NYJ · Bye 13 · Rookie
Kenyon Sadiq
LMD TE19 for Week 3 · 4.5 projected Standard points · TE19 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 4.5 points this week, TE19. Top 3: 5% · Top 12: 23% · Top 24: 43% of simulated weeks. Down 5 since Week 2.
Week 3
TE19
132nd by projected points
Rest of season
TE19
144th by projected points
Projected
4.5
week 3, Standard
Top 12
23%
Top 3: 5% · Top 24: 43% at TE
Movement
↓ 5
TE14 in Week 2, TE19 now
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.18 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.08 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.14 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Kenyon Sadiq has Jets dreaming big after electric debut
nypost.com ·
-
STATUS
Kenyon Sadiq is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Skyline grad Kenyon Sadiq scores first NFL touchdown
postregister.com ·
-
Skyline grad Kenyon Sadiq scores in NFL debut
postregister.com ·
-
Updated Kenyon Sadiq Fantasy Outlook 2026: Should You Draft the Jets Rookie?
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Kenyon Sadiq by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Kenyon Sadiq has averaged +1.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ TEN | 2.1 | 8.4 | +6.3 |
| Wk 2 | vs GB | 4.5 | 1.7 | -2.8 |
| Wk 3 | @ DET | 4.5 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 71.9 points this season, TE19. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 21% · Top 24: 74% of simulated seasons. That is 4.6 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 3 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
4.6 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 21% · Top 24: 74%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Kenyon Sadiq #95 in 1QB and #95 in Superflex, TE7 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 21.
1QB
#95
TE7 · tier 23 · of 297 · rookie 8 of 52
Superflex
#95
TE7 · tier 17 · of 303 · rookie 8 of 52
- Draft capital Round 1, pick 16 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.10
pick 142.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.04
half of simulations take him by pick 136
Draft range
11.07 - 15.05
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,624 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.04 in 59% of simulations
Pick 136 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 13.09, where he is available in 34% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 12.04 59% · 13.09 34% · 14.04 32% · 15.09 18%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.10 and 12.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.02 | 66% |
| 12.03 | 62% |
| 12.04 | 59% |
| 12.05 | 56% |
| 12.06 | 53% |
| 12.07 | 50% |
| 12.08 | 47% |
| 12.09 | 45% |
| 12.10 | 42% |
| 12.11 | 39% |
| 12.12 | 37% |
| 13.01 | 34% |
| 13.02 | 34% |
| 13.03 | 34% |
| 13.04 | 34% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.07-11.08 | 7% | 744 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 7% | 747 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 8% | 754 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 7% | 690 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.04 | 6% | 641 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.06 | 6% | 612 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.08 | 5% | 542 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.10 | 5% | 515 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-12.12 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.02 | <1% | 11 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.03-13.04 | <1% | 13 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.06 | <1% | 11 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.08 | <1% | 15 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.10 | <1% | 31 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-13.12 | <1% | 34 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.02 | <1% | 76 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.04 | <1% | 79 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.06 | <1% | 82 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.08 | <1% | 85 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09-14.10 | <1% | 93 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-14.12 | <1% | 89 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.02 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03-15.04 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 1% | 119 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8624 simulations in which Kenyon Sadiq was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3%
- Brenton Strange TE · JAX 3%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 3%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 3%
Usually taken just after
- Travis Kelce TE · KC 3%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3%
- Brenton Strange TE · JAX 3%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Kenyon Sadiq was selected in 8624 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.