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TE

LAR · Bye 11

Colby Parkinson

LMD TE44 for Week 3 · 3.1 projected Half PPR points · TE50 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 3.1 points this week, TE44. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 7% · Top 24: 17% of simulated weeks. Down 10 since Week 2.

Week 3

TE44

222nd by projected points

Rest of season

TE50

264th by projected points

Projected

3.1

week 3, Half PPR

Top 12

7%

Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 17% at TE

Movement

↓ 10

TE34 in Week 2, TE44 now

Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All TE rankings · Projected points board

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Colby Parkinson has averaged -0.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Colby Parkinson, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs SF 2.6 1.1 -1.5
Wk 2 vs NYG 2.5 2.5 0.0
Wk 3 @ DEN 3.1 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 48.1 points this season, TE50. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 3.3 a game over 15 remaining games.

Per game

3.3 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Colby Parkinson #235 in 1QB and #235 in Superflex, TE35 at his position. Age 27.

1QB

#235

TE35 · tier 52 · of 297

Superflex

#235

TE35 · tier 45 · of 303

  • Last season 108.3 pts 7.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 87% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 3.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.01

pick 168.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.04

half of simulations take him by pick 172

Draft range

13.05 - 15.11

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 3,340 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 14 teams
Scoring Half PPR also published: Full PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.04 in 84% of simulations

Pick 172 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.09 and 15.08.

Colby Parkinson still on the board
PickAvailable
15.02 87%
15.03 86%
15.04 84%
15.05 82%
15.06 80%
15.07 79%
15.08 77%
15.09 75%
15.10 73%
15.11 71%
15.12 69%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Colby Parkinson was selected at each pick, 13.05-13.06 through 15.11. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 2%, undrafted in 67%.
Draft position distribution for Colby Parkinson
PickShare of simulationsCount
13.05-13.06<1%19 of 10000 simulations
13.07-13.08<1%23 of 10000 simulations
13.09-13.10<1%48 of 10000 simulations
13.11-13.12<1%39 of 10000 simulations
14.01-14.02<1%81 of 10000 simulations
14.03-14.04<1%73 of 10000 simulations
14.05-14.06<1%86 of 10000 simulations
14.07-14.081%107 of 10000 simulations
14.09-14.101%133 of 10000 simulations
14.11-14.121%139 of 10000 simulations
15.01-15.024%351 of 10000 simulations
15.03-15.044%350 of 10000 simulations
15.05-15.064%356 of 10000 simulations
15.07-15.084%373 of 10000 simulations
15.09-15.104%403 of 10000 simulations
15.112%208 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 3340 simulations in which Colby Parkinson was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Colby Parkinson was selected in 3340 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.