NFL · 2026 Rest of season

Rest of season Half PPR TE Rankings

Half PPR, 1QB · 61 players projected · updated September 22, 2026

Our rest-of-season quarterback rankings are being rebuilt and are not shown. The board on this page shares out a whole season of quarterback opportunity as though every rostered quarterback would play it, which put backups -- and two players on no club at all -- among the starters. Running backs, receivers and tight ends are unaffected and are current. No market snapshot: no sportsbook or prediction-market prices reached this board. Sportsbook prices reached 0 of 143 fantasy-relevant players (0%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for the rest of the season using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the rest of the season 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated seasons.

What stands out on this board

61 TEs ranked for the rest of the season. Trey McBride leads at 184.9 projected points (12.4 / game).

Tier breaks

20.2 projected points separate TE1 Trey McBride from TE2 Dalton Schultz.

14.6 projected points separate TE2 Dalton Schultz from TE3 Travis Kelce.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

  • Austin HooperTE23Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 0% · Top 12: 6% · Top 24: 47% +38 vs. TE61
  • Michael MayerTE27Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 26% +38 vs. TE65
  • Blake WhiteheartTE32Our projection is higher than the outside forecast +28 vs. TE60

Movement

Risers

Fallers

Movement vs. the Sept. 20 rankings, among players inside TE12 on either board. Previously unranked players are excluded.

