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NFL · 2026 Week 4

2026 Week 4 Half PPR TE Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published October 1, 2026, 20:25 UTC · first kickoff October 2, 2026, 00:15 UTC

Half PPR, 1QB · 95 players projected · updated October 1, 2026

See how these rankings performed

View current weekly rankings

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 4 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

How often a strong start lasts

Since 1999, 60% of TEs inside the top 12 through Week 3 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 324 TE-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.

What stood out in Week 4

95 TEs ranked for Week 4. Trey McBride leads at 12.7 projected points.

Tier break

1.6 projected points separate TE2 Brock Bowers from TE3 George Kittle.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

  • Nate AdkinsTE44Our projection is higher than the outside forecast +24 vs. TE68
  • Dalton SchultzTE8Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 11% · Top 12: 37% · Top 24: 62% +9 vs. TE17
  • Tyler HigbeeTE25Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 19% · Top 24: 34% +7 vs. TE32

Behind

  • Jake FergusonTE22Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 23% · Top 24: 42% -9 vs. TE13
  • Darnell WashingtonTE32Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 12% · Top 24: 25% -6 vs. TE26
  • Chig OkonkwoTE37Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 21% -4 vs. TE33

Movement

Risers

Fallers

Positional movement since the final Week 3 board, among players inside TE12 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.

2026 Week 4 Half PPR TE Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 TE Trey McBrideARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 26% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 19%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE9 at the median, TE3 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE30 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 26%Top 12: 59%Top 24: 81%
 TE1— 12.7
2 TE Brock BowersLVQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 23% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 29%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE13 at the median, TE4 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 23%Top 12: 50%Top 24: 71%
 TE2↑ 1 12.3
3 TE George KittleSFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 33%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 19%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 67%
 TE3↑ 6 10.7
4 TE Tyler WarrenIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 69%
 TE4↑ 4 10.1
5 TE Dalton KincaidBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 33%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE6 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE38 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 42%Top 24: 67%
 TE5— 9.4
6 TE Travis KelceKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 34%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE6 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE38 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 42%Top 24: 66%
 TE6↓ 2 9.4
7 TE Sam LaPortaDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE7 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 40%Top 24: 64%
 TE7↓ 1 9.0
8 TE Dalton SchultzHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 38%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE8 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 62%
 TE8↓ 6 8.7
9 TE Isaiah LikelyNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE7 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 61%
 TE9↓ 2 8.7
10 TE Harold Fannin Jr.CLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE8 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 60%
 TE10↑ 4 8.4
11 TE Mark AndrewsBALQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE22 at the median, TE8 - TE36 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 34%Top 24: 55%
 TE11↓ 1 8.4
12 TE Juwan JohnsonNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE22 at the median, TE9 - TE35 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 54%
 TE12↓ 1 8.1
13 TE Kenyon SadiqNYJQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE23 at the median, TE9 - TE35 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 52%
 TE13↑ 7 7.9
14 TE Tucker KraftGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE22 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 56%
 TE14↓ 2 7.8
15 TE Colston LovelandCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 44%
 TE15↑ 3 6.5
16 TE T.J. HockensonMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 43%
 TE16— 6.5
17 TE Pat FreiermuthPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 44%
 TE17— 6.5
18 TE AJ BarnerSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE12 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 44%
 TE18↑ 17 6.5
19 TE Brenton StrangeJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 44%
 TE19↑ 9 6.4
20 TE Darren WallerCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 43%
 TE20↑ 11 6.4
21 TE Hunter HenryNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 44%
 TE21↓ 6 6.4
22 TE Jake FergusonDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE14 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 42%
 TE22↓ 3 6.2
23 TE Mike GesickiCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE30 at the median, TE15 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 38%
 TE23↑ 2 5.9
24 TE Cade OttonTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE30 at the median, TE17 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 38%
 TE24↓ 1 5.7
25 TE Tyler HigbeeLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE18 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 34%
 TE25↑ 62 5.4
26 TE Max KlareLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE36 at the median, TE18 - TE55 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 33%
 TE26NEW 5.3
27 TE Greg DulcichMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE31 at the median, TE20 - TE43 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE56 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 34%
