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TE

PHI · Bye 10 · Rookie

Eli Stowers

LMD TE Tier 10 for Week 9 · 2.1 projected Standard points · TE64 rest of season

Regular season

Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 2.1 points this week, TE Tier 10. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 0.5 - 6.4 points. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 6% · Top 24: 13% of simulated weeks.

Week 9

TE Tier 10

1.7 - 2.1 projected points

Rest of season

TE64

305th by projected points

Projected

2.1

week 9, Standard

Top 12

6%

Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 13% at TE

Movement

↑ 27

TE78 in Week 8, TE51 now

Should you start Eli Stowers in Week 9?

Bench

Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Eli Stowers TE51 for Week 9, outside the TE12 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside TE12 in 6% of simulated weeks.

The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.

Standard scoring · Updated November 4, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All TE rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

  • STATUS

    Eli Stowers is no longer listed on the injury report.

    Let's Mock Draft ·

Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 1 completed game Eli Stowers has averaged +4.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Eli Stowers, Standard scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 7 — — 0.0 —
Wk 8 @ WAS 0.7 5.3 +4.6
Wk 9 vs NYG 2.1 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 21.3 points this season, TE64. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 2.2 a game over 9 remaining games.

Per game

2.2 / game

Over 9 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE

Market input

thin

Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 4, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Eli Stowers #196 in 1QB and #193 in Superflex, TE26 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.

1QB

#196

TE26 · tier 43 · of 300 · rookie 25 of 52

Superflex

#193

TE26 · tier 36 · of 307 · rookie 25 of 52

  • Draft capital Round 2, pick 54 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.10

pick 178.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.11

half of simulations take him by pick 179

Draft range

15.08 - 15.12

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 640 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Standard also published: Half PPR, Full PPR
QB format 1QB
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.11 in 97% of simulations

Pick 179 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 15.09 and 15.11.

Eli Stowers still on the board
PickAvailable
15.09 >99%
15.10 98%
15.11 97%
15.12 95%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Eli Stowers was selected at each pick, 15.03 through 15.12. He goes earlier than this window in <1%, undrafted in 94%.
Draft position distribution for Eli Stowers
PickShare of simulationsCount
15.030%0 of 10000 simulations
15.04<1%1 of 10000 simulations
15.05<1%3 of 10000 simulations
15.06<1%15 of 10000 simulations
15.07<1%26 of 10000 simulations
15.08<1%46 of 10000 simulations
15.09<1%82 of 10000 simulations
15.101%138 of 10000 simulations
15.112%173 of 10000 simulations
15.122%154 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 640 simulations in which Eli Stowers was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Eli Stowers was selected in 640 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 29, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 29, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@92814d262ce9916c
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-29)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Standard 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.