Rest of season Half PPR TE Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated seasons finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 TE Trey McBrideARI
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 73% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 0%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE2 at the median, TE1 - TE4 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE6 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 73%Top 12: 99%Top 24: 100%
TE1 184.912.4 / game
2 TE Dalton SchultzHOU
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 52% of the time, 4th to 12th 45%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 0%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE3 at the median, TE2 - TE6 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE9 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 52%Top 12: 97%Top 24: 100%
TE2↑ 11 164.710.2 / game
3 TE Travis KelceKC
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 33% of the time, 4th to 12th 59%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 1%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE5 at the median, TE3 - TE8 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE12 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 33%Top 12: 92%Top 24: 100%
TE3↑ 9 150.110.0 / game
4 TE Dalton KincaidBUF
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 29% of the time, 4th to 12th 61%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 0%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE5 at the median, TE3 - TE9 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE12 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 29%Top 12: 90%Top 24: 100%
TE4↑ 11 146.89.8 / game
5 TE Isaiah LikelyNYG
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 28% of the time, 4th to 12th 63%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 0%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE6 at the median, TE3 - TE9 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE12 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 28%Top 12: 91%Top 24: 100%
TE5↑ 4 146.89.8 / game
6 TE Sam LaPortaDET
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 23% of the time, 4th to 12th 63%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 1%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE6 at the median, TE4 - TE10 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE14 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 23%Top 12: 86%Top 24: 100%
TE6↓ 1 141.59.3 / game
7 TE Tyler WarrenIND
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 62%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 2%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE8 at the median, TE5 - TE12 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE16 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 17%Top 12: 79%Top 24: 98%
TE7↓ 3 134.29.2 / game
8 TE George KittleSFQQuestionable
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 60%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 2%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE9 at the median, TE6 - TE13 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE18 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 72%Top 24: 98%
TE8↓ 2 127.48.8 / game
9 TE Juwan JohnsonNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 58%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 2%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE10 at the median, TE6 - TE14 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE19 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 66%Top 24: 98%
TE9↑ 5 122.78.0 / game
10 TE Mark AndrewsBAL
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 55%, 13th to 24th 36%, and outside the top 24 3%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE11 at the median, TE7 - TE15 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE19 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 61%Top 24: 97%
TE10 120.08.0 / game
11 TE Pat FreiermuthPIT
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 51%, 13th to 24th 40%, and outside the top 24 4%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE12 at the median, TE8 - TE16 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE21 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 56%Top 24: 96%
TE11↑ 9 116.57.6 / game
12 TE Brock BowersLVOOut this week
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 43%, 13th to 24th 42%, and outside the top 24 10%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE13 at the median, TE8 - TE18 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE24 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 49%Top 24: 90%
TE12↓ 10 113.29.0 / game
13 TE Harold Fannin Jr.CLE
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 54%, and outside the top 24 11%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE15 at the median, TE11 - TE20 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE25 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 89%
TE13↓ 2 104.17.1 / game
14 TE Hunter HenryNE
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 55%, and outside the top 24 11%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE15 at the median, TE11 - TE20 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE25 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 34%Top 24: 89%
TE14↑ 7 103.97.2 / game
15 TE T.J. HockensonMIN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 54%, and outside the top 24 14%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE16 at the median, TE11 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE26 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 86%
TE15↑ 3 102.26.8 / game
16 TE Tucker KraftGB
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 55%, and outside the top 24 14%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE16 at the median, TE11 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE26 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 86%
TE16↓ 9 102.17.1 / game
17 TE Dallas GoedertPHIDDoubtful
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 57%, and outside the top 24 15%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE16 at the median, TE12 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE27 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 85%
TE17↓ 9 100.06.7 / game
18 TE Terrance FergusonLAR
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 58%, and outside the top 24 20%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE18 at the median, TE13 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE28 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 80%
TE18NEW 96.26.6 / game
19 TE Kenyon SadiqNYJ
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 58%, and outside the top 24 24%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE19 at the median, TE14 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 76%
TE19 93.46.0 / game
20 TE Jake FergusonDAL
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 58%, and outside the top 24 24%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE19 at the median, TE14 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 76%
TE20↑ 9 92.66.4 / game
21 TE Mike GesickiCIN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 45%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE24 at the median, TE18 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 52%
TE21↑ 1 81.15.3 / game
22 TE Cade OttonTB
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 46%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE24 at the median, TE19 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 52%
TE22↑ 2 80.55.4 / game
23 TE Austin HooperATL
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 41%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE25 at the median, TE19 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 47%
TE23NEW 78.74.0 / game
24 TE Colston LovelandCHI