 TE27↑ 5 5.3
28 TE Kyle PittsATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 34%
 TE28↓ 6 5.2
29 TE Michael MayerLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE20 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 32%
 TE29↓ 5 5.1
30 TE Gunnar HelmTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE36 at the median, TE23 - TE50 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27%
 TE30↓ 4 4.6
31 TE Oronde Gadsden IILAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE36 at the median, TE23 - TE50 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27%
 TE31↓ 1 4.6
32 TE Darnell WashingtonPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE38 at the median, TE24 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25%
 TE32↑ 11 4.4
33 TE Noah FantNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE42 at the median, TE25 - TE57 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25%
 TE33↑ 8 4.2
34 TE Dawson KnoxBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE25 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25%
 TE34↑ 8 4.0
35 TE Tommy TrembleCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE45 at the median, TE28 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
 TE35↓ 8 3.8
36 TE Evan EngramDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE29 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19%
 TE36↓ 3 3.7
37 TE Chig OkonkwoWASQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE28 - TE67 in the middle half, and TE13 - TE86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
 TE37↓ 8 3.7
38 TE Jeremy RuckertNYJQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE47 at the median, TE30 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20%
 TE38↑ 28 3.6
39 TE Stone SmarttNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE51 at the median, TE30 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE13 - TE90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 21%
 TE39↓ 18 3.6
40 TE Drake DabneyGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE32 - TE75 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18%
 TE40↑ 21 3.3
41 TE Colby ParkinsonLARQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE34 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17%
 TE41↑ 4 3.2
42 TE Foster MoreauHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE54 at the median, TE36 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15%
 TE42↑ 25 3.0
43 TE Theo JohnsonNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE53 at the median, TE35 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15%
 TE43↑ 15 3.0
44 TE Nate AdkinsDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE56 at the median, TE37 - TE74 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 17%
 TE44↑ 13 3.0
45 TE Austin HooperATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE55 at the median, TE37 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14%
 TE45↑ 10 2.9
46 TE Tanner KoziolJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE59 at the median, TE38 - TE79 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15%
 TE46↑ 38 2.9
47 TE Patrick HerbertLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE58 at the median, TE37 - TE80 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16%
 TE47NEW 2.9
48 TE Jonnu SmithGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE55 at the median, TE37 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14%
 TE48↑ 3 2.9
49 TE Mitchell EvansCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE54 at the median, TE38 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14%
 TE49↑ 19 2.9
50 TE Tanner ArkinNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE57 at the median, TE37 - TE79 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15%
 TE50↑ 10 2.9
51 TE Davis AllenLARQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE59 at the median, TE39 - TE77 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14%
 TE51↑ 31 2.7
52 TE Josh WhyleGBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE63 at the median, TE40 - TE85 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14%
 TE52↑ 31 2.7
53 TE Michael TriggDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE62 at the median, TE40 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14%
 TE53NEW 2.7
54 TE Cole KmetCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE58 at the median, TE40 - TE74 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14%
 TE54↓ 4 2.7
55 TE Robert TonyanPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE41 - TE79 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%
 TE55NEW 2.6
56 TE Noah GrayKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE43 - TE77 in the middle half, and TE20 - TE91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
 TE56↓ 12 2.5
57 TE Drew SampleCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE62 at the median, TE43 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE20 - TE95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%
 TE57↓ 4 2.5
58 TE Johnny MundtPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE42 - TE79 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
 TE58↓ 2 2.5
59 TE Adam TrautmanDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE63 at the median, TE43 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE20 - TE98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
 TE59— 2.5
60 TE Josiah DeguaraPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE44 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE20 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12%
 TE60↓ 20 2.4
61 TE Erick AllCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE62 at the median, TE43 - TE82 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
 TE61↑ 2 2.4
62 TE Chris MyarickLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE44 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11%
 TE62↓ 28 2.4
63 TE Elijah HigginsARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE64 at the median, TE46 - TE82 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
