NFL · 2026 Week 7
2026 Week 7 Full PPR WR Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published October 22, 2026, 17:35 UTC · first kickoff October 23, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Full PPR, 1QB · 167 players projected · updated October 22, 2026
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 7 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Full PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 62% of WRs inside the top 12 through Week 6 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 324 WR-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stood out in Week 7
167 WRs ranked for Week 7. Puka Nacua leads at 22.1 projected points.
Tier break
1.8 projected points separate WR1 Puka Nacua from WR2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Keenan AllenWR28Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 16% · Top 24: 35% +35 vs. WR63
- KC Concepcion Jr.WR40Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 25% +19 vs. WR59
- Jalen CokerWR16Recent usage above his season baselineTop 3: 7% · Top 12: 26% · Top 24: 47% +18 vs. WR34
Behind
- George PickensWR20Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 6% · Top 12: 24% · Top 24: 47% -9 vs. WR11
- Justin JeffersonWR12Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 10% · Top 12: 30% · Top 24: 48% -6 vs. WR6
- Nico CollinsWR14Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 8% · Top 12: 30% · Top 24: 51% -5 vs. WR9
Movement
Risers
- Germie BernardWR26Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 18% · Top 24: 37% ↑ 13
- Emeka EgbukaWR22Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 23% · Top 24: 42% ↑ 7
- Keenan AllenWR28Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 16% · Top 24: 35% ↑ 5
Fallers
- Mike EvansWR24Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 22% · Top 24: 39% ↓ 10
- Michael WilsonWR27Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 36% ↓ 10
- Denzel BostonWR35Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 28% ↓ 10
Positional movement since the final Week 6 board, among players inside WR36 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | Puka NacuaLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 21% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 28%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR12 at the median, WR4 - WR27 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR47 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 21%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 72% |
WR1— | 22.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 21% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 28%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR12 at the median, WR4 - WR27 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR47 in the middle 80%. | |
| 2 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 30%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR13 at the median, WR5 - WR28 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR46 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 48%Top 24: 70% |
WR2— | 20.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 30%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR13 at the median, WR5 - WR28 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR46 in the middle 80%. | |
| 3 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR6 - WR31 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 68% |
WR3— | 19.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR6 - WR31 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR51 in the middle 80%. | |
| 4 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 42%Top 24: 64% |
WR4NEW | 18.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR55 in the middle 80%. | |
| 5 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR17 at the median, WR7 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 40%Top 24: 63% |
WR5NEW | 18.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR17 at the median, WR7 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR55 in the middle 80%. | |
| 6 | WR | Zay FlowersBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR19 at the median, WR8 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 59% |
WR6↑ 1 | 17.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR19 at the median, WR8 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 7 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 43%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR9 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 57% |
WR7↓ 2 | 16.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 43%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR9 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR57 in the middle 80%. | |
| 8 | WR | Malik NabersNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR9 - WR39 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 56% |
WR8— | 16.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR9 - WR39 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 9 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR9 - WR42 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 56% |
WR9↑ 3 | 16.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR9 - WR42 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR62 in the middle 80%. | |
| 10 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 54% |
WR10↓ 4 | 15.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR64 in the middle 80%. | |
| 11 | WR | Chris OlaveNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR10 - WR40 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 54% |
WR11↓ 7 | 15.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR10 - WR40 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 12 | WR | Justin JeffersonMINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 48% |
WR12NEW | 15.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR75 in the middle 80%. | |
| 13 | WR | Matthew GoldenGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 51% |
WR13↑ 3 | 15.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%. | |
| 14 | WR | Nico CollinsHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR11 - WR47 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 51% |
WR14↓ 5 | 15.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR11 - WR47 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR67 in the middle 80%. | |
| 15 | WR | Christian WatsonGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 49% |
WR15↓ 4 | 15.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%. | |
| 16 | WR | Jalen CokerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR12 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 47% |
WR16↑ 4 | 14.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR12 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR69 in the middle 80%. | |
| 17 | WR | A.J. BrownNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 46% |
WR17NEW | 14.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR74 in the middle 80%. | |
| 18 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR12 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 48% |
WR18↓ 8 | 14.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR12 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR65 in the middle 80%. | |
| 19 | WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR12 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR68 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 46% |
WR19NEW | 14.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR12 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR68 in the middle 80%. | |
| 20 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR13 - WR48 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 47% |
WR20↓ 5 | 14.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR13 - WR48 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR65 in the middle 80%. | |
| 21 | WR | Rashee RiceKCQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR13 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 42% |
WR21↓ 3 | 13.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR13 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 22 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR14 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 42% |
WR22↑ 7 | 13.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR14 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 23 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR14 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 43% |
WR23↑ 1 | 13.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR14 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR70 in the middle 80%. | |
| 24 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR14 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 39% |
WR24↓ 10 | 13.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR14 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 25 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR15 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR71 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 42% |
WR25↓ 4 | 12.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR15 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR71 in the middle 80%. | |
| 26 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 37% |
WR26↑ 13 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 27 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR17 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 36% |
WR27↓ 10 | 12.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR17 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR74 in the middle 80%. | |
| 28 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR18 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 35% |
WR28↑ 5 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR18 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 29 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR18 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 35% |
