12-Team Full PPR draft strategy
Drafting from pick 1 in a 12-Team Full PPR league
You are on the clock at 1.01, and again at 2.12. Everything below is counted over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts: who is actually taken at this pick, who is already gone, and who is still on the board when it comes back around.
Your picks: 1.01 · 2.12 · 3.01 · 4.12 · 5.01 · 6.12 · 7.01 · 8.12 · 9.01 · 10.12 · 11.01 · 12.12 · 13.01 · 14.12 · 15.01
Your first pick
Who is taken at 1.01
- Jahmyr Gibbs is the most common selection at 1.01, taken there in 54% of simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
- 72% of the time the pick at 1.01 is a RB.
- At least 8 players who are usually on the board at 1.01 are almost never still there at 2.12.
- Drake London is the highest-priced player who is genuinely a coin flip at 2.12: still available in 23% of drafts.
| Player | Taken here | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | 54% | 1.02 |
| Puka NacuaWR · LAR | 15% | 1.05 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 9% | 1.06 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | 5% | 1.03 |
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 4% | 1.09 |
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | 3% | 1.11 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | 2% | 1.05 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 2% | 1.11 |
The turn
Gone by 2.12
Usually on the board at 1.01 and almost never still there when the pick comes back around. This is the decision draft slot 1 actually makes.
| Player | At 2.12 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | 0% | 1.02 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | 0% | 1.03 |
| Puka NacuaWR · LAR | 0% | 1.05 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | 0% | 1.05 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 0% | 1.06 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | 0% | 1.07 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 0% | 1.08 |
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | <1% | 1.09 |
Your next turn
Still live at 2.12
A genuine coin flip at your next turn -- the players worth planning around rather than counting on.
| Player | At 2.12 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR · ATL | 23% | 2.06 |
| Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | 24% | 2.09 |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC | 25% | 2.09 |
| Nico CollinsWR · HOU | 49% | 2.11 |
| Josh JacobsRB · GB | 53% | 2.12 |
| George PickensWR · DAL | 59% | 3.01 |
| Brock BowersTE · LV | 64% | 3.01 |
| Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI | 79% | 3.03 |
Position mix
How this slot usually opens
| Pick | Round | Usually a |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Round 1 | RB72%WR28%TE<1%QB<1% |
| 2.12 | Round 2 | RB45%WR42%QB7%TE6% |
| 3.01 | Round 3 | RB41%WR40%TE11%QB9% |
| 4.12 | Round 4 | WR51%RB27%QB13%TE9% |
| 5.01 | Round 5 | WR50%RB26%QB14%TE11% |
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page is a count over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. None of it is advice: a share is how often something happened, and a probability carries the number of drafts behind it.
A simulated draft is not a market. These pages describe how our simulated managers draft, which is a statement about our board; where a player is drafted in real leagues is a different number, published separately.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
Next
Draft it yourself
Opens a 12-team Full PPR 1QB room with seat 1 already yours.