KC · Bye 5
Harrison Butker
Harrison Butker comes off the board at 15.03 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.03.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
15.03
pick 171.2 overall, on average
Median pick
15.03
half of simulations take him by pick 171
Draft range
14.09 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 5,599 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.03 in 73% of simulations
Pick 171 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.11 and 15.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.01 | 77% |
| 15.02 | 76% |
| 15.03 | 73% |
| 15.04 | 71% |
| 15.05 | 68% |
| 15.06 | 65% |
| 15.07 | 62% |
| 15.08 | 60% |
| 15.09 | 57% |
| 15.10 | 54% |
| 15.11 | 51% |
| 15.12 | 47% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.09 | 4% | 357 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 5% | 487 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 6% | 564 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | 4% | 395 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 159 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 247 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 328 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 5599 simulations in which Harrison Butker was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jake Bates K · DET 12%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 7%
- Chris Boswell K · PIT 4%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 3%
Usually taken just after
- Will Reichard K · MIN 4%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 4%
- Jake Bates K · DET 4%
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Harrison Butker was selected in 5599 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.