12-Team Half PPR draft strategy
Drafting from pick 9 in a 12-Team Half PPR league
You are on the clock at 1.09, and again at 2.04. Everything below is counted over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts: who is actually taken at this pick, who is already gone, and who is still on the board when it comes back around.
Your picks: 1.09 · 2.04 · 3.09 · 4.04 · 5.09 · 6.04 · 7.09 · 8.04 · 9.09 · 10.04 · 11.09 · 12.04 · 13.09 · 14.04 · 15.09
Your first pick
Who is taken at 1.09
- James Cook is the most common selection at 1.09, taken there in 28% of simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
- 75% of the time the pick at 1.09 is a RB.
- 3 players who are usually on the board at 1.09 are almost never still there at 2.04.
- CeeDee Lamb is the highest-priced player who is genuinely a coin flip at 2.04: still available in 21% of drafts.
| Player | Taken here | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| James CookRB · BUF | 28% | 1.09 |
| Derrick HenryRB · BAL | 12% | 1.07 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | 10% | 1.07 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | 9% | 1.07 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 8% | 1.07 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 7% | 1.11 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 6% | 1.10 |
| Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | 3% | 2.03 |
Before your turn
Already off the board
Priced ahead of this slot and effectively never still there when your turn arrives.
| Player | Still there | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | <1% | 1.02 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | 1% | 1.04 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | 3% | 1.04 |
| Puka NacuaWR · LAR | 6% | 1.05 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | 13% | 1.07 |
The turn
Gone by 2.04
Usually on the board at 1.09 and almost never still there when the pick comes back around. This is the decision draft slot 9 actually makes.
| Player | At 2.04 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| James CookRB · BUF | <1% | 1.09 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 14% | 1.10 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 12% | 1.11 |
Your next turn
Still live at 2.04
A genuine coin flip at your next turn -- the players worth planning around rather than counting on.
| Player | At 2.04 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 21% | 2.02 |
| Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | 47% | 2.03 |
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | 51% | 2.03 |
| Chase BrownRB · CIN | 46% | 2.03 |
| Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI | 54% | 2.04 |
| A.J. BrownWR · NE | 78% | 2.06 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | 76% | 2.06 |
| Drake LondonWR · ATL | 75% | 2.07 |
Position mix
How this slot usually opens
| Pick | Round | Usually a |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Round 1 | RB75%WR25%QB<1%TE<1% |
| 2.04 | Round 2 | WR55%RB44%QB<1%TE<1% |
| 3.09 | Round 3 | WR54%RB22%QB19%TE4% |
| 4.04 | Round 4 | WR55%RB20%QB13%TE11% |
| 5.09 | Round 5 | WR38%RB36%QB16%TE10% |
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page is a count over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. None of it is advice: a share is how often something happened, and a probability carries the number of drafts behind it.
A simulated draft is not a market. These pages describe how our simulated managers draft, which is a statement about our board; where a player is drafted in real leagues is a different number, published separately.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 8, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
Next
Draft it yourself
Opens a 12-team Half PPR 1QB room with seat 9 already yours.