NFL · 2026 Week 2

2026 Week 2 Half PPR TE Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published September 17, 2026, 19:05 UTC · first kickoff September 18, 2026, 00:15 UTC

Half PPR, 1QB · 47 players projected · updated September 17, 2026

No earlier market snapshot, so no market movement is shown.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 2 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3: how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12: how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24: how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

How often a strong start lasts

Since 1999, 42% of TEs inside the top 12 through Week 1 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 330 TE-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.

What stood out in Week 2

47 TEs ranked for Week 2. Trey McBride leads at 13.5 projected points.

Tier breaks

2.7 projected points separate TE1 Trey McBride from TE2 Brock Bowers.

2.4 projected points separate TE2 Brock Bowers from TE3 Sam LaPorta.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

Noah FantTE27Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 15% · Top 24: 31% +27 vs. TE54
John BatesTE43Our projection is higher than the outside forecast +23 vs. TE66
Dalton SchultzTE14Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 6% · Top 12: 26% · Top 24: 61% +7 vs. TE21

Behind

Terrance FergusonTE36Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -14 vs. TE22
Darnell WashingtonTE38Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -10 vs. TE28
AJ BarnerTE32Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 22% -8 vs. TE24

Movement

Risers

Isaiah LikelyTE7Top 3: 13% · Top 12: 37% · Top 24: 69% ↑ 6
Travis KelceTE9Top 3: 10% · Top 12: 31% · Top 24: 64% ↑ 6
Tucker KraftTE8Top 3: 11% · Top 12: 36% · Top 24: 74% ↑ 4

Fallers

Jake FergusonTE20Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 19% · Top 24: 40% ↓ 9
Kyle PittsTE13Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 28% · Top 24: 58% ↓ 8
Mark AndrewsTE16Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 25% · Top 24: 51% ↓ 6

Positional movement since the final Week 1 board, among players inside TE12 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.