WR29↓ 7 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR18 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR75 in the middle 80%. | |
| 30 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 32% |
WR30↑ 2 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%. | |
| 31 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR21 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 30% |
WR31↑ 3 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR21 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 32 | WR | Malik WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR21 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 30% |
WR32NEW | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR21 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 33 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR21 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 29% |
WR33NEW | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR21 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 34 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR22 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 28% |
WR34↓ 7 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR22 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR84 in the middle 80%. | |
| 35 | WR | Denzel BostonCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR22 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR35↓ 10 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR22 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 36 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR23 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 27% |
WR36↓ 5 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR23 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 37 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR23 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 28% |
WR37↓ 7 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR23 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR86 in the middle 80%. | |
| 38 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR23 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 27% |
WR38↓ 1 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR23 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR86 in the middle 80%. | |
| 39 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR24 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 26% |
WR39NEW | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR24 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR90 in the middle 80%. | |
| 40 | WR | KC Concepcion Jr.CLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR25 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 25% |
WR40↑ 2 | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR25 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 41 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR27 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 22% |
WR41↓ 5 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR27 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR90 in the middle 80%. | |
| 42 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR27 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 22% |
WR42↑ 9 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR27 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR88 in the middle 80%. | |
| 43 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR26 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 23% |
WR43↑ 9 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR26 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 44 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR29 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 20% |
WR44↓ 9 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR29 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 45 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR29 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 20% |
WR45↑ 2 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR29 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR93 in the middle 80%. | |
| 46 | WR | Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR30 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20% |
WR46NEW | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR30 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR107 in the middle 80%. | |
| 47 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR33 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR47↑ 3 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR33 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 48 | WR | Adonai MitchellNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR32 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
WR48NEW | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR32 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 49 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR33 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR49↓ 6 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR33 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 50 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR35 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR50↓ 2 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR35 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 51 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR36 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR51↑ 8 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR36 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 52 | WR | Caleb DouglasMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR38 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR52NEW | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR38 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR124 in the middle 80%. | |
| 53 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.HOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR37 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR53↑ 13 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR37 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR111 in the middle 80%. | |
| 54 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR37 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR54↑ 1 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR37 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 55 | WR | Cooper KuppSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR41 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR55↑ 14 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR41 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR109 in the middle 80%. | |
| 56 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR41 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR56↑ 11 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR41 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR112 in the middle 80%. | |
| 57 | WR | Rashod BatemanBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR44 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR57↓ 13 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR44 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 58 | WR | Ja'Kobi LaneBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR43 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR58NEW | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR43 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 59 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR43 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
WR59↓ 1 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR43 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR110 in the middle 80%. | |
| 60 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR44 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR60↑ 10 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR44 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 61 | WR | Chandler BrayboyNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR44 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR61↑ 79 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR44 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 62 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR62↑ 11 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 63 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.MIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR44 - WR104 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR63↓ 7 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR44 - WR104 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 64 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR64↓ 7 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 65 | WR | Savion WilliamsGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR45 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR65NEW | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR45 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 66 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR46 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR66↓ 12 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR46 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 67 | WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR47 - WR100 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR67NEW | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR47 - WR100 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 68 | WR | Dohnte MeyersCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR49 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR68NEW | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR49 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 69 | WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR51 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
WR69↑ 11 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR51 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR125 in the middle 80%. | |