 TE63NEW 2.3
64 TE Sam RoushCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE64 at the median, TE46 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
 TE64↑ 9 2.3
65 TE Mark RedmanGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE69 at the median, TE47 - TE89 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%
 TE65↓ 27 2.2
66 TE Tyler ConklinDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE67 at the median, TE46 - TE88 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10%
 TE66NEW 2.2
67 TE Durham SmytheBALQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE71 at the median, TE49 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
 TE67↑ 2 2.1
68 TE Nate BoerkircherJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE68 at the median, TE49 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
 TE68↑ 17 2.1
69 TE Charlie WoernerATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE74 at the median, TE54 - TE92 in the middle half, and TE30 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE69↓ 5 1.9
70 TE Elijah ArroyoSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE74 at the median, TE53 - TE92 in the middle half, and TE28 - TE105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
 TE70↓ 33 1.9
71 TE Eric SaubertSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE74 at the median, TE56 - TE90 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
 TE71NEW 1.9
72 TE Daniel BellingerTENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE72 at the median, TE52 - TE91 in the middle half, and TE31 - TE104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE72↑ 16 1.9
73 TE Oscar DelpNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE75 at the median, TE52 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE29 - TE110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9%
 TE73NEW 1.9
74 TE Eli RaridonNEQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE76 at the median, TE54 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE31 - TE108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE74↓ 2 1.8
75 TE Gavin BartholomewMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE77 at the median, TE55 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE28 - TE109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9%
 TE75NEW 1.8
76 TE John BatesWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE77 at the median, TE57 - TE94 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE76↓ 5 1.8
77 TE Blake WhiteheartCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE79 at the median, TE58 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE28 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
 TE77↓ 23 1.8
78 TE Luke FarrellSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE73 at the median, TE55 - TE90 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE78↓ 8 1.8
79 TE Brock WrightDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE73 at the median, TE56 - TE90 in the middle half, and TE34 - TE102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE79↓ 27 1.8
80 TE Tanner HudsonCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE78 at the median, TE59 - TE95 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE80↓ 3 1.7
81 TE Brevyn Spann-FordDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE77 at the median, TE59 - TE93 in the middle half, and TE39 - TE104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE81NEW 1.7
82 TE Luke SchoonmakerDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE80 at the median, TE61 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE39 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
 TE82↓ 46 1.6
83 TE Dallen BentleyDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE85 at the median, TE62 - TE103 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 TE83NEW 1.6
84 TE Josh CuevasBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE82 at the median, TE62 - TE99 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE84↑ 2 1.6
85 TE Jake BriningstoolKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE79 at the median, TE60 - TE96 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE85↓ 46 1.6
86 TE Jackson HawesBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE81 at the median, TE61 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE36 - TE109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
 TE86↓ 21 1.6
87 TE Jelani WoodsNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE80 at the median, TE60 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
 TE87NEW 1.6
88 TE Ja'Tavion SandersCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE86 at the median, TE62 - TE104 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
 TE88NEW 1.5
89 TE Teagan QuitorianoARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE63 - TE104 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6%
 TE89NEW 1.5
90 TE Nick KallerupSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE84 at the median, TE63 - TE102 in the middle half, and TE41 - TE112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE90NEW 1.5
91 TE Andrew OgletreeIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE85 at the median, TE66 - TE100 in the middle half, and TE43 - TE111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE91NEW 1.5
92 TE Albert OkwuegbunamLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE63 - TE104 in the middle half, and TE37 - TE114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
 TE92NEW 1.5
93 TE Bauer SharpTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE82 at the median, TE63 - TE98 in the middle half, and TE42 - TE109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
 TE93↓ 31 1.5
94 TE Chris ManhertzNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE85 at the median, TE63 - TE102 in the middle half, and TE39 - TE112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
 TE94↓ 5 1.5
95 TE Payne DurhamTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE87 at the median, TE67 - TE103 in the middle half, and TE45 - TE112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
 TE95↓ 15 1.4

