NO · Bye 8 · Rookie
Oscar Delp
LMD TE77 for Week 5 · 1.7 projected Half PPR points
Questionable
In season
Week 5 fantasy ranking
We project 1.7 points this week, TE77. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 7% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Down 4 since Week 4.
Week 5
TE77
342nd by projected points
Projected
1.7
week 5, Half PPR
Top 12
2%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 7% at TE
Movement
↓ 4
TE73 in Week 4, TE77 now
Should you start Oscar Delp in Week 5?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Oscar Delp TE77 for Week 5, outside the TE12 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside TE12 in 2% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.09 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.56 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Unavailable
- Betting markets
- No signal · Upstream unavailable
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 6, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Oscar Delp has averaged -1.9 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | — | — | 1.3 | — |
| Wk 3 | vs LV | 1.6 | Pending | — |
| Wk 4 | vs ATL | 1.9 | 0.0 | -1.9 |
| Wk 5 | vs MIN | 1.7 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Oscar Delp #241 in 1QB and #239 in Superflex, TE37 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.
1QB
#241
TE37 · tier 53 · of 297 · rookie 42 of 52
Superflex
#239
TE37 · tier 46 · of 303 · rookie 41 of 52
- Draft capital Round 3, pick 73 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
4.05
pick 40.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
4.06
half of simulations take him by pick 42
Draft range
3.07 - 4.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 6,503 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.06 in 71% of simulations
Pick 42 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.01 and 4.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.04 | 77% |
| 4.05 | 74% |
| 4.06 | 71% |
| 4.07 | 67% |
| 4.08 | 63% |
| 4.09 | 58% |
| 4.10 | 53% |
| 4.11 | 48% |
| 4.12 | 42% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.07 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 1% | 140 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 2% | 158 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 2% | 179 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 2% | 199 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 2% | 214 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 3% | 329 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 4% | 386 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 4% | 414 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 4% | 433 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 5% | 486 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 5% | 530 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 6% | 601 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 7% | 711 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 6503 simulations in which Oscar Delp was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Max Klare TE · LAR 5%
- Riley Nowakowski TE · PIT 5%
- Sam Roush TE · CHI 4%
- Eli Heidenreich RB · PIT 4%
Usually taken just after
- Sam Roush TE · CHI 5%
- Max Klare TE · LAR 5%
- Marlin Klein TE · HOU 4%
- Riley Nowakowski TE · PIT 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Oscar Delp was selected in 6503 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.