| 70 | WR | Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR79 at the median, WR49 - WR104 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR70NEW | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR79 at the median, WR49 - WR104 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR125 in the middle 80%. | |
| 71 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR53 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR71↓ 26 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR53 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 72 | WR | Ja'Seem ReedCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR83 at the median, WR51 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR72↑ 49 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR83 at the median, WR51 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 73 | WR | Efton Chism IIINE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR53 - WR105 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR127 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR73↓ 12 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR53 - WR105 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR127 in the middle 80%. | |
| 74 | WR | Deion BurksIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR56 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR129 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR74↑ 52 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR56 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR129 in the middle 80%. | |
| 75 | WR | Konata MumpfieldLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR58 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR75↓ 1 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR58 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR128 in the middle 80%. | |
| 76 | WR | Brandin CooksSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR57 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR76NEW | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR57 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 77 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR84 at the median, WR58 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR127 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR77↓ 2 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR84 at the median, WR58 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR127 in the middle 80%. | |
| 78 | WR | Xavier GipsonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR58 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR78↑ 83 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR58 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 79 | WR | Jamari ThrashLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR79NEW | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR145 in the middle 80%. | |
| 80 | WR | Dominic LovettDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR59 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR80NEW | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR59 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR145 in the middle 80%. | |
| 81 | WR | Anthony SmithDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR61 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR146 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR81NEW | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR61 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR146 in the middle 80%. | |
| 82 | WR | Jalen RoyalsKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR61 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR134 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR82↑ 17 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR61 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR134 in the middle 80%. | |
| 83 | WR | Tim PatrickNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR61 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR83↑ 23 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR61 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 84 | WR | John Metchie IIICAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR61 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR135 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR84↑ 23 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR61 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR135 in the middle 80%. | |
| 85 | WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR61 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR134 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR85↓ 21 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR61 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR134 in the middle 80%. | |
| 86 | WR | Chris BellMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR63 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR134 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR86NEW | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR63 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR134 in the middle 80%. | |
| 87 | WR | Jordan WatkinsSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR65 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR87↑ 26 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR65 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR142 in the middle 80%. | |
| 88 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR64 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR88↓ 20 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR64 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR142 in the middle 80%. | |
| 89 | WR | Bryce LanceNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR67 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR89↑ 3 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR67 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 90 | WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR68 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR90↓ 3 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR68 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 91 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR69 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR91↓ 29 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR69 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 92 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR70 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR92↓ 15 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR70 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 93 | WR | Casey WashingtonCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR70 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR93↓ 30 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR70 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 94 | WR | Mecole Hardman Jr.IND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR69 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR94NEW | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR69 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 95 | WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR69 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR95↑ 30 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR69 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR142 in the middle 80%. | |
| 96 | WR | Jalen BrooksARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR71 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR96↑ 14 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR71 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 97 | WR | Lewis BondHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR71 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR97↑ 36 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR71 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 98 | WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR71 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR98↑ 5 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR71 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 99 | WR | Calvin RidleyTENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR70 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR149 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR99↓ 8 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR70 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR149 in the middle 80%. | |
| 100 | WR | Jamaal PritchettNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR104 at the median, WR72 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR100↑ 22 | 4.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR104 at the median, WR72 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 101 | WR | Cyrus AllenKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR72 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR147 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR101↓ 7 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR72 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR147 in the middle 80%. | |
| 102 | WR | Kyle WilliamsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR74 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR102↓ 24 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR74 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 103 | WR | Brycen TremayneCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR74 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR103↓ 20 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR74 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 104 | WR | Gage LarvadainBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR71 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR104NEW | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR71 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 105 | WR | Kolbe KatsisDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR72 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR105↓ 16 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR72 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 106 | WR | Isaiah NeyorGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR75 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR106NEW | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR75 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 107 | WR | Chris MooreBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR75 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR107↓ 6 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR75 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 108 | WR | Kevin Austin Jr.NO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR76 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR108↑ 52 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR76 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR156 in the middle 80%. | |
