DET · Bye 6
Jake Bates
Jake Bates comes off the board at 15.01 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 14.12.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
15.01
pick 169.2 overall, on average
Median pick
14.12
half of simulations take him by pick 168
Draft range
14.07 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 7,444 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.12 in 63% of simulations
Pick 168 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 15.01, where he is available in 58% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 14.12 63% · 15.01 58%
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.09 and 15.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.10 | 78% |
| 14.11 | 70% |
| 14.12 | 63% |
| 15.01 | 58% |
| 15.02 | 56% |
| 15.03 | 53% |
| 15.04 | 51% |
| 15.05 | 48% |
| 15.06 | 45% |
| 15.07 | 42% |
| 15.08 | 39% |
| 15.09 | 37% |
| 15.10 | 34% |
| 15.11 | 31% |
| 15.12 | 28% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.07 | 4% | 350 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | 6% | 565 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | 7% | 702 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | 8% | 757 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | 7% | 662 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | 5% | 527 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 222 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 276 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 315 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 266 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 307 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 247 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 7444 simulations in which Jake Bates was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Andy Borregales K · NE 12%
- Chris Boswell K · PIT 8%
- Tyler Loop K · BAL 4%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 4%
Usually taken just after
- Harrison Butker K · KC 9%
- Green Bay Packers DST · GB 4%
- Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 4%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Jake Bates was selected in 7444 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.