ARI · Bye 14
James Conner
James Conner comes off the board at 10.07 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 10.05.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
10.07
pick 114.7 overall, on average
Median pick
10.05
half of simulations take him by pick 113
Draft range
8.11 - 12.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,959 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.05 in 51% of simulations
Pick 113 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 11.08, where he is available in 21% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 10.05 51% · 11.08 21% · 12.05 9% · 13.08 3% · 14.05 2% · 15.08 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.06 and 11.05.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.03 | 56% |
| 10.04 | 53% |
| 10.05 | 51% |
| 10.06 | 49% |
| 10.07 | 46% |
| 10.08 | 44% |
| 10.09 | 42% |
| 10.10 | 40% |
| 10.11 | 38% |
| 10.12 | 36% |
| 11.01 | 34% |
| 11.02 | 31% |
| 11.03 | 29% |
| 11.04 | 27% |
| 11.05 | 26% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.11-8.12 | 4% | 398 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 5% | 459 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 4% | 436 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 5% | 457 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 5% | 461 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 4% | 428 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 4% | 419 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 4% | 435 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 4% | 417 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 4% | 380 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 3% | 311 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 3% | 341 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 3% | 293 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 3% | 266 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03 | 1% | 110 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9959 simulations in which James Conner was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
- Jonathon Brooks RB · CAR 2%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
Usually taken just after
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 2%
- Jayden Reed WR · GB 2%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
James Conner was selected in 9959 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.