| 109 | WR | Camden BrownDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR77 - WR135 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR109↑ 5 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR77 - WR135 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 110 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR110↓ 13 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 111 | WR | Troy FranklinDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR81 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR150 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR111↓ 9 | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR81 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR150 in the middle 80%. | |
| 112 | WR | Jauan JenningsMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR83 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR151 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR112NEW | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR83 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR151 in the middle 80%. | |
| 113 | WR | Zachariah BranchATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR82 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR54 - WR146 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR113↓ 8 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR82 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR54 - WR146 in the middle 80%. | |
| 114 | WR | Xavier RestrepoTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR81 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR163 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR114NEW | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR81 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR163 in the middle 80%. | |
| 115 | WR | CJ DanielsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR114 at the median, WR85 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR115↓ 30 | 3.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR114 at the median, WR85 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR159 in the middle 80%. | |
| 116 | WR | Malik McClainNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR84 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR116↑ 42 | 3.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR84 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 117 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR86 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR151 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR117↓ 45 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR86 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR151 in the middle 80%. | |
| 118 | WR | Tory HortonSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR88 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR51 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR118↑ 9 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR88 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR51 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 119 | WR | Ray-Ray McCloudNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR85 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR119↑ 5 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR85 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR164 in the middle 80%. | |
| 120 | WR | Jared WayneMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR86 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR120↓ 5 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR86 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR159 in the middle 80%. | |
| 121 | WR | Dillon BellMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR87 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR53 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR121NEW | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR87 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR53 - WR164 in the middle 80%. | |
| 122 | WR | Kaden DavisCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR91 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR54 - WR165 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR122↑ 24 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR91 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR54 - WR165 in the middle 80%. | |
| 123 | WR | KaVontae TurpinDALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR93 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR165 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR123↓ 12 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR93 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR165 in the middle 80%. | |
| 124 | WR | Isaiah BondCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR91 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR124↓ 42 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR91 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 125 | WR | Tutu AtwellLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR91 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR125↓ 25 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR91 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR159 in the middle 80%. | |
| 126 | WR | Olamide ZaccheausATLQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR95 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR163 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR126↑ 5 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR95 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR163 in the middle 80%. | |
| 127 | WR | Jordan WhittingtonLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR97 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR127↑ 3 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR97 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR164 in the middle 80%. | |
| 128 | WR | Jimmy Horn Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR93 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR166 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR128NEW | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR93 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR166 in the middle 80%. | |
| 129 | WR | Jonathan MingoDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR94 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR129↓ 11 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR94 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR159 in the middle 80%. | |
| 130 | WR | Jalin HyattNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR94 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR167 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 1% |
WR130↑ 11 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR94 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR167 in the middle 80%. | |
| 131 | WR | Devontez WalkerBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR97 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR65 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR131↓ 38 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR97 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR65 - WR159 in the middle 80%. | |
| 132 | WR | Ben SkowronekPITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR97 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR132NEW | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR97 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 133 | WR | Jalen TolbertMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR96 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR133NEW | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR96 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR164 in the middle 80%. | |
| 134 | WR | Jacob CowingSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR98 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR134↓ 25 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR98 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 135 | WR | Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR130 at the median, WR98 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR135↓ 39 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR130 at the median, WR98 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 136 | WR | Brennan PresleyLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR103 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR136NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR103 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 137 | WR | Elijah SarrattBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR102 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR168 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR137↓ 25 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR102 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR168 in the middle 80%. | |
| 138 | WR | Myles PriceMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR101 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR71 - WR162 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR138NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR101 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR71 - WR162 in the middle 80%. | |
| 139 | WR | Zavion ThomasCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR103 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR162 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR139↑ 5 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR103 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR162 in the middle 80%. | |
