WAS · Bye 7
Chig Okonkwo
LMD TE41 rest of season · 43.2 projected Standard points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 43.2 points this season, TE41. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 10% of simulated seasons. That is 3.2 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 2 since the Sept. 20 board.
Rest of season
TE41
248th by projected points
Projected
43.2
rest of season, Standard
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 10% at TE
Movement
↓ 2
TE39 on Sept. 20, TE41 now
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Chig Okonkwo was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
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ADP UPDATE
Chig Okonkwo's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 164.3 to 171.1 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Chig Okonkwo has averaged -0.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ PHI | 2.4 | 1.6 | -0.8 |
| Wk 2 | @ DAL | 2.2 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 43.2 points this season, TE41. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 10% of simulated seasons. That is 3.2 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 2 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
3.2 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 10%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Chig Okonkwo #186 in 1QB and #186 in Superflex, TE24 at his position. Age 26.
1QB
#186
TE24 · tier 42 · of 297
Superflex
#186
TE24 · tier 35 · of 303
- Last season 96.0 pts 5.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 98% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 4.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 15% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.08
pick 176.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.09
half of simulations take him by pick 177
Draft range
15.05 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,215 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.09 in 94% of simulations
Pick 177 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.07 and 15.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.07 | 97% |
| 15.08 | 96% |
| 15.09 | 94% |
| 15.10 | 93% |
| 15.11 | 91% |
| 15.12 | 89% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 13 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 31 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | <1% | 66 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 1% | 127 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 1% | 140 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 160 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 166 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 167 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 170 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 161 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1215 simulations in which Chig Okonkwo was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 3%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 3%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 3%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 3%
Usually taken just after
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 2%
- Dylan Sampson RB · CLE 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Chig Okonkwo was selected in 1215 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.