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 40%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE26 at the median, TE20 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 45%
TE24↓ 21 77.55.7 / game
25 TE Kyle PittsATL
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 38%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE26 at the median, TE20 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 42%
TE25↓ 9 76.35.6 / game
26 TE David NjokuLACOOut this week
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 29%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE29 at the median, TE23 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 31%
TE26↓ 1 71.75.1 / game
27 TE Michael MayerLV
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE31 at the median, TE24 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE47 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 26%
TE27↓ 10 69.24.8 / game
28 TE Mark RedmanGB
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE32 at the median, TE24 - TE42 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 27%
TE28NEW 68.03.1 / game
29 TE Gunnar HelmTEN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE33 at the median, TE26 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 20%
TE29↓ 1 65.84.7 / game
30 TE Tommy TrembleCAR
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE34 at the median, TE26 - TE42 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 20%
TE30 65.54.2 / game
31 TE Luke SchoonmakerDAL
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE34 at the median, TE26 - TE43 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 20%
TE31NEW 65.23.4 / game
32 TE Blake WhiteheartCLE
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE35 at the median, TE27 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 16%
TE32NEW 63.33.8 / game
33 TE AJ BarnerSEA
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE37 at the median, TE29 - TE46 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 15%
TE33↑ 6 61.74.4 / game
34 TE Theo JohnsonNYG
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE38 at the median, TE30 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 11%
TE34NEW 60.03.7 / game
35 TE Chris MyarickLV
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE39 at the median, TE30 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 13%
TE35NEW 59.54.1 / game
36 TE Darren WallerCAR
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE39 at the median, TE30 - TE48 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE56 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 11%
TE36↓ 2 59.34.1 / game
37 TE Brenton StrangeJAX
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE39 at the median, TE31 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 10%
TE37↓ 14 59.14.4 / game
38 TE Jake BriningstoolKC
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE39 at the median, TE31 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 11%
TE38NEW 58.52.9 / game
39 TE Stephen CarlsonCHI
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE40 at the median, TE31 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 11%
TE39NEW 58.13.9 / game
40 TE Josiah DeguaraPHI
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE41 at the median, TE31 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 11%
TE40NEW 57.73.8 / game
41 TE Chig OkonkwoWASOOut this week
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE41 at the median, TE32 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE25 - TE60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 9%
TE41↓ 1 57.24.3 / game
42 TE Shane Zylstra
No game this week
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE42 at the median, TE33 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 9%
TE42NEW 55.63.6 / game
43 TE Evan EngramDEN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE42 at the median, TE34 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 6%
TE43↓ 16 55.53.9 / game
44 TE Tanner McLachlan
No game this week
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE43 at the median, TE34 - TE54 in the middle half, and TE26 - TE64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 8%
TE44NEW 54.93.4 / game
45 TE Tanner Conner
No game this week
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE43 at the median, TE34 - TE54 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 7%
TE45NEW 54.63.6 / game
46 TE Greg DulcichMIA
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE43 at the median, TE35 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE28 - TE61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 4%
TE46NEW 53.93.9 / game
47 TE Ja'Tavion SandersCAR
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE45 at the median, TE35 - TE55 in the middle half, and TE27 - TE66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 7%
TE47NEW 53.43.5 / game
48 TE Oronde Gadsden IILAC
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE46 at the median, TE37 - TE56 in the middle half, and TE30 - TE65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
TE48↓ 13 51.54.1 / game
49 TE Darnell WashingtonPIT
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE47 at the median, TE38 - TE57 in the middle half, and TE31 - TE65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
TE49↓ 12 50.73.4 / game
50 TE Colby ParkinsonLAR
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE50 at the median, TE40 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
TE50NEW 48.13.3 / game
51 TE Dawson KnoxBUF
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE51 at the median, TE42 - TE60 in the middle half, and TE33 - TE70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
TE51NEW 47.63.2 / game
52 TE Noah FantNO
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE53 at the median, TE43 - TE62 in the middle half, and TE34 - TE72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
TE52↓ 26 46.32.9 / game
53 TE Cole KmetCHI
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE54 at the median, TE44 - TE64 in the middle half, and TE35 - TE74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
TE53↓ 21 45.02.9 / game
54 TE Noah GrayKC
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE56 at the median, TE47 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
TE54NEW 43.12.7 / game
55 TE Drew SampleCIN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE58 at the median, TE48 - TE68 in the middle half, and TE38 - TE79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
TE55↓ 17 42.22.6 / game
56 TE Adam TrautmanDEN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE59 at the median, TE48 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE39 - TE81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
TE56↓ 15 41.22.4 / game
57 TE Johnny MundtPHI
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE59 at the median, TE49 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
TE57NEW 41.02.8 / game
58 TE Erick AllCIN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE59 at the median, TE49 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE40 - TE82 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0%
TE58NEW 40.82.5 / game
59 TE Foster MoreauHOU
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE60 at the median, TE51 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE42 - TE81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0%
TE59NEW 40.12.5 / game
60 TE Nate AdkinsDEN
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE61 at the median, TE49 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE39 - TE86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0%
TE60NEW 40.12.5 / game
61 TE Brock WrightDET
Across the simulated seasons at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE63 at the median, TE52 - TE74 in the middle half, and TE44 - TE85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0%
TE61NEW 38.32.3 / game