| 140 | WR | Tai FeltonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR105 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR167 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR140NEW | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR105 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR167 in the middle 80%. | |
| 141 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR152 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR168 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR141↓ 24 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR152 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR168 in the middle 80%. | |
| 142 | WR | Ryan MillerNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR104 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR142NEW | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR104 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 143 | WR | Chimere DikeTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR105 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR79 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR143↓ 24 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR105 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR79 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 144 | WR | Elijah MoorePHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR136 at the median, WR108 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR144↑ 3 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR136 at the median, WR108 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR173 in the middle 80%. | |
| 145 | WR | Bo MeltonGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR108 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR168 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR145↓ 41 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR108 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR168 in the middle 80%. | |
| 146 | WR | Colbie YoungCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR136 at the median, WR109 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR146NEW | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR136 at the median, WR109 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 147 | WR | Marquise BrownPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR112 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR147↓ 15 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR112 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR174 in the middle 80%. | |
| 148 | WR | Tay MartinDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR115 - WR157 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR148NEW | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR115 - WR157 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 149 | WR | David MooreCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR138 at the median, WR114 - WR158 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR149NEW | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR138 at the median, WR114 - WR158 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 150 | WR | Charlie JonesNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR141 at the median, WR112 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR176 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR150NEW | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR141 at the median, WR112 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR176 in the middle 80%. | |
| 151 | WR | Cedric TillmanNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR118 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR178 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR151↑ 15 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR118 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR178 in the middle 80%. | |
| 152 | WR | Ashton DulinINDQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR111 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR175 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR152↓ 64 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR111 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR175 in the middle 80%. | |
| 153 | WR | Chris BlairATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR143 at the median, WR121 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR172 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR153↑ 2 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR143 at the median, WR121 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR172 in the middle 80%. | |
| 154 | WR | Malik BensonLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR121 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR91 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR154↓ 18 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR121 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR91 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 155 | WR | Jeshaun JonesMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR122 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR177 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR155NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR122 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR177 in the middle 80%. | |
| 156 | WR | Justin WatsonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR121 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR179 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR156NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR121 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR179 in the middle 80%. | |
| 157 | WR | A.J. HenningMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR124 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR92 - WR181 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR157NEW | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR124 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR92 - WR181 in the middle 80%. | |
| 158 | WR | Ke'Shawn WilliamsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR131 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR101 - WR182 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR158NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR131 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR101 - WR182 in the middle 80%. | |
| 159 | WR | Marquez Valdes-ScantlingPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR129 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR179 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR159NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR129 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR179 in the middle 80%. | |
| 160 | WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR130 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR180 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR160↓ 25 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR130 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR180 in the middle 80%. | |
| 161 | WR | Coleman OwenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR157 at the median, WR135 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR105 - WR183 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR161↓ 53 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR157 at the median, WR135 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR105 - WR183 in the middle 80%. | |
| 162 | WR | J. Michael SturdivantGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR134 - WR170 in the middle half, and WR109 - WR180 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR162↓ 20 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR134 - WR170 in the middle half, and WR109 - WR180 in the middle 80%. | |
| 163 | WR | Phillip Dorsett IILV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR136 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR107 - WR185 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR163NEW | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR136 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR107 - WR185 in the middle 80%. | |
| 164 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR143 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR118 - WR184 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR164↓ 5 | 1.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR143 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR118 - WR184 in the middle 80%. | |
| 165 | WR | Erik EzukanmaPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR141 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR110 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR165NEW | 1.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR141 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR110 - WR186 in the middle 80%. | |
| 166 | WR | Brandon SmithPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR168 at the median, WR148 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR120 - WR188 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR166↓ 50 | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR168 at the median, WR148 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR120 - WR188 in the middle 80%. | |
| 167 | WR | Nick Westbrook-IkhineIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR146 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR120 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR167NEW | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR146 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR120 - WR186 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 7 WR outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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WR1 Puka NacuaWR12Puka Nacua is ranked WR1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR12 at the median, WR4 - WR27 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR47 in the middle 80%.
