HOU · Bye 8
Jayden Higgins
Jayden Higgins comes off the board at 12.11 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 12.06.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jayden Higgins #91 in 1QB and #94 in Superflex, WR37 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#91
WR37 · tier 22 · of 297
Superflex
#94
WR37 · tier 17 · of 303
- Last season 109.0 pts 6.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 100% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 4.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 12% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.11
pick 143.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.06
half of simulations take him by pick 138
Draft range
11.05 - 15.05
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,926 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.06 in 57% of simulations
Pick 138 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 13.07, where he is available in 36% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 12.06 57% · 13.07 36% · 14.06 31% · 15.07 17%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.10 and 14.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.04 | 63% |
| 12.05 | 60% |
| 12.06 | 57% |
| 12.07 | 54% |
| 12.08 | 52% |
| 12.09 | 49% |
| 12.10 | 46% |
| 12.11 | 43% |
| 12.12 | 40% |
| 13.01 | 38% |
| 13.02 | 38% |
| 13.03 | 37% |
| 13.04 | 37% |
| 13.05 | 37% |
| 13.06 | 36% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.05-11.07 | 8% | 828 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.10 | 8% | 827 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-12.01 | 8% | 774 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.04 | 8% | 814 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.07 | 9% | 879 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.10 | 9% | 851 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-13.01 | 6% | 551 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.04 | <1% | 98 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.07 | <1% | 97 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.10 | <1% | 81 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-14.01 | 1% | 132 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.04 | 2% | 208 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.07 | 2% | 207 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.10 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-15.01 | 3% | 321 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.04 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 1% | 132 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8926 simulations in which Jayden Higgins was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
Usually taken just after
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 2%
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jayden Higgins was selected in 8926 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.