2026 Week 2 Half PPR TE Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
#	Pos	Player	Pos rank	Proj	Outcome profile	Top 3	Top 12	Top 24	Move
1	TE	Trey McBrideARI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 41% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 7%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE5 at the median, TE2 - TE15 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE22 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 41%Top 12: 70%Top 24: 93%	TE1↑ 1	13.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 41% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 7%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE5 at the median, TE2 - TE15 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE22 in the middle 80%.	41%	70%	93%	↑ 1
2	TE	Brock BowersLVQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 28% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 22%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE3 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE36 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 28%Top 12: 53%Top 24: 78%	TE2↓ 1	10.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 28% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 22%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE3 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE36 in the middle 80%.	28%	53%	78%	↓ 1
3	TE	Sam LaPortaDET Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 35%, and outside the top 24 18%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE14 at the median, TE5 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 18%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 82%	TE3↑ 3	8.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 35%, and outside the top 24 18%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE14 at the median, TE5 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%.	18%	47%	82%	↑ 3
4	TE	Colston LovelandCHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 33%, and outside the top 24 20%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE14 at the median, TE5 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 18%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 80%	TE4↓ 1	8.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 33%, and outside the top 24 20%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE14 at the median, TE5 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%.	18%	47%	80%	↓ 1
5	TE	Tyler WarrenIND Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 23%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE34 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 17%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 77%	TE5↓ 1	8.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 23%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE34 in the middle 80%.	17%	45%	77%	↓ 1
6	TE	George KittleSFQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 34%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE6 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE44 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 15%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 66%	TE6↑ 2	7.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 28%, and outside the top 24 34%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE6 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE44 in the middle 80%.	15%	38%	66%	↑ 2
7	TE	Isaiah LikelyNYG Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 13%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 69%	TE7↑ 6	6.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%.	13%	37%	69%	↑ 6
8	TE	Tucker KraftGB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 37%, and outside the top 24 26%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE8 - TE25 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE35 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 11%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 74%	TE8↑ 4	6.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 37%, and outside the top 24 26%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE8 - TE25 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE35 in the middle 80%.	11%	36%	74%	↑ 4
9	TE	Travis KelceKC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 33%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE42 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 10%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 64%	TE9↑ 6	6.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 33%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE42 in the middle 80%.	10%	31%	64%	↑ 6
10	TE	Dalton KincaidBUF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 37%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE9 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE37 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 9%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 68%	TE10↑ 4	6.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 37%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE9 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE37 in the middle 80%.	9%	32%	68%	↑ 4
11	TE	Dallas GoedertPHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 31%, and outside the top 24 38%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE44 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 10%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 62%	TE11↓ 2	6.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 31%, and outside the top 24 38%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE44 in the middle 80%.	10%	31%	62%	↓ 2
12	TE	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE10 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE45 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 61%	TE12↓ 5	5.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 32%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE10 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE45 in the middle 80%.	9%	29%	61%	↓ 5
13	TE	Kyle PittsATL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 30%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE11 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE46 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 7%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 58%	TE13↓ 8	5.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 30%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE11 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE46 in the middle 80%.	7%	28%	58%	↓ 8
14	TE	Dalton SchultzHOU Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 35%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE12 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE42 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 6%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 61%	TE14↑ 5	5.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 35%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE12 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE42 in the middle 80%.	6%	26%	61%	↑ 5
15	TE	Kenyon SadiqNYJ Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE10 - TE46 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE66 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 8%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 45%	TE15↑ 14	5.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE10 - TE46 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE66 in the middle 80%.	8%	29%	45%	↑ 14
16	TE	Mark AndrewsBAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE24 at the median, TE13 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 7%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 51%	TE16↓ 6	5.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE24 at the median, TE13 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%.	7%	25%	51%	↓ 6
17	TE	Juwan JohnsonNOQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE60 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 49%	TE17↑ 3	5.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE60 in the middle 80%.	7%	24%	49%	↑ 3
18	TE	T.J. HockensonMIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE15 - TE38 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE54 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 49%	TE18↓ 1	4.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 27%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE15 - TE38 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE54 in the middle 80%.	5%	22%	49%	↓ 1
19	TE	Mike GesickiCIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE16 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 5%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 45%	TE19↑ 8	4.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE16 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%.	5%	20%	45%	↑ 8
20	TE	Jake FergusonDAL Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE29 at the median, TE17 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE62 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 4%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 40%	TE20↓ 9	4.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE29 at the median, TE17 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE62 in the middle 80%.	4%	19%	40%	↓ 9
21	TE	Pat FreiermuthPIT Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE17 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE58 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 42%	TE21↑ 1	4.2	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE17 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE58 in the middle 80%.	4%	18%	42%	↑ 1
22	TE	Hunter HenryNE Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE65 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 36%	TE22↓ 6	3.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE65 in the middle 80%.	3%	15%	36%	↓ 6
23	TE	Evan EngramDEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE20 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE68 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 34%	TE23↑ 13	3.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE20 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE68 in the middle 80%.	2%	14%	34%	↑ 13
24	TE	Michael MayerLV Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE20 - TE48 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE67 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 33%	TE24↑ 7	3.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE20 - TE48 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE67 in the middle 80%.	2%	14%	33%	↑ 7
25	TE	David NjokuLAC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE34 at the median, TE21 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE69 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 32%	TE25↑ 7	3.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE34 at the median, TE21 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE69 in the middle 80%.	3%	15%	32%	↑ 7
26	TE	Gunnar HelmTEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE21 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE69 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 33%	TE26↓ 1	3.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE21 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE69 in the middle 80%.	2%	14%	33%	↓ 1
27	TE	Noah FantNO Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE21 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE72 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 31%	TE27NEW	3.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE21 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE72 in the middle 80%.	2%	15%	31%	NEW
28	TE	Brenton StrangeJAX Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE22 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE73 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 29%	TE28↓ 10	3.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE22 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE73 in the middle 80%.	2%	13%	29%	↓ 10
29	TE	Cade OttonTB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE37 at the median, TE23 - TE56 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE76 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 27%	TE29↓ 1	3.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE37 at the median, TE23 - TE56 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE76 in the middle 80%.	2%	11%	27%	↓ 1
30	TE	Tommy TrembleCAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE41 at the median, TE25 - TE61 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE81 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24%	TE30↑ 11	2.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE41 at the median, TE25 - TE61 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE81 in the middle 80%.	1%	11%	24%	↑ 11
31	TE	Chig OkonkwoWASQQuestionable Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE40 at the median, TE25 - TE61 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE86 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 25%	TE31↓ 5	2.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE40 at the median, TE25 - TE61 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE86 in the middle 80%.	1%	10%	25%	↓ 5
32	TE	AJ BarnerSEA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE27 - TE64 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE85 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22%	TE32↓ 9	2.7	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE27 - TE64 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE85 in the middle 80%.	1%	11%	22%	↓ 9
33	TE	Cole KmetCHI Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE29 - TE67 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE90 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19%	TE33↑ 5	2.6	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE29 - TE67 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE90 in the middle 80%.	1%	10%	19%	↑ 5
34	TE	Colby ParkinsonLAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE93 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 17%	TE34↑ 1	2.5	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE93 in the middle 80%.	1%	9%	17%	↑ 1
35	TE	Greg DulcichMIA Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE30 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE87 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 18%	TE35↓ 11	2.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE30 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE87 in the middle 80%.	1%	7%	18%	↓ 11
36	TE	Terrance FergusonLAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16%	TE36↓ 15	2.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%.	1%	8%	16%	↓ 15
37	TE	Jonnu SmithGB Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE31 - TE68 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE90 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17%	TE37NEW	2.4	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE31 - TE68 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE90 in the middle 80%.	1%	8%	17%	NEW
38	TE	Darnell WashingtonPIT Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE93 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15%	TE38↓ 4	2.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE18 - TE93 in the middle 80%.	1%	7%	15%	↓ 4
39	TE	Darren WallerCAR Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE49 at the median, TE32 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16%	TE39↓ 9	2.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE49 at the median, TE32 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%.	1%	8%	16%	↓ 9
40	TE	Mason TaylorNYJ Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16%	TE40↓ 7	2.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE72 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%.	1%	7%	16%	↓ 7
41	TE	Josh OliverMIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE31 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16%	TE41NEW	2.3	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE48 at the median, TE31 - TE70 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%.	1%	8%	16%	NEW
42	TE	Drew SampleCIN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE55 at the median, TE36 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE97 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13%	TE42NEW	2.1	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE55 at the median, TE36 - TE78 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE97 in the middle 80%.	1%	6%	13%	NEW
43	TE	John BatesWAS Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE59 at the median, TE38 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE102 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 12%	TE43NEW	2.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE59 at the median, TE38 - TE81 in the middle half, and TE19 - TE102 in the middle 80%.	1%	7%	12%	NEW
44	TE	Oronde Gadsden IILAC Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE57 at the median, TE37 - TE80 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE102 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12%	TE44↓ 5	2.0	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE57 at the median, TE37 - TE80 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE102 in the middle 80%.	1%	6%	12%	↓ 5
45	TE	Adam TrautmanDEN Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE39 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE102 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 11%	TE45NEW	1.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE60 at the median, TE39 - TE83 in the middle half, and TE21 - TE102 in the middle 80%.	1%	6%	11%	NEW
46	TE	Dawson KnoxBUF Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE56 at the median, TE39 - TE76 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE95 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11%	TE46↓ 9	1.9	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE56 at the median, TE39 - TE76 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE95 in the middle 80%.	0%	5%	11%	↓ 9
47	TE	Foster MoreauHOU Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE63 at the median, TE42 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE107 in the middle 80%. Top 3: 0%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 11%	TE47NEW	1.8	Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE63 at the median, TE42 - TE86 in the middle half, and TE23 - TE107 in the middle 80%.	0%	6%	11%	NEW

