NYJ · Bye 13
Mason Taylor
LMD TE63 for Week 3 · 1.6 projected Standard points
Questionable
In season
Week 3 fantasy ranking
We project 1.6 points this week, TE63. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 5% · Top 24: 11% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Down 22 since Week 2.
Week 3
TE63
306th by projected points
Projected
1.6
week 3, Standard
Top 12
5%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 11% at TE
Movement
↓ 22
TE41 in Week 2, TE63 now
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-1.30 pts
- Recent usage & efficiencyLimited data
- Slight positive+0.23 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.18 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Mason Taylor enters second Jets season with raised expectations
Yahoo Sports ·
-
All eyes are on second-year TE Mason Taylor to see if he can take his game with the Jets to the next level.
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Mason Taylor by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Mason Taylor has averaged -2.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ TEN | 1.9 | -0.2 | -2.1 |
| Wk 2 | vs GB | 2.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 3 | @ DET | 1.6 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Mason Taylor #152 in 1QB and #148 in Superflex, TE17 at his position. Age 22.
1QB
#152
TE17 · tier 34 · of 297
Superflex
#148
TE17 · tier 27 · of 303
- Last season 66.9 pts 5.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 76% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 17% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.09
pick 177.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.10
half of simulations take him by pick 178
Draft range
15.06 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,053 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.10 in 95% of simulations
Pick 178 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.08 and 15.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.08 | 98% |
| 15.09 | 96% |
| 15.10 | 95% |
| 15.11 | 93% |
| 15.12 | 91% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 4 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 12 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | <1% | 29 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | <1% | 58 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 1% | 111 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 1% | 129 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 159 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 183 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 190 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 167 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1053 simulations in which Mason Taylor was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 3%
- Dylan Sampson RB · CLE 3%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3%
- Braelon Allen RB · NYJ 3%
Usually taken just after
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3%
- AJ Barner TE · SEA 3%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Mason Taylor was selected in 1053 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.