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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray comes off the board at 15.02 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.03.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

15.02

pick 169.8 overall, on average

Median pick

15.03

half of simulations take him by pick 171

Draft range

14.02 - 15.11

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 3,724 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.03 in 83% of simulations

Pick 171 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.09 and 15.08.

Kyler Murray still on the board
PickAvailable
15.01 87%
15.02 85%
15.03 83%
15.04 81%
15.05 79%
15.06 77%
15.07 75%
15.08 73%
15.09 71%
15.10 69%
15.11 67%
15.12 65%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Kyler Murray was selected at each pick, 14.02 through 15.11. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 2%, undrafted in 63%.
Draft position distribution for Kyler Murray
PickShare of simulationsCount
14.02<1%59 of 10000 simulations
14.03<1%86 of 10000 simulations
14.04<1%79 of 10000 simulations
14.05<1%74 of 10000 simulations
14.06<1%85 of 10000 simulations
14.07<1%79 of 10000 simulations
14.081%100 of 10000 simulations
14.09<1%70 of 10000 simulations
14.10<1%97 of 10000 simulations
14.111%107 of 10000 simulations
14.121%103 of 10000 simulations
15.012%212 of 10000 simulations
15.022%216 of 10000 simulations
15.032%207 of 10000 simulations
15.042%222 of 10000 simulations
15.052%209 of 10000 simulations
15.062%211 of 10000 simulations
15.072%182 of 10000 simulations
15.082%196 of 10000 simulations
15.092%197 of 10000 simulations
15.102%197 of 10000 simulations
15.112%202 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 3724 simulations in which Kyler Murray was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Kyler Murray was selected in 3724 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.1
Generated
August 20, 2026
Player dataset
sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline
rank

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