ARI · Bye 14
Trey Benson
LMD RB75 rest of season · 47.8 projected Half PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 47.8 points this season, RB75. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.5 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
RB75
265th by projected points
Projected
47.8
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB
Movement
NEW
Not ranked in the previous board
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Weekly performance vs. LMD projections will appear once games begin.
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 47.8 points this season, RB75. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.5 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
4.5 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Trey Benson #282 in 1QB and #283 in Superflex, RB77 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#282
RB77 · tier 71 · of 297
Superflex
#283
RB77 · tier 59 · of 303
- Last season 28.9 pts 7.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 41% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 9.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.12
pick 144.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.06
half of simulations take him by pick 138
Draft range
11.07 - 15.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,674 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.06 in 58% of simulations
Pick 138 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 13.07, where he is available in 37% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 12.06 58% · 13.07 37% · 14.06 34% · 15.07 21%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.11 and 14.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.04 | 64% |
| 12.05 | 61% |
| 12.06 | 58% |
| 12.07 | 55% |
| 12.08 | 52% |
| 12.09 | 49% |
| 12.10 | 46% |
| 12.11 | 44% |
| 12.12 | 41% |
| 13.01 | 38% |
| 13.02 | 38% |
| 13.03 | 38% |
| 13.04 | 38% |
| 13.05 | 38% |
| 13.06 | 38% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.07-11.08 | 6% | 556 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 6% | 594 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 6% | 648 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 6% | 640 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.04 | 6% | 609 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.06 | 6% | 591 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.08 | 6% | 594 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.10 | 6% | 556 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-12.12 | 6% | 565 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.02 | <1% | 13 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.03-13.04 | <1% | 24 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.06 | <1% | 25 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.08 | <1% | 27 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.10 | <1% | 32 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-13.12 | <1% | 39 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.02 | <1% | 79 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.04 | <1% | 92 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.06 | <1% | 76 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.08 | <1% | 94 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09-14.10 | 1% | 101 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-14.12 | 1% | 117 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.02 | 3% | 298 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03-15.04 | 3% | 336 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.06 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8674 simulations in which Trey Benson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 3%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 3%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 3%
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
Usually taken just after
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 3%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 3%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Trey Benson was selected in 8674 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.