Simulated finishes

This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.

Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.

Projected rank

Median finish

1361224366090

TE1 Trey McBride

TE5

Trey McBride is ranked TE1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE5 at the median, TE2 - TE15 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE22 in the middle 80%.
TE2 Brock Bowers

TE11

Brock Bowers is ranked TE2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE11 at the median, TE3 - TE23 in the middle half, and TE1 - TE36 in the middle 80%.
TE3 Sam LaPorta

TE14

Sam LaPorta is ranked TE3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE14 at the median, TE5 - TE21 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%.
TE4 Colston Loveland

TE14

Colston Loveland is ranked TE4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE14 at the median, TE5 - TE22 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE30 in the middle 80%.
TE5 Tyler Warren

TE15

Tyler Warren is ranked TE5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE15 at the median, TE5 - TE24 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE34 in the middle 80%.
TE6 George Kittle

TE18

George Kittle is ranked TE6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE6 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE2 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
TE7 Isaiah Likely

TE18

Isaiah Likely is ranked TE7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE18 at the median, TE7 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE40 in the middle 80%.
TE8 Tucker Kraft

TE17

Tucker Kraft is ranked TE8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE17 at the median, TE8 - TE25 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE35 in the middle 80%.
TE9 Travis Kelce

TE20

Travis Kelce is ranked TE9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE29 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE42 in the middle 80%.
TE10 Dalton Kincaid

TE19

Dalton Kincaid is ranked TE10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE19 at the median, TE9 - TE27 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE37 in the middle 80%.
TE11 Dallas Goedert

TE20

Dallas Goedert is ranked TE11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE20 at the median, TE9 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE3 - TE44 in the middle 80%.
TE12 Harold Fannin Jr.

