12-Team Half PPR draft strategy
Drafting from pick 12 in a 12-Team Half PPR league
You are on the clock at 1.12, and again at 2.01. Everything below is counted over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts: who is actually taken at this pick, who is already gone, and who is still on the board when it comes back around.
Your picks: 1.12 · 2.01 · 3.12 · 4.01 · 5.12 · 6.01 · 7.12 · 8.01 · 9.12 · 10.01 · 11.12 · 12.01 · 13.12 · 14.01 · 15.12
Your first pick
Who is taken at 1.12
- CeeDee Lamb is the most common selection at 1.12, taken there in 14% of simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
- 54% of the time the pick at 1.12 is a RB.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown is the highest-priced player who is genuinely a coin flip at 2.01: still available in 37% of drafts.
| Player | Taken here | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 14% | 2.02 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 12% | 1.11 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 10% | 1.10 |
| Chase BrownRB · CIN | 8% | 2.03 |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | 8% | 1.07 |
| Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | 7% | 2.03 |
| Derrick HenryRB · BAL | 6% | 1.07 |
| Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI | 6% | 2.04 |
Before your turn
Already off the board
Priced ahead of this slot and effectively never still there when your turn arrives.
| Player | Still there | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | 0% | 1.02 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL | <1% | 1.04 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN | <1% | 1.04 |
| Puka NacuaWR · LAR | <1% | 1.05 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB · SF | <1% | 1.07 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB · IND | <1% | 1.07 |
| Derrick HenryRB · BAL | 14% | 1.07 |
| James CookRB · BUF | 6% | 1.09 |
Your next turn
Still live at 2.01
A genuine coin flip at your next turn -- the players worth planning around rather than counting on.
| Player | At 2.01 | Sim. avg |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | 37% | 1.10 |
| De'Von AchaneRB · MIA | 32% | 1.11 |
| CeeDee LambWR · DAL | 68% | 2.02 |
| Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR | 67% | 2.03 |
| Chase BrownRB · CIN | 82% | 2.03 |
| Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI | 72% | 2.04 |
Position mix
How this slot usually opens
| Pick | Round | Usually a |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Round 1 | RB54%WR45%QB<1%TE<1% |
| 2.01 | Round 2 | RB50%WR50%QB<1%TE<1% |
| 3.12 | Round 3 | WR53%RB22%QB17%TE7% |
| 4.01 | Round 4 | WR54%RB20%QB15%TE12% |
| 5.12 | Round 5 | RB38%WR35%QB15%TE12% |
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page is a count over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. None of it is advice: a share is how often something happened, and a probability carries the number of drafts behind it.
A simulated draft is not a market. These pages describe how our simulated managers draft, which is a statement about our board; where a player is drafted in real leagues is a different number, published separately.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 8, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
Next
Draft it yourself
Opens a 12-team Half PPR 1QB room with seat 12 already yours.