BAL · Bye 13 · Rookie
Ja'Kobi Lane
LMD WR Tier 10 for Week 9 · 4.9 projected Full PPR points · WR114 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 4.9 points this week, WR Tier 10. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.5 - 10.2 points. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 5% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
WR Tier 10
4.3 - 5.2 projected points
Rest of season
WR114
231st by projected points
Projected
4.9
week 9, Full PPR
Top 12
2%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 5% at WR
Movement
↓ 30
WR53 in Week 8, WR83 now
Should you start Ja'Kobi Lane in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Ja'Kobi Lane WR83 for Week 9, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 5% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.15 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.18 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral+0.10 pts
- Betting markets
- Negative-1.00 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Ja'Kobi Lane blanked in Week 9
Yahoo Sports ·
-
STATUS
Ja'Kobi Lane is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Week 7 Top Overall Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Targets: Terrance Ferguson, Ja'Kobi Lane, And More Top Options
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Ravens Take Important Step Toward Return of Rookie WR Ja'Kobi Lane
newsweek.com ·
-
Three Ways Ravens Rookie WR Ja'Kobi Lane Can Boost Ravens Offense
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Ja'Kobi Lane by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Ja'Kobi Lane has averaged -2.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ IND | 3.8 | 2.1 | -1.7 |
| Wk 2 | vs NO | 3.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 6 | — | — | 8.0 | — |
| Wk 7 | vs CIN | 6.3 | 5.5 | -0.8 |
| Wk 8 | @ BUF | 7.8 | 2.3 | -5.5 |
| Wk 9 | vs JAX | 4.9 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR72. For the rest of the season LMD has him 42 spots lower, at WR114.
Preseason market: WR72 · ADP 158.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR114 −42
LMD has him 42 spots lower than his WR72 draft price.
Week 9
WR83 −11
LMD has him 11 spots lower than his WR72 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR72 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 42.7 points this season, WR114. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.9 a game over 8.988 remaining games. Down 5 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
4.9 / game
Over 8.988 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Ja'Kobi Lane #172 in 1QB and #179 in Superflex, WR73 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.
1QB
#172
WR73 · tier 39 · of 300 · rookie 21 of 52
Superflex
#179
WR73 · tier 33 · of 307 · rookie 21 of 52
- Draft capital Round 3, pick 80 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.09
pick 177.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.10
half of simulations take him by pick 178
Draft range
15.07 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,230 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Ja'Kobi Lane.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.10 in 95% of simulations
Pick 178 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.08 and 15.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.08 | 98% |
| 15.09 | 96% |
| 15.10 | 95% |
| 15.11 | 92% |
| 15.12 | 90% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 3 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 18 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | <1% | 26 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | <1% | 51 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 1% | 100 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 152 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 190 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 218 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1230 simulations in which Ja'Kobi Lane was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 3%
- Braelon Allen RB · NYJ 3%
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Tank Bigsby RB · PHI 3%
- Mike Washington Jr. RB · LV 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Ja'Kobi Lane was selected in 1230 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.