12-Team Full PPR draft strategy
Drafting from pick 10 in a 12-Team Full PPR league
You are on the clock at 1.10, and again at 2.03. Everything below is counted over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts: who is actually taken at this pick, who is already gone, and who is still on the board when it comes back around.
Your picks: 1.10 · 2.03 · 3.10 · 4.03 · 5.10 · 6.03 · 7.10 · 8.03 · 9.10 · 10.03 · 11.10 · 12.03 · 13.10 · 14.03 · 15.10
Your first pick
Who is taken at 1.10
- CeeDee Lamb is the most common selection at 1.10, taken there in 20% of simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
- 55% of the time the pick at 1.10 is a WR.
- 5 players who are usually on the board at 1.10 are almost never still there at 2.03.
- Chase Brown is the highest-priced player who is genuinely a coin flip at 2.03: still available in 54% of drafts.
| Player | Taken here | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 20% | 1.11 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 19% | 1.11 |
| Drake LondonWR · ATL | 18% | 1.11 |
| James CookRB · BUF | 10% | 1.12 |
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | 10% | 1.12 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | 5% | 1.08 |
| Chase BrownRB · CIN | 3% | 2.03 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 3% | 1.07 |
Before your turn
Already off the board
Priced ahead of this slot and effectively never still there when your turn arrives.
| Player | Still there | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | 0% | 1.02 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | <1% | 1.02 |
| Puka NacuaWR · LAR | <1% | 1.03 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | <1% | 1.04 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | 2% | 1.06 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 5% | 1.07 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 4% | 1.07 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | 8% | 1.08 |
The turn
Gone by 2.03
Usually on the board at 1.10 and almost never still there when the pick comes back around. This is the decision draft slot 10 actually makes.
| Player | At 2.03 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 4% | 1.11 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 5% | 1.11 |
| Drake LondonWR · ATL | 11% | 1.11 |
| James CookRB · BUF | 13% | 1.12 |
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | 12% | 1.12 |
Your next turn
Still live at 2.03
A genuine coin flip at your next turn -- the players worth planning around rather than counting on.
| Player | At 2.03 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownRB · CIN | 54% | 2.03 |
| Ashton JeantyRB · LV | 73% | 2.04 |
| Derrick HenryRB · BAL | 81% | 2.05 |
| Rashee RiceWR · KC | 84% | 2.05 |
Position mix
How this slot usually opens
| Pick | Round | Usually a |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Round 1 | WR55%RB45%TE<1%QB<1% |
| 2.03 | Round 2 | RB64%WR36%TE<1%QB<1% |
| 3.10 | Round 3 | WR43%RB35%TE14%QB8% |
| 4.03 | Round 4 | WR45%RB36%QB11%TE9% |
| 5.10 | Round 5 | WR44%RB28%QB16%TE11% |
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page is a count over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. There is no advice here that is not a count: a share is how often something happened, and a probability carries the number of drafts behind it.
A simulated draft is not a market. These pages describe how our simulated managers draft, which is a statement about our board; where a player is drafted in real leagues is a different number, published separately.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- August 21, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- mixed
Next
Draft it yourself
Opens a 12-team Full PPR 1QB room with seat 10 already yours.