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TEN · Bye 9

Cam Ward

Cam Ward comes off the board at 13.02 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 12.07.

12-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Cam Ward by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Cam Ward has averaged +4.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Cam Ward, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs NYJ 10.7 11.7 +1.0
Wk 2 vs PHI 11.4 20.0 +8.6
Wk 3 @ NYG 13.6 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Cam Ward #78 in 1QB and #52 in Superflex, QB19 at his position. Age 24.

1QB

#78

QB19 · tier 19 · of 297

Superflex

#52

QB19 · tier 11 · of 303

  • Last season 186.7 pts 11.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 100% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Attempts 31.8 / game Pass attempts per game, the opportunity the projection is built on.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty QB rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

13.02

pick 145.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

12.07

half of simulations take him by pick 139

Draft range

11.06 - 15.07

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 7,991 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 14 teams
Scoring Half PPR also published: Full PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft also published: Dynasty

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 12.07 in 61% of simulations

Pick 139 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 13.06, where he is available in 45% of simulations.

Slot 6's remaining turns: 12.07 61% · 13.06 45% · 14.07 42% · 15.06 30%

The middle half of simulations take him between 11.11 and 14.10.

Cam Ward still on the board
PickAvailable
12.05 66%
12.06 64%
12.07 61%
12.08 59%
12.09 56%
12.10 54%
12.11 51%
12.12 49%
13.01 46%
13.02 46%
13.03 46%
13.04 46%
13.05 46%
13.06 45%
13.07 45%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Cam Ward was selected at each pick, 11.06-11.08 through 15.06-15.07. He goes earlier than this window in 7%, later in 7%, undrafted in 20%.
Draft position distribution for Cam Ward
PickShare of simulationsCount
11.06-11.087%698 of 10000 simulations
11.09-11.117%716 of 10000 simulations
11.12-12.027%724 of 10000 simulations
12.03-12.058%792 of 10000 simulations
12.06-12.087%732 of 10000 simulations
12.09-12.118%772 of 10000 simulations
12.12-13.023%299 of 10000 simulations
13.03-13.05<1%31 of 10000 simulations
13.06-13.08<1%32 of 10000 simulations
13.09-13.11<1%59 of 10000 simulations
13.12-14.02<1%92 of 10000 simulations
14.03-14.051%134 of 10000 simulations
14.06-14.081%146 of 10000 simulations
14.09-14.112%200 of 10000 simulations
14.12-15.024%398 of 10000 simulations
15.03-15.054%436 of 10000 simulations
15.06-15.073%300 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 7991 simulations in which Cam Ward was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Cam Ward was selected in 7991 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.