KC · Bye 5
Harrison Butker
Harrison Butker comes off the board at 15.04 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.03.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated October 1, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Harrison Butker's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 161.1 to 153.6 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.04
pick 171.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.03
half of simulations take him by pick 171
Draft range
14.09 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,409 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.03 in 76% of simulations
Pick 171 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.11 and 15.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.01 | 79% |
| 15.02 | 78% |
| 15.03 | 76% |
| 15.04 | 73% |
| 15.05 | 70% |
| 15.06 | 67% |
| 15.07 | 65% |
| 15.08 | 62% |
| 15.09 | 59% |
| 15.10 | 56% |
| 15.11 | 53% |
| 15.12 | 50% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.09 | 4% | 368 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 5% | 465 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 6% | 554 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | 3% | 277 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 1% | 116 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 288 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 306 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 343 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5409 simulations in which Harrison Butker was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jake Bates K · DET 12%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 7%
- Chris Boswell K · PIT 4%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 3%
Usually taken just after
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 4%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 4%
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 4%
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Harrison Butker was selected in 5409 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.