Simulated finishes

This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.

Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.

Week 4 TE outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.

Projected rank
Median finish
13612243660
  1. TE1 Trey McBride
    TE9
    Trey McBride is ranked TE1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE9 at the median, TE3 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE30 in the middle 80%.
  2. TE2 Brock Bowers
    TE13
    Brock Bowers is ranked TE2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE13 at the median, TE4 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
  3. TE3 George Kittle
    TE15
    George Kittle is ranked TE3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
  4. TE4 Tyler Warren
    TE15
    Tyler Warren is ranked TE4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
  5. TE5 Dalton Kincaid
    TE17
    Dalton Kincaid is ranked TE5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE6 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE38 in the middle 80%.
  6. TE6 Travis Kelce
    TE17
    Travis Kelce is ranked TE6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE6 - TE28 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE38 in the middle 80%.
  7. TE7 Sam LaPorta
    TE18
    Sam LaPorta is ranked TE7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE7 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
  8. TE8 Dalton Schultz
    TE19
    Dalton Schultz is ranked TE8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE8 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
  9. TE9 Isaiah Likely
    TE20
    Isaiah Likely is ranked TE9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE7 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
  10. TE10 Harold Fannin Jr.
    TE20
    Harold Fannin Jr. is ranked TE10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE8 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
  11. TE11 Mark Andrews
    TE22
    Mark Andrews is ranked TE11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE22 at the median, TE8 - TE36 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
  12. TE12 Juwan Johnson
    TE22
    Juwan Johnson is ranked TE12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE22 at the median, TE9 - TE35 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
  13. TE13 Kenyon Sadiq
    TE23
    Kenyon Sadiq is ranked TE13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE23 at the median, TE9 - TE35 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE49 in the middle 80%.
  14. TE14 Tucker Kraft
    TE22
    Tucker Kraft is ranked TE14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE22 at the median, TE9 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
  15. TE15 Colston Loveland
    TE27
    Colston Loveland is ranked TE15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  16. TE16 T.J. Hockenson
    TE28
    T.J. Hockenson is ranked TE16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  17. TE17 Pat Freiermuth
    TE27
    Pat Freiermuth is ranked TE17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  18. TE18 AJ Barner
    TE27
    AJ Barner is ranked TE18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE12 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  19. TE19 Brenton Strange
    TE27
    Brenton Strange is ranked TE19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  20. TE20 Darren Waller
    TE28
    Darren Waller is ranked TE20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
  21. TE21 Hunter Henry
    TE27
    Hunter Henry is ranked TE21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE27 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  22. TE22 Jake Ferguson
    TE28
    Jake Ferguson is ranked TE22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE14 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
  23. TE23 Mike Gesicki
    TE30
    Mike Gesicki is ranked TE23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE30 at the median, TE15 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
  24. TE24 Cade Otton
    TE30
    Cade Otton is ranked TE24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE30 at the median, TE17 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
Show TE25 - TE36
  1. TE25 Tyler Higbee
    TE33
    Tyler Higbee is ranked TE25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE18 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE63 in the middle 80%.
  2. TE26 Max Klare
    TE36
    Max Klare is ranked TE26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE36 at the median, TE18 - TE55 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE75 in the middle 80%.
  3. TE27 Greg Dulcich
    TE31
    Greg Dulcich is ranked TE27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE31 at the median, TE20 - TE43 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE56 in the middle 80%.
  4. TE28 Kyle Pitts
    TE32
    Kyle Pitts is ranked TE28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE57 in the middle 80%.
  5. TE29 Michael Mayer
    TE33
    Michael Mayer is ranked TE29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE20 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE61 in the middle 80%.
  6. TE30 Gunnar Helm
    TE36
    Gunnar Helm is ranked TE30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE36 at the median, TE23 - TE50 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE64 in the middle 80%.
  7. TE31 Oronde Gadsden II
    TE36
    Oronde Gadsden II is ranked TE31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE36 at the median, TE23 - TE50 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE63 in the middle 80%.
  8. TE32 Darnell Washington
    TE38
    Darnell Washington is ranked TE32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE38 at the median, TE24 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE66 in the middle 80%.
  9. TE33 Noah Fant
    TE42
    Noah Fant is ranked TE33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE42 at the median, TE25 - TE57 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE72 in the middle 80%.
  10. TE34 Dawson Knox
    TE44
    Dawson Knox is ranked TE34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE44 at the median, TE25 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE77 in the middle 80%.
  11. TE35 Tommy Tremble
    TE45
    Tommy Tremble is ranked TE35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE45 at the median, TE28 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE75 in the middle 80%.
  12. TE36 Evan Engram
    TE43
    Evan Engram is ranked TE36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE29 - TE58 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE74 in the middle 80%.

Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.

The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.

How these are made

This board was built from 2026 usage for 72% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 59%, sportsbook props for 69%, an official status for 82%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 1, 2026 20:23 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 3 board generated before that week's first kickoff (September 24, 2026). Model rankings-v1.4.1, board captured 2026-10-01.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props).

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