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WR13Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked WR2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR13 at the median, WR5 - WR28 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR46 in the middle 80%.
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WR3 CeeDee LambWR15CeeDee Lamb is ranked WR3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR6 - WR31 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR51 in the middle 80%.
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WR16Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked WR4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR55 in the middle 80%.
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WR5 Ja'Marr ChaseWR17Ja'Marr Chase is ranked WR5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR17 at the median, WR7 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR55 in the middle 80%.
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WR6 Zay FlowersWR19Zay Flowers is ranked WR6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR19 at the median, WR8 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR7 Drake LondonWR20Drake London is ranked WR7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR9 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR57 in the middle 80%.
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WR8 Malik NabersWR21Malik Nabers is ranked WR8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR9 - WR39 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR9 DeVonta SmithWR21DeVonta Smith is ranked WR9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR9 - WR42 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
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WR10 Tetairoa McMillanWR22Tetairoa McMillan is ranked WR10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
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WR11 Chris OlaveWR22Chris Olave is ranked WR11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR10 - WR40 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR12 Justin JeffersonWR26Justin Jefferson is ranked WR12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
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WR13 Matthew GoldenWR24Matthew Golden is ranked WR13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
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WR14 Nico CollinsWR23Nico Collins is ranked WR14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR11 - WR47 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
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WR15 Christian WatsonWR25Christian Watson is ranked WR15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
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WR16 Jalen CokerWR27Jalen Coker is ranked WR16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR12 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
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WR17 A.J. BrownWR27A.J. Brown is ranked WR17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
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WR18 Garrett WilsonWR26Garrett Wilson is ranked WR18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR12 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR65 in the middle 80%.
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WR19 Tee HigginsWR27Tee Higgins is ranked WR19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR12 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR68 in the middle 80%.
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WR20 George PickensWR27George Pickens is ranked WR20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR13 - WR48 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR65 in the middle 80%.
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WR21 Rashee RiceWR32Rashee Rice is ranked WR21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR13 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
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WR22 Emeka EgbukaWR30Emeka Egbuka is ranked WR22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR14 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
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WR23 DK MetcalfWR29DK Metcalf is ranked WR23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR14 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR70 in the middle 80%.
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WR24 Mike EvansWR34Mike Evans is ranked WR24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR14 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
Show WR25 - WR36
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WR25 Luther Burden IIIWR30Luther Burden III is ranked WR25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR15 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR71 in the middle 80%.
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WR26 Germie BernardWR35Germie Bernard is ranked WR26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR27 Michael WilsonWR34Michael Wilson is ranked WR27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR17 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
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WR28 Keenan AllenWR35Keenan Allen is ranked WR28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR18 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR29 Carnell TateWR37Carnell Tate is ranked WR29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR18 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
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WR30 Jaylen WaddleWR40Jaylen Waddle is ranked WR30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
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WR31 Xavier WorthyWR40Xavier Worthy is ranked WR31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR21 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR32 Malik WashingtonWR42Malik Washington is ranked WR32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR21 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
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WR33 Jameson WilliamsWR42Jameson Williams is ranked WR33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR21 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
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WR34 Devaughn VeleWR42Devaughn Vele is ranked WR34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR22 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR84 in the middle 80%.
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WR35 Denzel BostonWR45Denzel Boston is ranked WR35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR22 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
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WR36 Josh DownsWR42Josh Downs is ranked WR36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR23 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 76% of the board, draft position for 99%, an outside projection for 54%, sportsbook props for 66%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Full PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 22, 2026 17:33 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 6 board generated before that week's first kickoff (October 15, 2026). Model rankings-v1.5.0, board captured 2026-10-22.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
