LAC · Bye 7
David Njoku
LMD TE26 rest of season · 71.7 projected Half PPR points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 71.7 points this season, TE26. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 31% of simulated seasons. That is 5.1 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 1 since the Sept. 20 board.
Rest of season
TE26
189th by projected points
Projected
71.7
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
3%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 31% at TE
Movement
↓ 1
TE25 on Sept. 20, TE26 now
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Chargers news: Justin Herbert, LA's dreadful start gets worse with David Njoku injury
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to David Njoku by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games David Njoku has averaged +1.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ARI | 2.8 | 8.3 | +5.5 |
| Wk 2 | vs LV | 4.1 | 1.4 | -2.7 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 71.7 points this season, TE26. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 31% of simulated seasons. That is 5.1 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 1 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
5.1 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 31%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has David Njoku #262 in 1QB and #266 in Superflex, TE43 at his position. Age 30.
1QB
#262
TE43 · tier 61 · of 297
Superflex
#266
TE43 · tier 53 · of 303
- Last season 69.8 pts 6.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 71% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 6.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 17% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.04
pick 160.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.10
half of simulations take him by pick 166
Draft range
12.07 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,616 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.10 in 77% of simulations
Pick 166 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 15.03, where he is available in 72% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 14.10 77% · 15.03 72%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.11 and 15.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.08 | 79% |
| 14.09 | 78% |
| 14.10 | 77% |
| 14.11 | 77% |
| 14.12 | 76% |
| 15.01 | 76% |
| 15.02 | 74% |
| 15.03 | 72% |
| 15.04 | 70% |
| 15.05 | 69% |
| 15.06 | 67% |
| 15.07 | 65% |
| 15.08 | 63% |
| 15.09 | 61% |
| 15.10 | 60% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.07-12.08 | 4% | 435 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.10 | 4% | 442 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-12.12 | 5% | 485 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.02 | <1% | 17 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.03-13.04 | <1% | 25 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.06 | <1% | 18 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.08 | <1% | 28 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.10 | <1% | 40 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-13.12 | <1% | 46 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.02 | <1% | 85 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.04 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.06 | <1% | 91 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.08 | 1% | 124 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09-14.10 | 1% | 115 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-14.12 | 1% | 132 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.02 | 4% | 353 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03-15.04 | 3% | 331 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.06 | 4% | 361 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07-15.08 | 4% | 369 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09-15.10 | 4% | 357 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4616 simulations in which David Njoku was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 2%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 2%
- Jonah Coleman RB · DEN 2%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
Usually taken just after
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 2%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 2%
- Jake Bates K · DET 2%
- T.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
David Njoku was selected in 4616 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.