ARI · Bye 14
Trey Benson
Trey Benson comes off the board at 13.04 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 12.09.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Trey Benson #282 in 1QB and #283 in Superflex, RB77 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#282
RB77 · tier 71 · of 297
Superflex
#283
RB77 · tier 59 · of 303
- Last season 28.9 pts 7.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 41% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 9.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.04
pick 147.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.09
half of simulations take him by pick 141
Draft range
11.08 - 15.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,328 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.09 in 60% of simulations
Pick 141 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 13.04, where he is available in 48% of simulations.
Slot 4's remaining turns: 12.09 60% · 13.04 48% · 14.09 39% · 15.04 30%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.01 and 14.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.07 | 65% |
| 12.08 | 62% |
| 12.09 | 60% |
| 12.10 | 57% |
| 12.11 | 54% |
| 12.12 | 51% |
| 13.01 | 49% |
| 13.02 | 49% |
| 13.03 | 48% |
| 13.04 | 48% |
| 13.05 | 48% |
| 13.06 | 47% |
| 13.07 | 47% |
| 13.08 | 47% |
| 13.09 | 46% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.08-11.09 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 4% | 444 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 5% | 532 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 5% | 540 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 6% | 589 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 5% | 533 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 6% | 568 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 271 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 77 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 62 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 75 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | 1% | 114 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 1% | 135 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 2% | 159 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 1% | 145 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 2% | 162 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 2% | 189 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 3% | 277 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 4% | 366 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 3% | 309 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 3% | 289 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8328 simulations in which Trey Benson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2%
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 2%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 2%
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Trey Benson was selected in 8328 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.