Simulated finishes

This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated seasons the projections came from.

Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.

Rest of season TE outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated seasons, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.

Projected rank
Median finish
136122436
  1. TE2
    Trey McBride is ranked TE1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE2 at the median, TE1 - TE4 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE6 in the middle 80%.
  2. TE3
    Dalton Schultz is ranked TE2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE3 at the median, TE2 - TE6 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE9 in the middle 80%.
  3. TE5
    Travis Kelce is ranked TE3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE5 at the median, TE3 - TE8 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE12 in the middle 80%.
  4. TE5
    Dalton Kincaid is ranked TE4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE5 at the median, TE3 - TE9 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE12 in the middle 80%.
  5. TE6
    Isaiah Likely is ranked TE5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE6 at the median, TE3 - TE9 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE12 in the middle 80%.
  6. TE6
    Sam LaPorta is ranked TE6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE6 at the median, TE4 - TE10 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE14 in the middle 80%.
  7. TE8
    Tyler Warren is ranked TE7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE8 at the median, TE5 - TE12 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE16 in the middle 80%.
  8. TE9
    George Kittle is ranked TE8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE9 at the median, TE6 - TE13 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE18 in the middle 80%.
  9. TE10
    Juwan Johnson is ranked TE9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE10 at the median, TE6 - TE14 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE19 in the middle 80%.
  10. TE11
    Mark Andrews is ranked TE10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE11 at the median, TE7 - TE15 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE19 in the middle 80%.
  11. TE11 Pat Freiermuth
    TE12
    Pat Freiermuth is ranked TE11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE12 at the median, TE8 - TE16 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE21 in the middle 80%.
  12. TE13
    Brock Bowers is ranked TE12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE13 at the median, TE8 - TE18 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE24 in the middle 80%.
  13. TE15
    Harold Fannin Jr. is ranked TE13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE15 at the median, TE11 - TE20 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE25 in the middle 80%.
  14. TE15
    Hunter Henry is ranked TE14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE15 at the median, TE11 - TE20 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE25 in the middle 80%.
  15. TE16
    T.J. Hockenson is ranked TE15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE16 at the median, TE11 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE26 in the middle 80%.
  16. TE16
    Tucker Kraft is ranked TE16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE16 at the median, TE11 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE26 in the middle 80%.
  17. TE16
    Dallas Goedert is ranked TE17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE16 at the median, TE12 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE27 in the middle 80%.
  18. TE18
    Terrance Ferguson is ranked TE18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE18 at the median, TE13 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE28 in the middle 80%.
  19. TE19
    Kenyon Sadiq is ranked TE19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE19 at the median, TE14 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
  20. TE19
    Jake Ferguson is ranked TE20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE19 at the median, TE14 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE31 in the middle 80%.
  21. TE21 Mike Gesicki
    TE24
    Mike Gesicki is ranked TE21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE24 at the median, TE18 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE39 in the middle 80%.
  22. TE22 Cade Otton
    TE24
    Cade Otton is ranked TE22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE24 at the median, TE19 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
  23. TE23 Austin Hooper
    TE25
    Austin Hooper is ranked TE23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE25 at the median, TE19 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
  24. TE26
    Colston Loveland is ranked TE24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE26 at the median, TE20 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE15 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
Show TE25 - TE36
  1. TE25 Kyle Pitts
    TE26
    Kyle Pitts is ranked TE25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE26 at the median, TE20 - TE34 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE41 in the middle 80%.
  2. TE29
    David Njoku is ranked TE26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE29 at the median, TE23 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
  3. TE27 Michael Mayer
    TE31
    Michael Mayer is ranked TE27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE31 at the median, TE24 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE47 in the middle 80%.
  4. TE28 Mark Redman
    TE32
    Mark Redman is ranked TE28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE32 at the median, TE24 - TE42 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE51 in the middle 80%.
  5. TE33
    Gunnar Helm is ranked TE29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE33 at the median, TE26 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE50 in the middle 80%.
  6. TE30 Tommy Tremble
    TE34
    Tommy Tremble is ranked TE30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE34 at the median, TE26 - TE42 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE50 in the middle 80%.
  7. TE31 Luke Schoonmaker
    TE34
    Luke Schoonmaker is ranked TE31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE34 at the median, TE26 - TE43 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE51 in the middle 80%.
  8. TE32 Blake Whiteheart
    TE35
    Blake Whiteheart is ranked TE32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE35 at the median, TE27 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
  9. TE33 AJ Barner
    TE37
    AJ Barner is ranked TE33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE37 at the median, TE29 - TE46 in the middle half, and TE22 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
  10. TE38
    Theo Johnson is ranked TE34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE38 at the median, TE30 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE55 in the middle 80%.
  11. TE35 Chris Myarick
    TE39
    Chris Myarick is ranked TE35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE39 at the median, TE30 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE59 in the middle 80%.
  12. TE36 Darren Waller
    TE39
    Darren Waller is ranked TE36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated seasons he finishes TE39 at the median, TE30 - TE48 in the middle half, and TE24 - TE56 in the middle 80%.

Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.

The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.

How these are made

This board was built from 2026 usage for 68% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated seasons. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the seasons he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 22, 2026 18:57 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured against the board of 2026-09-20. Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-22.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections).

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