caleb DouglasMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 2.6 - 16.3 |
Tier 8 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| TE | Michael MayerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 2.8 - 16.0 |
Tier 5 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| TE | Chig OkonkwoWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 2.6 - 16.4 |
Tier 5 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 2.9 - 16.1 |
Tier 8 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| RB | Tyler AllgeierARIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 2.7 - 16.2 |
Tier 7 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| TE | AJ BarnerSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 2.6 - 15.8 |
Tier 5 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.9 - 15.3 |
Tier 9 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.7 - 14.5 |
Tier 9 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| RB | Jonah ColemanDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.5 - 15.4 |
Tier 7 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| TE | Greg DulcichMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 2.1 - 15.7 |
Tier 5 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% 80% range: 2.0 - 15.8 |
Tier 9 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| RB | J.K. DobbinsDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% 80% range: 2.7 - 14.9 |
Tier 7 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| TE | Pat FreiermuthPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.4 - 14.5 |
Tier 6 | 7.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| WR | Ja'Kobi LaneBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.2 - 14.9 |
Tier 9 | 7.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% 80% range: 2.7 - 13.9 |
Tier 9 | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| TE | Mason TaylorNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.1 - 14.9 |
Tier 6 | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| WR | Keon ColemanBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 2.5 - 13.8 |
Tier 9 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| WR | Rashid ShaheedSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 2.1 - 14.4 |
Tier 9 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| TE | Max KlareLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 1.8 - 14.8 |
Tier 6 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| TE | John FitzPatrickCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 1.6 - 15.1 |
Tier 6 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| TE | Mike GesickiCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 1.9 - 14.9 |
Tier 6 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| TE | Tanner ConnerNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% 80% range: 1.6 - 14.9 |
Tier 6 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| RB | Brian Robinson Jr.ATLQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% 80% range: 1.8 - 14.8 |
Tier 8 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| WR | Savion WilliamsGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% 80% range: 2.0 - 14.0 |
Tier 9 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| WR | Cooper KuppSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 2.6 - 12.7 |
Tier 9 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| TE | Colby ParkinsonLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% 80% range: 1.8 - 14.0 |
Tier 6 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| RB | Kenny GainwellTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% 80% range: 2.1 - 13.2 |
Tier 8 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| RB | Tyjae SpearsTENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 2.1 - 13.2 |
Tier 8 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 2.3 - 13.1 |
Tier 9 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| RB | TreVeyon HendersonNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.4 - 12.8 |
Tier 8 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| TE | Dallen BentleyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% 80% range: 1.7 - 13.7 |
Tier 6 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| WR | Tre HarrisLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 1.9 - 12.9 |
Tier 10 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| WR | Rashod BatemanBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.3 - 12.5 |
Tier 10 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| RB | Kimani VidalLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.3 - 12.3 |
Tier 8 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| TE | Darnell WashingtonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 2.0 - 12.5 |
Tier 7 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| RB | Keaton MitchellLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.4 - 12.2 |
Tier 8 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| RB | MarShawn LloydGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.1 - 11.8 |
Tier 8 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Odell Beckham Jr.MIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 1.7 - 12.6 |
Tier 10 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.2 - 11.7 |
Tier 10 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Samaje PerineCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.2 - 12.1 |
Tier 8 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 2.1 - 11.9 |
Tier 10 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| TE | Darren WallerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.9 - 12.1 |
Tier 7 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Adonai MitchellNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 1.7 - 12.5 |
Tier 10 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| WR | Treylon BurksWASQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% 80% range: 1.5 - 12.1 |
Tier 10 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| WR | Jimmy Horn Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.6 - 12.4 |
Tier 10 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| TE | Oronde Gadsden IILAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.8 - 12.0 |
Tier 7 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.2 - 11.5 |
Tier 10 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Cade OttonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.0 - 11.6 |
Tier 7 | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Roschon JohnsonCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.8 - 12.0 |
Tier 9 | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.0 - 11.3 |
Tier 10 | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.2 - 11.0 |
Tier 10 | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.8 - 11.7 |
Tier 10 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.9 - 11.4 |
