12-Team Full PPR draft strategy
Drafting from pick 11 in a 12-Team Full PPR league
You are on the clock at 1.11, and again at 2.02. Everything below is counted over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts: who is actually taken at this pick, who is already gone, and who is still on the board when it comes back around.
Your picks: 1.11 · 2.02 · 3.11 · 4.02 · 5.11 · 6.02 · 7.11 · 8.02 · 9.11 · 10.02 · 11.11 · 12.02 · 13.11 · 14.02 · 15.11
Your first pick
Who is taken at 1.11
- CeeDee Lamb is the most common selection at 1.11, taken there in 13% of simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
- 53% of the time the pick at 1.11 is a WR.
- Justin Jefferson is the highest-priced player who is genuinely a coin flip at 2.02: still available in 24% of drafts.
| Player | Taken here | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 13% | 1.09 |
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | 13% | 1.11 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 10% | 1.11 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | 9% | 1.09 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 7% | 1.08 |
| Derrick HenryRB · BAL | 7% | 2.02 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 5% | 1.06 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | 5% | 2.03 |
Before your turn
Already off the board
Priced ahead of this slot and effectively never still there when your turn arrives.
| Player | Still there | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | <1% | 1.02 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | <1% | 1.03 |
| Puka NacuaWR · LAR | 4% | 1.05 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | <1% | 1.05 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 11% | 1.06 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | 5% | 1.07 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 13% | 1.08 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | 15% | 1.09 |
Your next turn
Still live at 2.02
A genuine coin flip at your next turn -- the players worth planning around rather than counting on.
| Player | At 2.02 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | 24% | 1.11 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 31% | 1.11 |
| Derrick HenryRB · BAL | 57% | 2.02 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | 63% | 2.03 |
| James CookRB · BUF | 74% | 2.03 |
| A.J. BrownWR · NE | 71% | 2.05 |
| Drake LondonWR · ATL | 74% | 2.06 |
| Chase BrownRB · CIN | 81% | 2.06 |
Position mix
How this slot usually opens
| Pick | Round | Usually a |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Round 1 | WR53%RB46%TE<1%QB<1% |
| 2.02 | Round 2 | RB62%WR35%TE2%QB<1% |
| 3.11 | Round 3 | WR47%RB29%TE14%QB11% |
| 4.02 | Round 4 | WR48%RB30%QB11%TE10% |
| 5.11 | Round 5 | WR43%RB29%QB16%TE12% |
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page is a count over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. None of it is advice: a share is how often something happened, and a probability carries the number of drafts behind it.
A simulated draft is not a market. These pages describe how our simulated managers draft, which is a statement about our board; where a player is drafted in real leagues is a different number, published separately.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
Next
Draft it yourself
Opens a 12-team Full PPR 1QB room with seat 11 already yours.