LMD Fantasy Support LMD
WR

DEN · Bye 10

Marvin Mims Jr.

LMD WR122 for Week 5 · 2.6 projected Half PPR points

Questionable

In season

Week 5 fantasy ranking

We project 2.6 points this week, WR122. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 2% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Down 9 since Week 4.

Week 5

WR122

262nd by projected points

Projected

2.6

week 5, Half PPR

Top 12

1%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at WR

Movement

↓ 9

WR113 in Week 4, WR122 now

Should you start Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 5?

Bench

Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Marvin Mims Jr. WR122 for Week 5, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 2% of simulated weeks.

The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.

Half PPR scoring · Updated October 8, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Marvin Mims Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Marvin Mims Jr. has averaged -1.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Marvin Mims Jr., Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ KC 2.0 0.0 -2.0
Wk 3 vs LAR 3.7 Pending —
Wk 4 @ SF 3.1 1.5 -1.6
Wk 5 @ LAC 2.6 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Marvin Mims Jr. #190 in 1QB and #195 in Superflex, WR81 at his position. Age 24.

1QB

#190

WR81 · tier 42 · of 297

Superflex

#195

WR81 · tier 36 · of 303

  • Last season 70.5 pts 4.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 93% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 3.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.05

pick 173.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.06

half of simulations take him by pick 174

Draft range

14.12 - 15.11

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 3,657 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Half PPR
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Dynasty

Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Marvin Mims Jr..

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.06 in 82% of simulations

Pick 174 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.09.

Marvin Mims Jr. still on the board
PickAvailable
15.04 87%
15.05 84%
15.06 82%
15.07 79%
15.08 76%
15.09 74%
15.10 71%
15.11 68%
15.12 66%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Marvin Mims Jr. was selected at each pick, 14.12 through 15.11. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 3%, undrafted in 63%.
Draft position distribution for Marvin Mims Jr.
PickShare of simulationsCount
14.123%277 of 10000 simulations
15.013%265 of 10000 simulations
15.022%206 of 10000 simulations
15.033%274 of 10000 simulations
15.043%261 of 10000 simulations
15.053%254 of 10000 simulations
15.063%285 of 10000 simulations
15.073%257 of 10000 simulations
15.083%255 of 10000 simulations
15.093%267 of 10000 simulations
15.103%261 of 10000 simulations
15.112%245 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 3657 simulations in which Marvin Mims Jr. was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Marvin Mims Jr. was selected in 3657 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 8, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
rank

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.