Tier 10 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Eli RaridonNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.7 - 11.3 |
Tier 7 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| RB | Ty JohnsonBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.0 - 11.2 |
Tier 9 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Mike Washington Jr.LV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 2.1 - 11.0 |
Tier 9 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Jake FergusonDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.7 - 11.8 |
Tier 7 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Dylan SampsonCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.7 - 11.6 |
Tier 9 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.9 - 11.1 |
Tier 10 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Justice HillBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 2.2 - 10.6 |
Tier 9 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| RB | George HolaniSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.9 - 10.7 |
Tier 9 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.8 - 10.9 |
Tier 9 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Tyler GoodsonDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.7 - 10.7 |
Tier 9 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Pierre Strong Jr.GB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.7 - 10.7 |
Tier 9 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Jeremy McNicholsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.5 - 11.0 |
Tier 9 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| WR | Chris BellMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.8 - 10.5 |
Tier 11 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| TE | Tommy TrembleCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.7 - 10.6 |
Tier 8 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Kenyon SadiqNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.6 - 10.5 |
Tier 8 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Charlie KolarLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.6 - 10.5 |
Tier 8 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Evan EngramDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.7 - 10.2 |
Tier 8 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Dohnte MeyersCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.7 - 10.2 |
Tier 11 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Bam KnightARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.7 - 10.1 |
Tier 9 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Gage LarvadainBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.3 - 10.5 |
Tier 11 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| WR | Jalen ReagorMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% 80% range: 1.3 - 10.4 |
Tier 11 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.6 - 10.0 |
Tier 11 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.7 - 9.8 |
Tier 11 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| TE | Gunnar HelmTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.5 - 9.8 |
Tier 8 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| RB | Emmett JohnsonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.8 - 9.5 |
Tier 9 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| TE | Noah GrayKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.6 - 9.4 |
Tier 8 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Konata MumpfieldLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.6 - 9.7 |
Tier 11 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Dylan DrummondATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.2 - 10.2 |
Tier 11 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.3 - 9.8 |
Tier 11 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Elijah HigginsARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.5 - 9.5 |
Tier 8 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Elijah SarrattBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.3 - 9.5 |
Tier 11 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Efton Chism IIINE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.4 - 9.5 |
Tier 11 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| TE | Davis AllenLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.3 - 9.6 |
Tier 8 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | John Metchie IIICAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.5 - 9.3 |
Tier 11 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.5 - 9.2 |
Tier 11 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Camden BrownDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.1 - 9.4 |
Tier 11 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| RB | Evan HullARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% 80% range: 1.0 - 9.6 |
Tier 10 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| TE | Josh WhyleGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.1 - 9.4 |
Tier 9 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Quentin SkinnerPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.1 - 9.1 |
Tier 11 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.5 - 9.0 |
Tier 11 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.2 - 9.2 |
Tier 11 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| RB | Seth McGowanIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.4 - 9.1 |
Tier 10 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Josh CameronJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.4 - 8.9 |
Tier 11 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | K.J. OsbornTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.0 - 9.0 |
Tier 11 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| RB | Anthony Tyus IIICAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.3 - 9.1 |
Tier 10 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| RB | Jaleel McLaughlinCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.4 - 8.9 |
Tier 10 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| TE | Drake DabneyGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 0.9 - 9.3 |
Tier 9 | 4.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.4 - 8.6 |
Tier 12 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| WR | Jauan JenningsMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% 80% range: 1.3 - 8.4 |
Tier 12 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| TE | Brevyn Spann-FordDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% 80% range: 1.3 - 8.9 |
Tier 9 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. |
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 77% of the board, draft position for 99%, an outside projection for 55%, sportsbook props for 65%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Full PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 29, 2026 16:58 UTC. Model rankings-v1.5.1, board captured 2026-10-29.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.