TE21

Harold Fannin Jr. is ranked TE12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE10 - TE31 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE45 in the middle 80%.
TE13 Kyle Pitts

TE21

Kyle Pitts is ranked TE13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE11 - TE33 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE46 in the middle 80%.
TE14 Dalton Schultz

TE21

Dalton Schultz is ranked TE14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE21 at the median, TE12 - TE30 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE42 in the middle 80%.
TE15 Kenyon Sadiq

TE28

Kenyon Sadiq is ranked TE15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE10 - TE46 in the middle half, and TE4 - TE66 in the middle 80%.
TE16 Mark Andrews

TE24

Mark Andrews is ranked TE16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE24 at the median, TE13 - TE37 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE52 in the middle 80%.
TE17 Juwan Johnson

TE25

Juwan Johnson is ranked TE17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE13 - TE40 in the middle half, and TE5 - TE60 in the middle 80%.
TE18 T.J. Hockenson

TE25

T.J. Hockenson is ranked TE18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE25 at the median, TE15 - TE38 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE54 in the middle 80%.
TE19 Mike Gesicki

TE26

Mike Gesicki is ranked TE19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE26 at the median, TE16 - TE39 in the middle half, and TE6 - TE53 in the middle 80%.
TE20 Jake Ferguson

TE29

Jake Ferguson is ranked TE20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE29 at the median, TE17 - TE44 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE62 in the middle 80%.
TE21 Pat Freiermuth

TE28

Pat Freiermuth is ranked TE21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE28 at the median, TE17 - TE41 in the middle half, and TE7 - TE58 in the middle 80%.
TE22 Hunter Henry

TE32

Hunter Henry is ranked TE22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE19 - TE47 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE65 in the middle 80%.
TE23 Evan Engram

TE33

Evan Engram is ranked TE23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE20 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE68 in the middle 80%.
TE24 Michael Mayer

TE32

Michael Mayer is ranked TE24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE32 at the median, TE20 - TE48 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE67 in the middle 80%.

Show TE25 - TE36

TE25 David Njoku

TE34

David Njoku is ranked TE25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE34 at the median, TE21 - TE51 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE69 in the middle 80%.
TE26 Gunnar Helm

TE33

Gunnar Helm is ranked TE26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE33 at the median, TE21 - TE49 in the middle half, and TE9 - TE69 in the middle 80%.
TE27 Noah Fant

TE35

Noah Fant is ranked TE27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE21 - TE52 in the middle half, and TE8 - TE72 in the middle 80%.
TE28 Brenton Strange

TE35

Brenton Strange is ranked TE28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE35 at the median, TE22 - TE53 in the middle half, and TE10 - TE73 in the middle 80%.
TE29 Cade Otton

TE37

Cade Otton is ranked TE29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE37 at the median, TE23 - TE56 in the middle half, and TE11 - TE76 in the middle 80%.
TE30 Tommy Tremble

TE41

Tommy Tremble is ranked TE30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE41 at the median, TE25 - TE61 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE81 in the middle 80%.
TE31 Chig Okonkwo

TE40

Chig Okonkwo is ranked TE31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE40 at the median, TE25 - TE61 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE86 in the middle 80%.
TE32 AJ Barner

TE43

AJ Barner is ranked TE32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE43 at the median, TE27 - TE64 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE85 in the middle 80%.
TE33 Cole Kmet

TE46

Cole Kmet is ranked TE33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE29 - TE67 in the middle half, and TE12 - TE90 in the middle 80%.
TE34 Colby Parkinson

TE50

Colby Parkinson is ranked TE34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE73 in the middle half, and TE14 - TE93 in the middle 80%.
TE35 Greg Dulcich

TE46

Greg Dulcich is ranked TE35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE46 at the median, TE30 - TE66 in the middle half, and TE17 - TE87 in the middle 80%.
TE36 Terrance Ferguson

TE50

Terrance Ferguson is ranked TE36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes TE50 at the median, TE32 - TE71 in the middle half, and TE16 - TE92 in the middle 80%.

Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.

The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.

How these are made

This board was built from 2026 usage for 58% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, sportsbook props for 6%, an official status for 82%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 17, 2026 19:04 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 1 board generated before that week's first kickoff (September 9, 2026). Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-17.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); Polymarket (prediction-market prices); The Odds API (player props).

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